Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 14
June 19, 2026 02:00
Pedro Perotti
(ast. Felipinho)
25'
90'+6
(ast. Tito)
Leo Jaco
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sport Recife a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Atletico Goianiense 31%). The final result was Sport Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
5
1.10
Actual xG
2.25
56%
Possession
44%
6
Corners
4
Match Events
⚽Pedro Perotti
· ast. Felipinho
25'
Augusto
40'
46'
Leo Jaco
/
Leandro Vilela
Augusto
/ Marlon Douglas
58'
63'
Felipe Guimaraes
/
Bruno Jose
Iury Castilho
/ de Pena Carlos
70'
Ze Lucas
/ Pedro Martins
70'
Biel Fonseca
/ Fabio Matheus
79'
79'
Gabriel Dias
/
Ewerthon
79'
Klebert
/
Marrony
85'
Tito
90'+1
Assis
/
Guilherme
de Pena Carlos
90'+5
90'+6
ast. Tito ·
Leo Jaco⚽
90'
Guilherme
Pre-match prediction
40.65%
Sport
27.59%
X ←
31.77%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
1.10
-0.32
1.31
2.25
+0.94
Atletico Goianiense dominated by xG (2.25 vs 1.10).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
The final score was Sport Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense.
What did the model predict before Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Sport Recife win, 27% to a draw, and 31% to an Atletico Goianiense win.