Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 24
August 25, 2026 00:30
✓Model correct — prediction Sport Recife
Claudinho
(ast. Juan Alano)
13'
Clayson
(ast. Juan Alano)
45'+2
Pedro Perotti
90'+7
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sport Recife a 71% win probability (draw 16%, America Mineiro 11%). The final result was Sport Recife 3–0 America Mineiro. In 1 previous meetings, Sport Recife have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for America Mineiro.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
7
Shots on target
3
2.60
Actual xG
0.58
3
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
10
14
Tackles
10
Match Events
⚽Claudinho
· ast. Juan Alano
13'
⚽Clayson
· ast. Juan Alano
45'+2
56'
65'
Otavio Goncalves
/
Felipe Amaral
66'
G. Italo
/
Guilherme Parede
Clayson
/ Marlon Douglas
67'
Willian Oliveira
/ Biel Fonseca
76'
Diego Hernandez
/ Dudu
76'
78'
Alex Silva
/
Willian Bigode
Juan Alano
/ de Pena Carlos
82'
Claudinho
/ Augusto
83'
87'
Heitor
/
Gustavo Barreto
87'
M. Rodrigues
/
Fabio
⚽Pedro Perotti
(pen.)
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
71.66%
Sport ←
16.9%
X
11.44%
America
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sport Recife)
71.66%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.34
2.60
+0.25
0.66
0.58
-0.08
Sport Recife dominated by xG (2.60 vs 0.58).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
26
Thiago Couto
G
Thiago Couto
G
96
Edson
D
Edson
D
33
Kayky Almeida
D
Kayky Almeida
D
3
Marcelo Ajul
D
Marcelo Ajul
D
27
Claudinho
1 ⚽
83'
D
Claudinho
1 ⚽
83'
D
29
Willian Oliveira
76'
M
Willian Oliveira
76'
M
23
Zé Gabriel
M
Zé Gabriel
M
25
Clayson
1 ⚽
67'
M
Clayson
1 ⚽
67'
M
20
D. Hernández
76'
M
D. Hernández
76'
M
8
Juan Alano
2 👟
82'
M
Juan Alano
2 👟
82'
M
9
Perotti
1 ⚽
F
Perotti
1 ⚽
F
Bench
75
A. Maron
F
A. Maron
F
68
Augusto
14'
D
Augusto
14'
D
6
Biel
21'
M
Biel
21'
M
21
Brenno
G
Brenno
G
10
C. de Pena
15'
M
C. de Pena
15'
M
77
Dudu
21'
F
Dudu
21'
F
28
Habraão
D
Habraão
D
5
Marcelo Benevenuto
D
Marcelo Benevenuto
D
31
Marlon
30'
F
Marlon
30'
F
15
Murilo Rhikman
M
Murilo Rhikman
M
48
Pedro Martins
M
Pedro Martins
M
99
Zé Roberto
F
Zé Roberto
F
91
Bruno Brígido
G
Bruno Brígido
G
25
T. Ostchega
D
T. Ostchega
D
4
Rafael Barcelos
D
Rafael Barcelos
D
45
Ricardo Silva
D
Ricardo Silva
D
31
Fábio
87'
D
Fábio
87'
D
8
Felipe Amaral
65'
M
Felipe Amaral
65'
M
7
Guilherme Parede
66'
M
Guilherme Parede
66'
M
9
Willian
78'
M
Willian
78'
M
88
Barreto
87'
M
Barreto
87'
M
37
Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio
M
Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio
M
99
Marcelo Macola
F
Marcelo Macola
F
Bench
15
Alex Silva
19'
D
Alex Silva
19'
D
5
F. Elizari
M
F. Elizari
M
39
G. Italo
31'
F
G. Italo
31'
F
1
Gustavo
G
Gustavo
G
13
Heitor
10'
D
Heitor
10'
D
93
J. Jiménez
M
J. Jiménez
M
30
L. Montes
D
L. Montes
D
3
L. Sosa
D
L. Sosa
D
38
Murilo Rodrigues Povoa
10'
D
Murilo Rodrigues Povoa
10'
D
55
Otávio Gonçalves
32'
M
Otávio Gonçalves
32'
M
Best on the pitch
Juan Alano
M · Sport
8.20
2 👟
· 29 pass
Claudinho
D · Sport
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
Clayson
M · Sport
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
D. Hernández
M · Sport
7.50
3 shots
· 20 pass
Thiago Couto
G · Sport
7.30
· 26 pass
Edson
D · Sport
7.30
1 shots
· 38 pass
Sport Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Couto | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Edson | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Kayky Almeida | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Ajul | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Claudinho | D | 83 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Willian Oliveira | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Zé Gabriel | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 5 | — | — |
| Clayson | M | 67 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Hernández | M | 76 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Alano | M | 82 | 8.20 | — | 2 | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Perotti | F | 97 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Augusto | D | 14 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Biel | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. de Pena | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Dudu | F | 21 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Marlon | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
America Mineiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Brígido | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| T. Ostchega | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Barcelos | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Silva | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Fábio | D | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Amaral | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme Parede | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Willian | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Barreto | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcelo Macola | F | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Silva | D | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Italo | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Heitor | D | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Murilo Rodrigues Povoa | D | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Otávio Gonçalves | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs America Mineiro?
The final score was Sport Recife 3–0 America Mineiro.
What did the model predict before Sport Recife vs America Mineiro?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Sport Recife win, 16% to a draw, and 11% to an America Mineiro win.