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Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Köln

Regionalliga - West May 16, 2026 14:00
Sportfreunde Lotte
#9 · 44 pts
vs
Fortuna Köln
#1 · 69 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 12.1°C 💨 14 km/h 🌧️ 28% · Lotte
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.22%
Win
Sportfreunde Lotte
23.31%
Draw
53.47%
Win
Fortuna Köln
0.94
Expected xG
1.66

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fortuna Köln a 53% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Sportfreunde Lotte. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sportfreunde Lotte and 1.7 for Fortuna Köln (total 2.6), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 12.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Sportfreunde Lotte have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Köln.

Score Matrix
↕ Sportfreunde Lotte Fortuna Köln →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5% 12.4% 10.3% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.0% 11.6% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.3% 5.4% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 — 0.1% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte
W Bonner SC 1–2
W Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1–0
D FC Bocholt 1–1
L FC Gutersloh 3–0
L Rot-weiss Oberhausen 0–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%
Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln
W Sportfreunde Siegen 2–1
L Paderborn II 2–1
W Wiedenbrück 2–0
L Köln II 3–0
W Schalke 04 II 4–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 33%
Playing profile
Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte
Attack
28
Defence
54
Form
40
Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln
Attack
38
Defence
71
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Sportfreunde Lotte
0
Draw
1
Fortuna Köln
L 29 Nov 2025 Regionalliga - West 0–4
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 33 69
2 Rot-weiss Oberhausen Rot-weiss Oberhausen 33 65
3 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 33 58
4 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 33 58
5 Borussia M'gladbach II Borussia M'gladbach II 33 58
6 FC Gutersloh FC Gutersloh 33 56
7 Sportfreunde Siegen Sportfreunde Siegen 33 52
8 Köln II Köln II 33 45
9 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 33 44
10 Paderborn II Paderborn II 33 43
11 Bonner SC Bonner SC 33 43
12 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 33 39
13 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 33 38
14 Bochum II Bochum II 33 38
15 SV Rodinghausen SV Rodinghausen 33 29
16 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 33 26
17 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 33 26
18 SSVg Velbert SSVg Velbert 33 25
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Fortuna Köln?
The model gives Sportfreunde Lotte a 23% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 53% for an Fortuna Köln win.
How many goals are expected in Sportfreunde Lotte vs Fortuna Köln?
Expected goals: Sportfreunde Lotte 0.9, Fortuna Köln 1.7 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Sportfreunde Lotte vs Fortuna Köln?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.