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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 2 August 14, 2026 21:15
Sporting CP
#3 · 13 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Vitória SC
#12 · 4 pts
F. Goncalves (ast. F. Ioannidis) 9'
F. Ioannidis (ast. G. Catamo) 22'
S. Altimira (ast. F. Ioannidis) 41'
66' (ast. M. Nogueira) Samu
68' (ast. T. Strata) A. Ndoye
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Vitória SC 30%). The final result was Sporting CP 3–2 Vitória SC. In 2 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vitória SC.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
3
1.12
Actual xG
1.21
1
Saves
0
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
1
17
Tackles
26
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽F. Goncalves · ast. F. Ioannidis
9'
⚽F. Ioannidis · ast. G. Catamo
22'
S. Altimira
24'
26'
Thiago Balieiro
38'
O. Rivas Viondi
⚽S. Altimira · ast. F. Ioannidis
41'
46'
M. Nogueira / O. Camara ↕
46'
T. Strata / Maga ↕
46'
L. Doucet / Beni ↕
G. Catamo
55'
64'
M. Nogueira
66'
ast. M. Nogueira · Samu⚽
↕ F. Goncalves / L. Suarez
66'
↕ G. Catamo / Luis Guilherme
66'
68'
ast. T. Strata · A. Ndoye⚽
E. Quaresma
69'
↕ F. Ioannidis / J. Derry
75'
77'
S. Verdi / G. Nogueira ↕
78'
Gustavo
↕ G. Vagiannidis / I. Fresneda
83'
88'
P. Ouotro / Samu ↕
G. Inacio
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
39.53%
Sporting ←
30.46%
X
30.01%
Vitória
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP) 39.53% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
3.96
1.12
-2.84
Vitória
1.46
1.21
-0.25
xG dominance was balanced (1.12 – 1.21). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 5 15
2 Benfica Benfica 5 13
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5 13
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5 11
5 Arouca Arouca 5 10
6 Estrela Estrela 5 9
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4 7
8 SC Braga SC Braga 4 7
9 Maritimo Maritimo 5 7
10 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 5 5
11 Alverca Alverca 6 5
12 Vitória SC Vitória SC 5 4
13 Nacional Nacional 6 4
14 Moreirense Moreirense 5 4
15 Famalicao Famalicao 5 3
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 5 3
17 Estoril Estoril 5 2
18 Casa Pia Casa Pia 5 1
Lineups
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 6.30
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo D 6.20
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio D 6.70
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma D 6.70
13 G. Vagiannidis G. Vagiannidis 83' D 6.60
77 I. Doumbia I. Doumbia M 7.00
5 Sergi Altimira Sergi Altimira 1 ⚽ M 8.20
58 Flávio Gonçalves Flávio Gonçalves 1 ⚽ 66' M 7.30
17 R. Zalazar R. Zalazar M 5.60
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 1 👟 66' M 7.30
7 F. Ioannidis F. Ioannidis 1 ⚽ 2 👟 75' F 8.50
Bench
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo Eduardo Felicíssimo M
55 Ibrahima Ba Ibrahima Ba D
22 Iván Fresneda Iván Fresneda 13' D 6.70
28 J. Derry J. Derry 21' F 6.60
12 João Virgínia João Virgínia G
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 30' F 6.30
31 Luis Guilherme Luis Guilherme 30' F 6.90
21 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima M
9 Rafael Ferreira Nel Rafael Ferreira Nel F
50 Rodrigo Dias Rodrigo Dias D
4 S. Andersen S. Andersen M
6 Z. Debast Z. Debast D
Vitória SC Vitória SC 4-2-3-1
48 O. Zych O. Zych G 5.50
13 João Mendes João Mendes D 6.50
28 Thiago Balieiro Thiago Balieiro D 5.90
4 Óscar Rivas Óscar Rivas D 6.30
2 Miguel Maga Miguel Maga 45' D 5.90
16 Beni Beni 45' M 5.90
8 Gonçalo Nogueira Gonçalo Nogueira 77' M 6.70
11 Gustavo Gustavo M 6.30
20 Samu Samu 1 ⚽ 88' M 8.00
7 O. Camara O. Camara 45' M 6.70
24 A. Ndoye A. Ndoye 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
5 A. Sidibé A. Sidibé D
82 F. Dias F. Dias D
22 J. Castillo J. Castillo G
44 L. Doucet L. Doucet 51' M 6.90
98 Lucas Furtado Lucas Furtado G
17 Miguel Nogueira Miguel Nogueira 1 👟 51' M 6.70
6 M. Mitrović M. Mitrović M
56 S. Verdi S. Verdi 19' M 6.50
18 Telmo Arcanjo Telmo Arcanjo M
23 T. Strata T. Strata 1 👟 51' D 7.70
29 V. Ouotro V. Ouotro 8' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
F. Ioannidis
F. Ioannidis
F · Sporting
8.50
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
Sergi Altimira
Sergi Altimira
M · Sporting
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 72 pass
Samu
Samu
M · Vitória
8.00
1 ⚽
5 shots · 21 pass
T. Strata
T. Strata
D · Vitória
7.70
1 👟
· 24 pass
Flávio Gonçalves
Flávio Gonçalves
M · Sporting
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Geny Catamo
Geny Catamo
M · Sporting
7.30
1 👟
· 24 pass
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 96 6.30 — — — 48 36% — — —
M. Araújo D 96 6.20 — — — 40 36% 2 — —
Gonçalo Inácio D 96 6.70 — — — 78 69% — 1 —
Eduardo Quaresma D 96 6.70 — — — 73 70% — 1 —
G. Vagiannidis D 83 6.60 — — — 41 33% 2 — —
I. Doumbia M 96 7.00 — — — 49 46% 4 — —
Sergi Altimira M 96 8.20 1 — 1 72 68% 4 1 —
Flávio Gonçalves M 66 7.30 1 — 1 17 15% — — —
R. Zalazar M 96 5.60 — — — 33 26% 2 — —
Geny Catamo M 66 7.30 — 1 — 24 18% 1 1 —
F. Ioannidis F 75 8.50 1 2 1 11 8% — — —
Iván Fresneda D 13 6.70 — — — 9 7% — — —
J. Derry F 21 6.60 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 30 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Luis Guilherme F 30 6.90 — — — 8 8% 1 — —
Vitória SC Vitória SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
O. Zych G 96 5.50 — — — 26 21% — — —
João Mendes D 96 6.50 — — — 34 27% 5 — —
Thiago Balieiro D 96 5.90 — — — 61 56% 1 1 —
Óscar Rivas D 96 6.30 — — — 55 49% 2 1 —
Miguel Maga D 45 5.90 — — — 23 21% — — —
Beni M 45 5.90 — — — 18 15% — — —
Gonçalo Nogueira M 77 6.70 — — — 28 24% 3 — —
Gustavo M 96 6.30 — — 2 25 13% 6 1 —
Samu M 88 8.00 1 — 5 21 17% 3 — —
O. Camara M 45 6.70 — — — 9 6% 2 — —
A. Ndoye F 96 6.90 1 — 3 16 12% — — —
L. Doucet M 51 6.90 — — — 32 28% — — —
Miguel Nogueira M 51 6.70 — 1 — 13 13% — 1 —
S. Verdi M 19 6.50 — — — 8 6% — — —
T. Strata D 51 7.70 — 1 — 24 20% 4 — —
V. Ouotro F 8 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?
The final score was Sporting CP 3–2 Vitória SC.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Vitória SC?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Sporting CP win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Vitória SC win.