The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spezia a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Livorno 27%). The final result was Spezia 2–0 Livorno.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
43.93%
Spezia ←
28.44%
X
27.63%
Livorno
we assigned to the actual result (Spezia)
43.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.40
—
—
0.50
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spezia vs Livorno?
The final score was Spezia 2–0 Livorno.
What did the model predict before Spezia vs Livorno?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Spezia win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an Livorno win.