Serie B
· Regular Season - 31
March 17, 2026 20:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spezia a 48% win probability (draw 24%, Empoli 26%). The final result was Spezia 1–1 Empoli. In 1 previous meetings, Spezia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Empoli.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
4
1.48
Actual xG
1.32
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
48.47%
Spezia
24.74%
X ←
26.8%
Empoli
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.74%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.93
1.48
-0.45
1.27
1.32
+0.05
xG dominance was balanced (1.48 – 1.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spezia vs Empoli?
The final score was Spezia 1–1 Empoli.
What did the model predict before Spezia vs Empoli?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Spezia win, 24% to a draw, and 26% to an Empoli win.