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← Brasileirão Série B
#8 · 25 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#16 · 16 pts
Pedro Perotti (ast. Iury Castilho) 78'
39' Mikael
59' Danielzinho
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sport Recife a 38% win probability (draw 32%, CRB 29%). The final result was Sport Recife 1–2 CRB.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
6
0.80
Actual xG
1.31
5
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
3
Corners
2
13
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Marlon Douglas / Gustavo Maia
8'
39'
Mikael
46'
Danielzinho / De Lucca
46'
Lucas Lovat
Madson
56'
59'
Danielzinho
Madson / Augusto
60'
Gustavo Maia / Iury Castilho
60'
64'
Fabio Alemao
72'
Hereda
Clayson / Yago Felipe
76'
de Pena Carlos / Edson Lucas
76'
Ze Lucas
76'
Pedro Perotti · ast. Iury Castilho
78'
79'
Luizao / Pedro Castro
83'
Douglas Baggio / Thiaguinho
83'
Luiz Phellype / Mikael
90'
Danielzinho
90'
Bressan / Dada Belmonte
Pre-match prediction
38.77%
Sport
32.1%
X
29.13%
CRB ←
we assigned to the actual result (CRB) 29.13% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sport
1.46
0.80
-0.66
CRB
1.14
1.31
+0.17
CRB dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.80). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vila Nova Vila Nova 15 28
2 Novorizontino Novorizontino 15 27
3 Criciuma Criciuma 15 27
4 São Bernardo São Bernardo 15 25
5 Juventude Juventude 15 25
6 Operario-PR Operario-PR 15 25
7 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 15 25
8 Sport Recife Sport Recife 15 25
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 15 22
10 Goias Goias 15 21
11 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 15 21
12 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 15 20
13 Cuiaba Cuiaba 15 20
14 Ceara Ceara 15 17
15 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 14 16
16 CRB CRB 14 16
17 Londrina Londrina 15 15
18 Avai Avai 15 13
19 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 15 8
20 America Mineiro America Mineiro 15 6
Lineups
Sport Recife Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
26 Thiago Couto Thiago Couto G 6.70
60 Felipinho Felipinho D 6.30
4 Zé Marcos Zé Marcos D 6.70
5 Marcelo Benevenuto Marcelo Benevenuto D 7.00
13 Madson Madson 60' D 5.60
58 Zé Lucas Zé Lucas M 6.70
6 Biel Fonseca Biel Fonseca M 6.90
25 Clayson Clayson 76' M 6.30
10 Carlos De Pena Carlos De Pena 76' M 6.70
31 Marlon Marlon 8' M 6.30
9 Perotti Perotti 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
68 Augusto Pucci Augusto Pucci 38' D 7.00
96 Edson Lucas Edson Lucas 22' D 6.90
47 Fabio Matheus Fabio Matheus M
11 Gustavo Maia Gustavo Maia 52' F 6.30
28 Habraão Habraão D
1 Halls Halls G
95 Iury Castilho Iury Castilho 1 👟 38' F 7.60
8 Max Max M
63 Patrick Patrick D
48 Pedro Victor Martins Pedro Victor Martins M
7 Yago Felipe Yago Felipe 22' M 6.70
23 Zé Gabriel Zé Gabriel M
CRB CRB 4-3-3
1 Vitor Caetano Vitor Caetano G 7.30
36 Lucas Lovat Lucas Lovat D 7.20
27 Fábio Alemão Fábio Alemão D 6.50
44 Henri Santos Henri Santos D 6.70
32 Hereda Hereda D 6.90
8 Crystopher Crystopher M 6.90
45 Patrick De Lucca Patrick De Lucca 45' M 6.90
21 Pedro Castro Pedro Castro 79' M 6.90
97 Dadá Belmonte Dadá Belmonte F 7.70
28 Mikael Mikael 1 ⚽ 83' F 6.70
17 Thiaguinho Thiaguinho 83' F 7.00
Bench
22 Bressan Bressan 8' D 6.50
10 Daniel Daniel 1 ⚽ 53' M 7.30
7 Douglas Baggio Douglas Baggio 15' F 6.50
23 Fábio Henrique Fábio Henrique G
18 Geovane Geovane M
14 Guilherme Estrella Guilherme Estrella M
11 Guilherme Pato Guilherme Pato F
50 Luizão Luizão 19' M 6.70
19 Luiz Phellype Luiz Phellype 15' F 6.50
33 Lyncon Lyncon D
6 Reverson Reverson D
20 Vinicius Barata Vinicius Barata F
Best on the pitch
Perotti
Perotti
F · Sport
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
Dadá Belmonte
Dadá Belmonte
F · CRB
7.70
3 shots · 12 pass
Iury Castilho
Iury Castilho
F · Sport
7.60
1 👟
2 shots · 8 pass
Daniel
Daniel
M · CRB
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Vitor Caetano
Vitor Caetano
G · CRB
7.30
· 27 pass
Lucas Lovat
Lucas Lovat
D · CRB
7.20
1 shots · 24 pass
Sport Recife Sport Recife — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Thiago Couto G 98 6.70 23 17%
Felipinho D 98 6.30 44 34% 2
Zé Marcos D 98 6.70 1 48 44% 1
Marcelo Benevenuto D 98 7.00 1 39 38% 1
Madson D 60 5.60 1 20 16% 1
Zé Lucas M 98 6.70 53 44% 2 1
Biel Fonseca M 98 6.90 1 45 37% 1
Clayson M 76 6.30 14 11%
Carlos De Pena M 76 6.70 2 34 27% 1
Marlon M 8 6.30 2 2%
Perotti F 98 7.70 1 2 11 7% 1
Augusto Pucci D 38 7.00 19 14%
Edson Lucas D 22 6.90 11 8%
Gustavo Maia F 52 6.30 9 8% 1
Iury Castilho F 38 7.60 1 2 8 7% 2
Yago Felipe M 22 6.70 7 6% 1
CRB CRB — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Vitor Caetano G 98 7.30 27 20%
Lucas Lovat D 98 7.20 1 24 18% 1
Fábio Alemão D 98 6.50 38 32% 1 1
Henri Santos D 98 6.70 53 38%
Hereda D 98 6.90 30 24% 2 1
Crystopher M 98 6.90 1 38 29%
Patrick De Lucca M 45 6.90 1 27 23% 1
Pedro Castro M 79 6.90 19 16%
Dadá Belmonte F 90 7.70 3 12 8% 3
Mikael F 83 6.70 1 3 4 4% 1
Thiaguinho F 83 7.00 20 18%
Bressan D 8 6.50
Daniel M 53 7.30 1 1 11 11% 2 1
Douglas Baggio F 15 6.50 2 1%
Luizão M 19 6.70 5 3%
Luiz Phellype F 15 6.50 4 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs CRB?
The final score was Sport Recife 1–2 CRB.
What did the model predict before Sport Recife vs CRB?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Sport Recife win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an CRB win.