Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 7
May 03, 2026 23:00
Chrystian Barletta
53'
(pen.)
Madson
(ast. Marlon Douglas)
71'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sport Recife a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Ceara 31%). The final result was Sport Recife 2–0 Ceara. In 1 previous meetings, Sport Recife have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ceara.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
1
1.99
Actual xG
0.53
1
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
9
Corners
11
12
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Marcelo Ajul
16'
33'
Bruno Ferreira
Clayson
/ Marlon Douglas
46'
⚽Chrystian Barletta
(pen.)
53'
Chrystian Barletta
57'
61'
Lucca
66'
Diego
/
Matheus Araujo
66'
Juan Alano
/
Vinicius Zanocelo
66'
Pedro Henrique
/
Melk
66'
Sanchez
/
Fernando
69'
R. Ramos
⚽Madson
· ast. Marlon Douglas
71'
Madson
/ Augusto
75'
Biel Fonseca
/ Yago Felipe
83'
83'
Giulio
/
Fernandinho
87'
Sanchez
Chrystian Barletta
/ Iury Castilho
90'
de Pena Carlos
/ Max Alves
90'
Pre-match prediction
36.9%
Sport ←
31.76%
X
31.34%
Ceara
we assigned to the actual result (Sport Recife)
36.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
1.99
+0.7
1.04
0.53
-0.51
Sport Recife dominated by xG (1.99 vs 0.53).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
G
60
Felipinho
D
Felipinho
D
3
Marcelo Ajul
D
Marcelo Ajul
D
5
D
13
Madson
1 ⚽
75'
D
Madson
1 ⚽
75'
D
58
Zé Lucas
M
Zé Lucas
M
6
Biel
83'
M
Biel
83'
M
25
Clayson
45'
M
Clayson
45'
M
10
C. de Pena
89'
M
C. de Pena
89'
M
30
Chrystian Barletta
1 ⚽
89'
M
Chrystian Barletta
1 ⚽
89'
M
9
Perotti
F
Perotti
F
Bench
68
Augusto
15'
D
Augusto
15'
D
11
Gustavo Maia
F
Gustavo Maia
F
28
Habraão
D
Habraão
D
95
Iury Castilho
1'
F
Iury Castilho
1'
F
31
Marlon
1 👟
45'
F
Marlon
1 👟
45'
F
7
Yago Felipe
13'
M
Yago Felipe
13'
M
23
Zé Gabriel
M
Zé Gabriel
M
4
Zé Marcos
D
Zé Marcos
D
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
Bruno Ferreira
G
17
Fernando
66'
D
Fernando
66'
D
4
D
33
D
2
D
25
Vinicius Zanocelo
66'
M
Vinicius Zanocelo
66'
M
31
Lucas Lima
M
Lucas Lima
M
11
Fernandinho
83'
M
Fernandinho
83'
M
8
Matheus Araújo
66'
M
Matheus Araújo
66'
M
40
Melk
66'
M
Melk
66'
M
99
Lucca
F
Lucca
F
Bench
20
Dieguinho
24'
D
Dieguinho
24'
D
35
Giulio
13'
F
Giulio
13'
F
81
Joao Gabriel
M
Joao Gabriel
M
10
Juan Alano
24'
F
Juan Alano
24'
F
18
Júlio
D
Júlio
D
26
Richardson
M
Richardson
M
12
Sanchez
24'
D
Sanchez
24'
D
Best on the pitch
Madson
D · Sport
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
D · Sport
7.50
· 31 pass
Marlon
F · Sport
7.50
1 👟
· 11 pass
Chrystian Barletta
M · Sport
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
Felipinho
D · Sport
7.30
1 shots
· 36 pass
Perotti
F · Sport
7.30
· 18 pass
Sport Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Felipinho | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcelo Ajul | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — | |
| Madson | D | 75 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Zé Lucas | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Biel | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Clayson | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. de Pena | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Chrystian Barletta | M | 89 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Perotti | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Augusto | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Iury Castilho | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Marlon | F | 45 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Yago Felipe | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Ferreira | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Fernando | D | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 42% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — | |
| Vinicius Zanocelo | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Lima | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Fernandinho | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Matheus Araújo | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Melk | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dieguinho | D | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Giulio | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Juan Alano | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Sanchez | D | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Ceara?
The final score was Sport Recife 2–0 Ceara.
What did the model predict before Sport Recife vs Ceara?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Sport Recife win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Ceara win.