Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 17, 2026 20:00 Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia

Spezia

1 – 1

Final score

Empoli

#18 · 8 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spezia a 48% win probability (draw 24%, Empoli 26%). The final result was Spezia 1–1 Empoli. In 2 previous meetings, Spezia have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Empoli.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

4

1.48

Actual xG

1.32

53%

Possession

47%

7

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

48.47%

Spezia

24.74%

X ←

26.8%

Empoli

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.74% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Spezia

1.93

1.48

-0.45

Empoli

1.27

1.32

+0.05

xG dominance was balanced (1.48 – 1.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	10	26
2	Modena	10	20
3	Ascoli	10	19
4	Mantova	10	18
5	Avellino	10	15
6	Benevento	10	15
7	Hellas Verona	10	15
8	Pisa	10	15
9	Padova	10	14
10	Sudtirol	10	14
11	Cremonese	10	12
12	Cesena	10	12
13	Arezzo	10	11
14	Virtus Entella	10	10
15	Carrarese	10	10
16	Juve Stabia	10	9
17	Vicenza Virtus	10	9
18	Empoli	10	8
19	Sampdoria	10	8
20	Catanzaro	10	6