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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9 October 25, 2026 21:30 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Sporting CP
#3 · 18 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Academico Viseu
#6 · 17 pts
Luis Suárez (ast. Iván Fresneda) 62'
24' (ast. Robinho) João Guilherme
74' (ast. Soufiane Messeguem) João Guilherme
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 52% win probability (draw 25%, Academico Viseu 22%). The final result was Sporting CP 1–2 Academico Viseu.

Match statistics
28
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
3
2.06
Actual xG
0.86
0
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
11
Corners
0
16
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
9'
Luis Silva
11'
Cihan Kahraman
24'
ast. Robinho · João Guilherme⚽
Issa Doumbia
41'
45'+2
45'+6
Nils Mortimer
↕ Luís Guilherme / Geny Catamo
58'
↕ Flávio Gonçalves / Fotis Ioannidis
58'
⚽Luis Suárez · ast. Iván Fresneda
62'
63'
Lorougnon Gohi / Nils Mortimer ↕
72'
Alejandro Mestanza / Cihan Kahraman ↕
74'
ast. Soufiane Messeguem · João Guilherme⚽
↕ Iván Fresneda / Georgios Vagiannidis
85'
↕ Sergi Altimira / Silas Andersen
85'
↕ Nestory Irankunda / Jesse Derry
85'
87'
Mohamed Bouldini / André Clóvis ↕
87'
Alvaro Zamora / João Guilherme ↕
Maximiliano Araujo
88'
90'+4
Alejandro Mestanza
Pre-match prediction
52.33%
Sporting
25.37%
X
22.3%
Academico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Academico Viseu) 22.3% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
1.68
2.06
+0.38
Academico
0.87
0.86
-0.01
Sporting CP dominated by xG (2.06 vs 0.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 9 27
2 Benfica Benfica 9 22
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 9 18
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 9 18
5 Arouca Arouca 9 17
6 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 9 17
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 9 14
8 Alverca Alverca 9 11
9 SC Braga SC Braga 9 11
10 Moreirense Moreirense 9 11
11 Famalicao Famalicao 9 10
12 Estrela Estrela 9 10
13 Vitória SC Vitória SC 9 8
14 Maritimo Maritimo 9 8
15 Nacional Nacional 9 7
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 9 7
17 Rio Ave Rio Ave 9 7
18 Estoril Estoril 9 2
Lineups
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
30 Kaique Kaique G 5.96
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo D 6.66
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio D 7.23
55 Ibrahima Ba Ibrahima Ba D 6.73
22 Iván Fresneda Iván Fresneda 1 👟 85' D 6.98
77 I. Doumbia I. Doumbia M 6.23
5 Sergi Altimira Sergi Altimira 85' M 7.14
19 N. Irankunda N. Irankunda 85' M 7.20
58 Flávio Gonçalves Flávio Gonçalves 58' M 6.50
31 Luis Guilherme Luis Guilherme 58' M 6.77
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ F 7.78
Bench
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo Eduardo Felicíssimo M 0.00
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma D 0.00
7 F. Ioannidis F. Ioannidis 32' F 6.36
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 32' M 6.62
13 G. Vagiannidis G. Vagiannidis 5' D 6.09
28 J. Derry J. Derry 5' F 6.62
8 João Simões João Simões M 0.00
