✗Model wrong — prediction Sporting CP, result Lask Linz wins
Luis Suárez
5'
(pen.)
Luis Suárez
89'
15'
(ast. Kasper Jorgensen)
Christoph Lang
63'
(ast. Robert Ljubicic)
Sasa Kalajdzic
68'
(ast. Samuel Adeniran)
Krystof Danek
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Lask Linz 20%). The final result was Sporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
7
3.18
Actual xG
1.14
4
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
7
Corners
4
12
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
⚽Luis Suárez
(pen.)
5'
15'
ast. Kasper Jorgensen ·
Christoph Lang⚽
33'
Christoph Lang
45'
Sascha Horvath
52'
Tobias Schützenauer
/
Lukas Jungwirth
63'
ast. Robert Ljubicic ·
Sasa Kalajdzic⚽
Issa Doumbia
64'
João Simões
65'
65'
Alessandro Schöpf
/
Sascha Horvath
65'
Samuel Adeniran
/
Christoph Lang
João Simões
/ Flávio Gonçalves
67'
68'
ast. Samuel Adeniran ·
Krystof Danek⚽
72'
Sasa Kalajdzic
Geny Catamo
/ Luís Guilherme
79'
Nestory Irankunda
/ Jesse Derry
79'
Issa Doumbia
/ Fotis Ioannidis
80'
83'
Moses Usor
/
Sasa Kalajdzic
83'
Florian Flecker
/
Kasper Jorgensen
⚽Luis Suárez
89'
89'
Tobias Schützenauer
90'+1
Krystof Danek
Pre-match prediction
56.27%
Sporting
23.65%
X
20.08%
Lask ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lask Linz)
20.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
3.18
+1.65
0.85
1.14
+0.29
Sporting CP dominated by xG (3.18 vs 1.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Kaique
G
Kaique
G
20
M. Araújo
D
M. Araújo
D
25
Gonçalo Inácio
D
Gonçalo Inácio
D
72
Eduardo Quaresma
D
Eduardo Quaresma
D
22
Iván Fresneda
D
Iván Fresneda
D
77
I. Doumbia
80'
M
I. Doumbia
80'
M
5
Sergi Altimira
M
Sergi Altimira
M
8
João Simões
67'
M
João Simões
67'
M
19
N. Irankunda
79'
F
N. Irankunda
79'
F
97
L. Suárez
2 ⚽
F
L. Suárez
2 ⚽
F
10
Geny Catamo
79'
F
Geny Catamo
79'
F
Bench
73
Eduardo Felicíssimo
M
Eduardo Felicíssimo
M
7
F. Ioannidis
10'
F
F. Ioannidis
10'
F
58
Flávio Gonçalves
23'
F
Flávio Gonçalves
23'
F
13
G. Vagiannidis
D
G. Vagiannidis
D
55
Ibrahima Ba
D
Ibrahima Ba
D
28
J. Derry
11'
F
J. Derry
11'
F
31
Luis Guilherme
11'
F
Luis Guilherme
11'
F
21
Pedro Lima
M
Pedro Lima
M
9
Rafael Ferreira Nel
F
Rafael Ferreira Nel
F
50
Rodrigo Dias
D
Rodrigo Dias
D
1
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
4
S. Andersen
M
S. Andersen
M
1
L. Jungwirth
52'
G
L. Jungwirth
52'
G
16
A. Andrade
D
A. Andrade
D
43
Alemão
D
Alemão
D
4
X. Mbuyamba
D
X. Mbuyamba
D
25
Y. Dibango
M
Y. Dibango
M
30
S. Horvath
65'
M
S. Horvath
65'
M
10
R. Ljubičić
1 👟
M
R. Ljubičić
1 👟
M
20
K. Jørgensen
1 👟
83'
M
K. Jørgensen
1 👟
83'
M
27
C. Lang
1 ⚽
65'
F
C. Lang
1 ⚽
65'
F
11
S. Kalajdzic
1 ⚽
83'
F
S. Kalajdzic
1 ⚽
83'
F
9
K. Daněk
1 ⚽
F
K. Daněk
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
A. Schöpf
25'
M
A. Schöpf
25'
M
23
Daniel Elfadli
M
Daniel Elfadli
M
29
F. Flecker
7'
F
F. Flecker
7'
F
6
M. Bogarde
D
M. Bogarde
D
3
M. Freckleton
D
M. Freckleton
D
8
M. Usor
7'
F
M. Usor
7'
F
21
M. Verhaeghe
D
M. Verhaeghe
D
45
N. Kane
F
N. Kane
F
7
S. Adeniran
1 👟
25'
F
S. Adeniran
1 👟
25'
F
33
T. Schützenauer
38'
G
T. Schützenauer
38'
G
Best on the pitch
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
8.20
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 17 pass
S. Kalajdzic
F · Lask
7.78
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
K. Daněk
F · Lask
7.72
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
C. Lang
F · Lask
7.52
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 6 pass
R. Ljubičić
M · Lask
7.34
1 👟
· 45 pass
X. Mbuyamba
D · Lask
6.98
1 shots
· 44 pass
Sporting CP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaique | G | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Araújo | D | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Inácio | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 97 | 90% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 78 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Fresneda | D | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 75 | 68% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Doumbia | M | 80 | 5.94 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sergi Altimira | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| João Simões | M | 67 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Irankunda | F | 79 | 6.36 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 90 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 6 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Geny Catamo | F | 79 | 6.45 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Ioannidis | F | 10 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Flávio Gonçalves | F | 23 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Derry | F | 11 | 6.11 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Luis Guilherme | F | 11 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
Lask Linz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jungwirth | G | 52 | 5.54 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Andrade | D | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Alemão | D | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Mbuyamba | D | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| Y. Dibango | M | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Horvath | M | 65 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Ljubičić | M | 90 | 7.34 | — | 1 | 0 | 45 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Jørgensen | M | 83 | 6.56 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Lang | F | 65 | 7.52 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Kalajdzic | F | 83 | 7.78 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Daněk | F | 90 | 7.72 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Schöpf | M | 25 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Flecker | F | 7 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Usor | F | 7 | 6.82 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Adeniran | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Schützenauer | G | 38 | 5.53 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
The final score was Sporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Sporting CP win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Lask Linz win.