Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 17
July 11, 2026 01:00
Chrystian Barletta
47'
Benevenuto
(ast. Clayson)
64'
Chrystian Barletta
90'+6
(pen.)
25'
(ast. Everton Morelli)
Ze Hugo
(pen.)
42'
Rafael Gava
76'
(ast. Rafael Gava)
Patrick Brey
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sport Recife a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Botafogo SP 33%). The final result was Sport Recife 3–3 Botafogo SP. In 1 previous meetings, Sport Recife have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Botafogo SP.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
4
2.76
Actual xG
1.19
71%
Possession
29%
7
Corners
2
Match Events
25'
ast. Everton Morelli ·
Ze Hugo⚽
27'
Rafael Gava
30'
Claudio Tencati
Ze Lucas
38'
42'
(pen.)
Rafael Gava⚽
45'+4
Matheus Sales
Marlon Douglas
/ Clayson
46'
Ze Lucas
/ Ze Gabriel
46'
Madson
/ Augusto
46'
⚽Chrystian Barletta
47'
Habraao
54'
⚽Benevenuto
· ast. Clayson
64'
Fabio Matheus
/ Yago Felipe
65'
69'
Leandro Maciel
/
Matheus Sales
69'
Felipe Vieira
/
Kelvin
70'
Guilherme Queiroz
/
Hygor
73'
Felipe Vieira
76'
ast. Rafael Gava ·
Patrick Brey⚽
79'
Wallace
/
Rafael Gava
Biel Fonseca
/ Ze Roberto
82'
89'
Wesley Santos
/
Ze Hugo
90'+4
Leandro Maciel
⚽Chrystian Barletta
(pen.)
90'+6
Clayson
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
40.46%
Sport
25.72%
X ←
33.82%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
2.76
+1.49
1.36
1.19
-0.17
Sport Recife dominated by xG (2.76 vs 1.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?
The final score was Sport Recife 3–3 Botafogo SP.
What did the model predict before Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Sport Recife win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an Botafogo SP win.