Spezia 2–2 Venezia — pre-match prediction — Serie B — May 01, 2026

← Serie B

Serie B · Regular Season - 37 May 01, 2026 15:00 Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia

Spezia

2 – 2

Final score

Venezia

✗Model wrong — prediction Venezia, result Draw

M. Valoti (ast. A. Mateju) 73'

G. Artistico (ast. G. Bonfanti) 90'

7' (ast. I. Doumbia) J. Yeboah

70' (ast. M. Svoboda) R. Sagrado

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Venezia a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Spezia 20%). The final result was Spezia 2–2 Venezia. In 1 previous meetings, Spezia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Venezia.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.06

Actual xG

2.86

Saves

37%

Possession

63%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

M. Valoti

ast. I. Doumbia · J. Yeboah⚽

14'

A. Adorante

32'

(missed pen.) J. Yeboah⚽

L. Vignali

43'

F. Bandinelli

45'+2

46'

A. Casas / A. Adorante ↕

↕ L. Vignali / C. Comotto

58'

↕ G. Di Serio / G. Artistico

65'

↕ G. Aurelio / P. Beruatto

66'

67'

R. Sagrado / R. Haps ↕

68'

M. Dagasso / K. Perez ↕

70'

ast. M. Svoboda · R. Sagrado⚽

⚽M. Valoti · ast. A. Mateju

73'

↕ M. Valoti / L. Skjellerup

80'

↕ A. Romano / A. Nagy

80'

81'

M. Compagnon / J. Yeboah ↕

87'

G. Busio

A. Nagy

90'+2

⚽G. Artistico · ast. G. Bonfanti

90'

Pre-match prediction

20.49%

Spezia

20.92%

X ←

58.59%

Venezia

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.92% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Spezia

1.33

1.06

-0.27

Venezia

2.44

2.86

+0.42

Venezia dominated by xG (2.86 vs 1.06). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Pisa	4	6
9	Avellino	3	6
10	Empoli	4	6
11	Cesena	3	5
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Hellas Verona	4	4
16	Cremonese	3	3
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1

Lineups

Spezia 3-5-2

D. Mascardi G 7.20

G. Bonfanti 1 👟 D 6.20

A. Mateju 1 👟 D 7.70

L. Sernicola D 6.70

G. Aurelio 66' M 6.20

M. Valoti 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.20

A. Romano 80' M 6.70

F. Bandinelli 47' M 5.50

L. Vignali 58' M 6.30

G. Lapadula F 6.30

G. Di Serio 65' F 6.60

Bench

Á. Nagy 10' M 6.30

Christian Comotto 32' M 6.50

E. Adamo M

G. Artistico 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.30

P. Beruatto 24' D 6.70

Venezia 3-5-2

G 7.30

Bartol Franjić D 7.50

Michael Svoboda 1 👟 D 6.30

Joel Schingtienne D 6.30

Ridgeciano Haps 67' M 7.30

I. Doumbia 1 👟 M 7.00

Gianluca Busio M 7.30

Kike Pérez 68' M 7.30

Antoine Hainaut M 7.50

A. Adorante 45' F 6.20

John Yeboah 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.30

Bench

Lion Lauberbach F

M. Compagnon 9' M 6.30

Richie Sagrado 1 ⚽ 23' D 7.20

Best on the pitch

A. Mateju

D · Spezia

7.70

1 👟

1 shots · 34 pass

Antoine Hainaut

M · Venezia

7.50

· 30 pass

Bartol Franjić

D · Venezia

7.50

· 46 pass

G. Artistico

F · Spezia

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

John Yeboah

F · Venezia

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 26 pass

Kike Pérez

M · Venezia

7.30

1 shots · 44 pass

Spezia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Mascardi	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	26	13%	—	—	—
G. Bonfanti	D	90	6.20	—	1	—	21	12%	1	—	—
A. Mateju	D	90	7.70	—	1	1	34	20%	2	—	—
L. Sernicola	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	18	10%	1	—	—
G. Aurelio	M	66	6.20	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
M. Valoti	M	80	7.20	1	—	1	23	19%	1	1	—
A. Romano	M	80	6.70	—	—	1	13	9%	—	—	—
F. Bandinelli	M	47	5.50	—	—	1	7	2%	2	—	1
L. Vignali	M	58	6.30	—	—	—	10	2%	1	1	—
G. Lapadula	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	10	7%	—	—	—
G. Di Serio	F	65	6.60	—	—	—	3	1%	2	—	—
Á. Nagy	M	10	6.30	—	—	—	9	7%	1	1	—
Christian Comotto	M	32	6.50	—	—	2	9	4%	2	—	—
G. Artistico	F	25	7.30	1	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
P. Beruatto	D	24	6.70	—	—	—	11	7%	1	—	—

Venezia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	37	26%	—	—	—
Bartol Franjić	D	90	7.50	—	—	—	46	41%	1	—	—
Michael Svoboda	D	90	6.30	—	1	—	53	44%	2	—	—
Joel Schingtienne	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	34%	4	—	—
Ridgeciano Haps	M	67	7.30	—	—	1	20	18%	—	—	—
I. Doumbia	M	90	7.00	—	1	1	18	9%	1	—	—
Gianluca Busio	M	90	7.30	—	—	2	57	53%	—	1	—
Kike Pérez	M	68	7.30	—	—	1	44	40%	2	—	—
Antoine Hainaut	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	30	18%	2	—	—
A. Adorante	F	45	6.20	—	—	1	5	4%	—	1	—
John Yeboah	F	81	7.30	1	—	3	26	21%	1	—	—
M. Compagnon	M	9	6.30	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Richie Sagrado	D	23	7.20	1	—	1	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Spezia vs Venezia?

The final score was Spezia 2–2 Venezia.

What did the model predict before Spezia vs Venezia?

The model assigned 20% probability to a Spezia win, 20% to a draw, and 58% to an Venezia win.