Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 17, 2026 20:00 Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia

Spezia

1 – 1

Final score

Empoli

#10 · 6 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spezia a 48% win probability (draw 24%, Empoli 26%). The final result was Spezia 1–1 Empoli. In 2 previous meetings, Spezia have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Empoli.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

4

1.48

Actual xG

1.32

53%

Possession

47%

7

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

48.47%

Spezia

24.74%

X ←

26.8%

Empoli

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.74% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Spezia

1.93

1.48

-0.45

Empoli

1.27

1.32

+0.05

xG dominance was balanced (1.48 – 1.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Pisa	4	6
9	Avellino	3	6
10	Empoli	4	6
11	Cesena	3	5
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Hellas Verona	4	4
16	Cremonese	3	3
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1