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Spennymoor Town - Chester

FA Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
Spennymoor Town
vs
Chester
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.31%
Win
Spennymoor Town
26.05%
Draw
33.63%
Win
Chester
1.4
Expected xG
1.22

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.68%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 26%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 60%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 68%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Spennymoor Town a 40% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Chester. Expected goals are 1.4 for Spennymoor Town and 1.2 for Chester (total 2.6), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.68% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Spennymoor Town have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Chester.

Season Stats

Spennymoor Town
4W 0D 1L
Chester
4W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.0
0.4
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
67%
0%
BTTS
67%
80%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
Spennymoor Town
2W 0D 1L · at home
Chester
2W 1D 1L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.2
0.7
Conceded
1.5
67%
Win %
50%
67%
Win or Draw
75%
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
75%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
75%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Spennymoor Town Chester →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3% 8.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.2% 12.4% 7.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.1% 8.7% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town
W AFC Emley 0–4
L Barrow 0–2
W Billericay Town 1–0
W Chadderton 3–0
W West Auckland Town 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 12%
Chester Chester
W Lower Breck 1–2
L Cambridge United 3–0
W Morecambe 2–0
D Morecambe 1–1
W Curzon Ashton 5–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town
Attack
33
Defence
48
Form
40
Chester Chester
Attack
22
Defence
74
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Spennymoor Town
0
Draw
2
Chester
28 Feb 2026 National League North 1–2
20 Jan 2026 National League North 1–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
The model gives Spennymoor Town a 40% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 33% for an Chester win.
How many goals are expected in Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
Expected goals: Spennymoor Town 1.4, Chester 1.2 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.68%.