Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 11
May 31, 2026 01:30
Chrystian Barletta
28'
(pen.)
Chrystian Barletta
(ast. de Pena Carlos)
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sport Recife a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Nautico Recife 28%). The final result was Sport Recife 2–0 Nautico Recife.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
6
2.25
Actual xG
1.25
6
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
1
Corners
8
15
Tackles
6
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Yago Felipe
21'
23'
Victor Andrade
26'
Luiz Felipe
⚽Chrystian Barletta
(pen.)
28'
Ze Marcos
35'
Clayson
/ Iury Castilho
45'
Ze Lucas
49'
52'
Paulo Sergio
Yago Felipe
/ Pedro Martins
62'
Iury Castilho
64'
67'
Arnaldo
/
Reginaldo
67'
Yuri
/
Betao
67'
Junior Todinho
/
Paulo Sergio
76'
Vitinho
/
Leonai Souza
Pedro Perotti
/ Fabio Matheus
79'
Ze Lucas
/ de Pena Carlos
79'
Biel Fonseca
/ Ze Gabriel
79'
⚽Chrystian Barletta
· ast. de Pena Carlos
83'
84'
Derek
/
Victor Andrade
Chrystian Barletta
86'
Pre-match prediction
44.21%
Sport ←
27.52%
X
28.28%
Nautico
we assigned to the actual result (Sport Recife)
44.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
2.25
+0.4
1.26
1.25
-0.01
Sport Recife dominated by xG (2.25 vs 1.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
26
Thiago Couto
G
Thiago Couto
G
96
Edson
D
Edson
D
4
Zé Marcos
D
Zé Marcos
D
5
Marcelo Benevenuto
D
Marcelo Benevenuto
D
13
Madson
D
Madson
D
58
Zé Lucas
79'
M
Zé Lucas
79'
M
6
Biel
79'
M
Biel
79'
M
25
Clayson
45'
M
Clayson
45'
M
7
Yago Felipe
62'
M
Yago Felipe
62'
M
30
Chrystian Barletta
2 ⚽
M
Chrystian Barletta
2 ⚽
M
9
Perotti
79'
F
Perotti
79'
F
Bench
68
Augusto
D
Augusto
D
10
C. de Pena
1 👟
16'
M
C. de Pena
1 👟
16'
M
47
Fabio Matheus
16'
M
Fabio Matheus
16'
M
11
Gustavo Maia
F
Gustavo Maia
F
28
Habraão
D
Habraão
D
1
Halls
G
Halls
G
95
Iury Castilho
50'
F
Iury Castilho
50'
F
3
Marcelo Ajul
D
Marcelo Ajul
D
8
Max
M
Max
M
77
Micael de Barros Viturino
F
Micael de Barros Viturino
F
48
Pedro Martins
33'
M
Pedro Martins
33'
M
23
Zé Gabriel
16'
M
Zé Gabriel
16'
M
1
Muriel
G
Muriel
G
23
Igor Fernandes
D
Igor Fernandes
D
3
Alberto
67'
D
Alberto
67'
D
25
Mateus Silva
D
Mateus Silva
D
93
Reginaldo Lopes
67'
D
Reginaldo Lopes
67'
D
19
Leonai
76'
M
Leonai
76'
M
27
Luiz Felipe
M
Luiz Felipe
M
11
Victor Andrade
84'
M
Victor Andrade
84'
M
10
Dodozinho
M
Dodozinho
M
7
Vinícius
M
Vinícius
M
9
Paulo Sérgio
67'
F
Paulo Sérgio
67'
F
Bench
2
Arnaldo
28'
D
Arnaldo
28'
D
5
Auremir
M
Auremir
M
72
Derek
11'
F
Derek
11'
F
30
Felipe Cardoso
M
Felipe Cardoso
M
55
G. Guruceaga
G
G. Guruceaga
G
29
Júnior Todinho
28'
F
Júnior Todinho
28'
F
14
Matheus Ribeiro
D
Matheus Ribeiro
D
40
Ramon
M
Ramon
M
41
Samuel
M
Samuel
M
22
Vitinho
19'
M
Vitinho
19'
M
34
Wanderson
D
Wanderson
D
6
Yuri
28'
D
Yuri
28'
D
Best on the pitch
Thiago Couto
G · Sport
9.60
· 36 pass
Chrystian Barletta
M · Sport
8.90
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
Madson
D · Sport
7.70
· 13 pass
C. de Pena
M · Sport
7.60
1 👟
· 6 pass
Marcelo Benevenuto
D · Sport
7.20
· 26 pass
Edson
D · Sport
6.90
1 shots
· 30 pass
Sport Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Couto | G | 95 | 9.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Edson | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Zé Marcos | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Marcelo Benevenuto | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Madson | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Zé Lucas | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Biel | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Clayson | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Yago Felipe | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Chrystian Barletta | M | 95 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 25 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Perotti | F | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| C. de Pena | M | 16 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Matheus | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Iury Castilho | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Martins | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Zé Gabriel | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel | G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Igor Fernandes | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Alberto | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Mateus Silva | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Reginaldo Lopes | D | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Leonai | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Felipe | M | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Andrade | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dodozinho | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 5 | 32 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Sérgio | F | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Arnaldo | D | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Derek | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Júnior Todinho | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Yuri | D | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Nautico Recife?
The final score was Sport Recife 2–0 Nautico Recife.
What did the model predict before Sport Recife vs Nautico Recife?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Sport Recife win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Nautico Recife win.