Jota Lopes
14'
82'
I. Ferrer
86'
F. Alarcon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spartak Varna a 30% win probability (draw 51%, Beroe 18%). The final result was Spartak Varna 1–2 Beroe. In 2 previous meetings, Spartak Varna have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Beroe.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
9
0.48
Actual xG
3.15
32%
Possession
68%
3
Corners
9
Match Events
B. Ivanov
5'
⚽Jota Lopes
14'
27'
F. Varela
46'
F. Alarcon
/
S. Yovkov
T. Chunchukov
/ M. Georgiev
46'
58'
F. Alarcon
65'
Caio Lopes
/
S. Gavrilov
Tailson
/ E. John
69'
80'
M. Georgiev
/
F. Varela
82'
I. Ferrer⚽
T. Marinov
/ M. Juric-Petrasilo
85'
86'
F. Alarcon⚽
90'+1
W. Dual
/
M. Borgnino
Jota Lopes
/ D. Ivanov
90'+1
G. Stojanovski
/ P. Prindzhev
90'+1
90'+2
M. Georgiev
Pre-match prediction
30.66%
Spartak
51.26%
X
18.08%
Beroe ←
we assigned to the actual result (Beroe)
18.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.47
0.48
+0.01
0.30
3.15
+2.85
Beroe dominated by xG (3.15 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Pedro Victor
G
2
Boris Ivanov
D
5
Dimo Krastev
D
44
A. Granchov
D
A. Granchov
D
20
D. Lozev
D
D. Lozev
D
17
Tsvetoslav Marinov
M
29
Tailson
M
10
Jota Lopes
1 ⚽
F
21
M
90
Georg Stojanovski
F
Georg Stojanovski
F
9
Tsvetelin Chunchukov
F
Bench
6
Emmanuel John
M
1
G
16
Stanislav Yovkov
D
3
D
4
Facundo Costantini
D
Facundo Costantini
D
23
Tijan Sohna
D
32
Francisco Varela
M
24
Stefan Gavrilov
M
8
Marco Borgnino
M
12
D
7
Juanca Pineda
M
11
Ismael Ferrer
1 ⚽
M
Bench
5
Caio Lopes
M
15
Facundo Alarcon
1 ⚽
F
22
Miroslav Georgiev
F
Spartak Varna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Victor | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boris Ivanov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimo Krastev | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Granchov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lozev | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tsvetoslav Marinov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tailson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jota Lopes | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Georg Stojanovski | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tsvetelin Chunchukov | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Beroe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Stanislav Yovkov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Facundo Costantini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tijan Sohna | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Varela | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Gavrilov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Borgnino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Juanca Pineda | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ismael Ferrer | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Beroe?
The final score was Spartak Varna 1–2 Beroe.
What did the model predict before Spartak Varna vs Beroe?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Spartak Varna win, 51% to a draw, and 18% to an Beroe win.