18 M. Zekri M. Zekri D 0.00
21 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima M 0.00
9 Rafael Ferreira Nel Rafael Ferreira Nel F 0.00
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 0.00
4 S. Andersen S. Andersen 5' M 6.07
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 4-1-4-1
98 Ewerton Ewerton G 6.80
3 Miguel Brau Miguel Brau D 6.62
2 N. Michelis N. Michelis D 7.06
41 A. Correia A. Correia D 6.82
75 Robinho Robinho 1 👟 D 6.65
7 Luís Silva Luís Silva M 6.50
31 João Guilherme João Guilherme 2 ⚽ 87' M 8.85
8 C. Kahraman C. Kahraman 72' M 6.25
14 S. Messeguem S. Messeguem 1 👟 M 7.36
22 Nils Mortimer Nils Mortimer 63' M 6.22
33 André Clóvis André Clóvis 87' F 6.35
Bench
45 Alejandro Mestanza Alejandro Mestanza 18' M 6.28
6 André Ceitil André Ceitil M 0.00
10 Á. Zamora Á. Zamora 3' F 6.89
18 C. Ferreira C. Ferreira M 0.00
57 G. Costa G. Costa D 0.00
12 Juan Soriano Juan Soriano G 0.00
47 L. Gohi L. Gohi 27' F 6.49
58 Matheus Matheus G 0.00
9 M. Bouldini M. Bouldini 3' F 6.43
5 Pedro Barcelos Pedro Barcelos D 0.00
44 Rúben Pereira Rúben Pereira D 0.00
17 Valery Valery D 0.00
Best on the pitch
João Guilherme
João Guilherme
M · Academico
8.85
2 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
7.78
1 ⚽
8 shots · 20 pass
S. Messeguem
S. Messeguem
M · Academico
7.36
1 👟
2 shots · 15 pass
Gonçalo Inácio
Gonçalo Inácio
D · Sporting
7.23
1 shots · 73 pass
N. Irankunda
N. Irankunda
M · Sporting
7.20
3 shots · 50 pass
Sergi Altimira
Sergi Altimira
M · Sporting
7.14
1 shots · 84 pass
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kaique G 90 5.96 — — 0 19 19% 0 — —
M. Araújo D 90 6.66 — — 4 72 62% 2 1 —
Gonçalo Inácio D 90 7.23 — — 1 73 66% 1 — —
Ibrahima Ba D 90 6.73 — — 3 63 61% 1 — —
Iván Fresneda D 85 6.98 — 1 1 68 65% 1 — —
I. Doumbia M 90 6.23 — — 1 29 28% 1 1 —
Sergi Altimira M 85 7.14 — — 1 84 80% 4 — —
N. Irankunda M 85 7.20 — — 3 50 41% 1 — —
Flávio Gonçalves M 58 6.50 — — 2 23 19% 0 — —
Luis Guilherme M 58 6.77 — — 1 39 33% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 90 7.78 1 — 8 20 15% 0 — —
F. Ioannidis F 32 6.36 — — 2 13 10% 1 — —
Geny Catamo M 32 6.62 — — 1 25 24% 0 — —
G. Vagiannidis D 5 6.09 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
J. Derry F 5 6.62 — — 0 3 2% 2 — —
S. Andersen M 5 6.07 — — 0 9 9% 1 — —
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ewerton G 90 6.80 — — 0 46 24% 0 — —
Miguel Brau D 90 6.62 — — 0 12 8% 3 — —
N. Michelis D 90 7.06 — — 0 23 21% 2 — —
A. Correia D 90 6.82 — — 0 38 33% 1 — —
Robinho D 90 6.65 — 1 0 28 17% 4 — —
Luís Silva M 90 6.50 — — 0 25 22% 0 1 —
João Guilherme M 87 8.85 2 — 2 14 10% 1 — —
C. Kahraman M 72 6.25 — — 0 19 16% 0 1 —
S. Messeguem M 90 7.36 — 1 2 15 13% 2 — —
Nils Mortimer M 63 6.22 — — 1 9 8% 1 1 —
André Clóvis F 87 6.35 — — 3 11 8% 1 — —
Alejandro Mestanza M 18 6.28 — — 0 3 2% 1 1 —
Á. Zamora F 3 6.89 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
L. Gohi F 27 6.49 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
M. Bouldini F 3 6.43 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu?
The final score was Sporting CP 1–2 Academico Viseu.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Sporting CP win, 25% to a draw, and 22% to an Academico Viseu win.