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Sporting CP - Barcelona

Champions League January 20, 2027 21:00
Sporting CP
#12 · 6 pts
vs
Barcelona
#8 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.36%
Win
Sporting CP
31.3%
Draw
28.34%
Win
Barcelona
1.17
Expected xG
0.71

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.66%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 31%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 60%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sporting CP a 40% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Barcelona. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sporting CP and 0.7 for Barcelona (total 1.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.66% probability.

Season Stats

Sporting CP
8W 2D 5L
Barcelona
9W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
2.9
1.3
Conceded
1.7
5.0
Shots OT
7.3
4.4
Corners
4.7
50%
Poss.
64%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
100%
73%
O 2.5
87%
60%
BTTS
87%
27%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
76%
BTTS
Sporting CP
6W 0D 2L · at home
Barcelona
4W 2D 2L · away
2.6
gls/g
2.2
1.0
Conceded
2.0
75%
Win %
50%
75%
Win or Draw
75%
88%
O 1.5
100%
88%
O 2.5
88%
50%
O 3.5
50%
63%
BTTS
88%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
13%
Failed to Score
13%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sporting CP Barcelona →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.3% 10.8% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% —
1 17.9% 12.7% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 10.5% 7.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 4.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% — —
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Sporting CP Sporting CP
L Lask Linz 2–3
W Lens 0–2
W Galatasaray 3–1
D Arsenal 0–0
L Arsenal 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Barcelona Barcelona
L Paris Saint Germain 4–2
W Galatasaray 1–4
W Feyenoord 5–1
W Atletico Madrid 1–2
L Atletico Madrid 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Sporting CP Sporting CP
Attack
50
Defence
64
Form
53
Barcelona Barcelona
Attack
74
Defence
56
Form
69
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sporting CP vs Barcelona?
The model gives Sporting CP a 40% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 28% for an Barcelona win.
How many goals are expected in Sporting CP vs Barcelona?
Expected goals: Sporting CP 1.2, Barcelona 0.7 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Sporting CP vs Barcelona?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.66%.