Sporting CP - Manchester United
Champions League
November 25, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.4%
Win
Sporting CP
29.78%
Draw
23.82%
Win
Manchester United
1.38
0.52
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.32%)
1X2 Result
1
46%
X
30%
2
24%
Double Chance
1X
76%
X2
54%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sporting CP a 46% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Manchester United. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sporting CP and 0.5 for Manchester United (total 1.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.32% probability.
Season Stats
7W
2D
4L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
4.0
1.2
Conceded
0.0
5.1
Shots OT
10.0
4.3
Corners
7.0
49%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
85%
O 1.5
100%
77%
O 2.5
100%
62%
BTTS
0%
23%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Sporting CP
Manchester United →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 1 | 20.7% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 14.3% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sporting CP
Attack
52
Defence
75
Form
66
Manchester United
Attack
53
Defence
54
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sporting CP vs Manchester United?
The model gives Sporting CP a 46% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 23% for an Manchester United win.
How many goals are expected in Sporting CP vs Manchester United?
Expected goals: Sporting CP 1.4, Manchester United 0.5 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Sporting CP vs Manchester United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.32%.