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Sporting CP - Barcelona

Champions League January 20, 2027 21:00
#7 · 3 pts
vs
#3 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.36%
Win
Sporting CP
31.3%
Draw
28.34%
Win
Barcelona
1.17
Expected xG
0.71

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.66%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 31%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 60%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sporting CP a 40% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Barcelona. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sporting CP and 0.7 for Barcelona (total 1.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.66% probability.

Season Stats

Sporting CP
7W 2D 4L
Barcelona
8W 2D 3L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
2.8
1.2
Conceded
1.6
5.1
Shots OT
7.2
4.3
Corners
4.8
49%
Poss.
64%
Percentages
85%
O 1.5
100%
77%
O 2.5
85%
62%
BTTS
85%
23%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
38%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Sporting CP
6W 0D 1L · at home
Barcelona
3W 2D 1L · away
2.7
gls/g
2.0
0.7
Conceded
1.8
86%
Win %
50%
86%
Win or Draw
83%
86%
O 1.5
100%
86%
O 2.5
83%
43%
O 3.5
33%
57%
BTTS
83%
29%
Clean Sht
0%
14%
Failed to Score
17%
last 7
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sporting CP Barcelona →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.3% 10.8% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 17.9% 12.7% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
2 10.5% 7.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W Galatasaray 3–1
D Arsenal 0–0
L Arsenal 0–1
W Bodo/Glimt 5–0
L Bodo/Glimt 3–0
W Feyenoord 5–1
W Atletico Madrid 1–2
L Atletico Madrid 0–2
W Newcastle 7–2
D Newcastle 1–1

Playing profile

Sporting CP Sporting CP
Attack
65
Defence
84
Form
67
Barcelona Barcelona
Attack
69
Defence
79
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 1 3
2 Bayern München Bayern München 1 3
3 Barcelona Barcelona 1 3
4 Manchester United Manchester United 1 3
5 Como Como 1 3
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 1 3
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1 3
8 Manchester City Manchester City 1 3
9 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1 3
10 Lens Lens 1 3
11 Real Betis Real Betis 1 3
12 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1 3
13 Liverpool Liverpool 1 3
14 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1 3
15 Arsenal Arsenal 1 3
16 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 3
17 AS Roma AS Roma 1 1
18 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1 1
19 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1 1
20 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1 1
21 Villarreal Villarreal 1 0
22 Lille Lille 1 0
23 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 1 0
24 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 1 0
25 Inter Inter 1 0
26 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1 0
27 Napoli Napoli 1 0
28 Lask Linz Lask Linz 1 0
29 Viking Viking 1 0
30 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1 0
31 FC Porto FC Porto 1 0
32 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1 0
33 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1 0
34 Sabah FA Sabah FA 1 0
35 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 1 0
36 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sporting CP vs Barcelona?
The model gives Sporting CP a 40% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 28% for an Barcelona win.
How many goals are expected in Sporting CP vs Barcelona?
Expected goals: Sporting CP 1.2, Barcelona 0.7 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Sporting CP vs Barcelona?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.66%.