← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 37 May 01, 2026 15:00
Spezia
#19 · 35 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Venezia
#1 · 82 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Venezia, result Pareggio
M. Valoti (ast. A. Mateju) 73'
G. Artistico (ast. G. Bonfanti) 90'
7' (ast. I. Doumbia) J. Yeboah
70' (ast. M. Svoboda) R. Sagrado

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Venezia a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Spezia 20%). The final result was Spezia 2–2 Venezia. In 1 previous meetings, Spezia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Venezia.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
4
1.06
Actual xG
2.86
2
Saves
1
37%
Possession
63%
6
Corners
6
14
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
M. Valoti
5'
7'
ast. I. Doumbia · J. Yeboah⚽
14'
A. Adorante
32'
(missed pen.) J. Yeboah⚽
L. Vignali
43'
F. Bandinelli
45'+2
46'
A. Casas / A. Adorante ↕
↕ L. Vignali / C. Comotto
58'
↕ G. Di Serio / G. Artistico
65'
↕ G. Aurelio / P. Beruatto
66'
67'
R. Sagrado / R. Haps ↕
68'
M. Dagasso / K. Perez ↕
70'
ast. M. Svoboda · R. Sagrado⚽
⚽M. Valoti · ast. A. Mateju
73'
↕ M. Valoti / L. Skjellerup
80'
↕ A. Romano / A. Nagy
80'
81'
M. Compagnon / J. Yeboah ↕
87'
G. Busio
A. Nagy
90'+2
⚽G. Artistico · ast. G. Bonfanti
90'
Pre-match prediction
20.49%
Spezia
20.92%
X ←
58.59%
Venezia
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Spezia
1.33
1.06
-0.27
Venezia
2.44
2.86
+0.42
Venezia dominated by xG (2.86 vs 1.06). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Spezia Spezia 3-5-2
12
D. Mascardi G 7.20
94
G. Bonfanti 1 👟 D 6.20
37
A. Mateju 1 👟 D 7.70
17
L. Sernicola D 6.70
31
G. Aurelio 66' M 6.20
5
M. Valoti 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.20
60
Alessandro Romano 80' M 6.70
25
F. Bandinelli 47' M 5.50
32
L. Vignali 58' M 6.30
10
G. Lapadula F 6.30
20
G. Di Serio 65' F 6.60
Bench
8
A. Nagy 10' M 6.30
34
C. Comotto 32' M 6.50
70
E. Adamo M
9 G. Artistico G. Artistico 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.30
11
P. Beruatto 24' D 6.70
Venezia Venezia 3-5-2
1
G 7.30
4
B. Franjic D 7.50
30
M. Svoboda 1 👟 D 6.30
3
J. Schingtienne D 6.30
5
R. Haps 67' M 7.30
8 I. Doumbia I. Doumbia 1 👟 M 7.00
6
G. Busio M 7.30
71 Kike Pérez Kike Pérez 68' M 7.30
18
A. Hainaut M 7.50
9 A. Adorante A. Adorante 45' F 6.20
10 J. Yeboah J. Yeboah 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.30
Bench
29
L. Lauberbach F
21
M. Compagnon 9' M 6.30
20
R. Sagrado 1 ⚽ 23' D 7.20
Best on the pitch
A. Mateju
D · Spezia
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 34 pass
A. Hainaut
M · Venezia
7.50
· 30 pass
B. Franjic
D · Venezia
7.50
· 46 pass
G. Artistico
G. Artistico
F · Spezia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
J. Yeboah
J. Yeboah
F · Venezia
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 26 pass
Kike Pérez
Kike Pérez
M · Venezia
7.30
1 shots · 44 pass
Spezia Spezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Mascardi G 90 7.20 — — — 26 13% — — —
G. Bonfanti D 90 6.20 — 1 — 21 12% 1 — —
A. Mateju D 90 7.70 — 1 1 34 20% 2 — —
L. Sernicola D 90 6.70 — — — 18 10% 1 — —
G. Aurelio M 66 6.20 — — — 6 5% — — —
M. Valoti M 80 7.20 1 — 1 23 19% 1 1 —
Alessandro Romano M 80 6.70 — — 1 13 9% — — —
F. Bandinelli M 47 5.50 — — 1 7 2% 2 — 1
L. Vignali M 58 6.30 — — — 10 2% 1 1 —
G. Lapadula F 90 6.30 — — 1 10 7% — — —
G. Di Serio F 65 6.60 — — — 3 1% 2 — —
A. Nagy M 10 6.30 — — — 9 7% 1 1 —
C. Comotto M 32 6.50 — — 2 9 4% 2 — —
G. Artistico F 25 7.30 1 — 1 4 3% — — —
P. Beruatto D 24 6.70 — — — 11 7% 1 — —
Venezia Venezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 37 26% — — —
B. Franjic D 90 7.50 — — — 46 41% 1 — —
M. Svoboda D 90 6.30 — 1 — 53 44% 2 — —
J. Schingtienne D 90 6.30 — — — 36 34% 4 — —
R. Haps M 67 7.30 — — 1 20 18% — — —
I. Doumbia M 90 7.00 — 1 1 18 9% 1 — —
G. Busio M 90 7.30 — — 2 57 53% — 1 —
Kike Pérez M 68 7.30 — — 1 44 40% 2 — —
A. Hainaut M 90 7.50 — — — 30 18% 2 — —
A. Adorante F 45 6.20 — — 1 5 4% — 1 —
J. Yeboah F 81 7.30 1 — 3 26 21% 1 — —
M. Compagnon M 9 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
R. Sagrado D 23 7.20 1 — 1 — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Spezia vs Venezia?
The final score was Spezia 2–2 Venezia.
What did the model predict before Spezia vs Venezia?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Spezia win, 20% to a draw, and 58% to an Venezia win.