Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 5
September 05, 2026 21:30
Luis Suárez
32'
(pen.)
Flávio Gonçalves
(ast. Luis Suárez)
49'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Nacional 23%). The final result was Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional. In 2 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nacional.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
6
67%
Possession
33%
12
Corners
0
16
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Maximiliano Araujo
5'
Sergi Altimira
20'
⚽Luis Suárez
(pen.)
32'
45'
Deivison Souza Brito
/
Léo Santos
48'
Markus Jensen
⚽Flávio Gonçalves
· ast. Luis Suárez
49'
62'
Allen Obando
/
Pablo Ruan
62'
Chiheb Labidi
/
Markus Jensen
Geny Catamo
/ Luís Guilherme
67'
Rodrigo Zalazar
/ Nestory Irankunda
67'
Luis Suárez
/ Fotis Ioannidis
67'
73'
Matchoi Djaló
/
Stavros Gavriel
Maximiliano Araujo
/ Georgios Vagiannidis
78'
80'
Daniel de Melo Araujo Junior
/
Miguel Baeza
Sergi Altimira
/ Silas Andersen
87'
Pre-match prediction
50.47%
Sporting ←
25.81%
X
23.72%
Nacional
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP)
50.47%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.55
—
—
0.93
—
—
Lineups
1
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
20
M. Araújo
78'
D
M. Araújo
78'
D
25
Gonçalo Inácio
D
Gonçalo Inácio
D
6
Z. Debast
D
Z. Debast
D
22
Iván Fresneda
D
Iván Fresneda
D
77
I. Doumbia
M
I. Doumbia
M
5
Sergi Altimira
87'
M
Sergi Altimira
87'
M
58
Flávio Gonçalves
1 ⚽
M
Flávio Gonçalves
1 ⚽
M
17
R. Zalazar
67'
M
R. Zalazar
67'
M
10
Geny Catamo
67'
M
Geny Catamo
67'
M
97
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
Bench
73
Eduardo Felicíssimo
M
Eduardo Felicíssimo
M
72
Eduardo Quaresma
D
Eduardo Quaresma
D
7
F. Ioannidis
23'
F
F. Ioannidis
23'
F
13
G. Vagiannidis
12'
D
G. Vagiannidis
12'
D
28
J. Derry
F
J. Derry
F
30
Kaique
G
Kaique
G
31
Luis Guilherme
23'
F
Luis Guilherme
23'
F
19
N. Irankunda
23'
F
N. Irankunda
23'
F
21
Pedro Lima
M
Pedro Lima
M
9
Rafael Ferreira Nel
F
Rafael Ferreira Nel
F
50
Rodrigo Dias
D
Rodrigo Dias
D
4
S. Andersen
3'
M
S. Andersen
3'
M
1
Renato Bellucci
G
Renato Bellucci
G
38
Zé Vitor
D
Zé Vitor
D
33
Francisco Gonçalves
D
Francisco Gonçalves
D
34
Léo Santos
45'
D
Léo Santos
45'
D
21
W. Kokolo
M
W. Kokolo
M
8
Miguel Baeza
80'
M
Miguel Baeza
80'
M
6
Matheus Dias
M
Matheus Dias
M
52
Wesley Gasolina
M
Wesley Gasolina
M
7
M. Jensen
62'
M
M. Jensen
62'
M
11
S. Gavriel
73'
M
S. Gavriel
73'
M
99
Pablo Ruan
62'
F
Pablo Ruan
62'
F
Bench
9
A. Obando
28'
F
A. Obando
28'
F
15
C. Labidi
28'
M
C. Labidi
28'
M
2
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
D
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
D
10
Daniel Júnior
10'
M
Daniel Júnior
10'
M
31
D. Dongmo
M
D. Dongmo
M
88
Deivison
45'
M
Deivison
45'
M
17
F. Nava
F
F. Nava
F
50
Kevyn
G
Kevyn
G
20
Matchoi Djaló
17'
F
Matchoi Djaló
17'
F
Best on the pitch
Flávio Gonçalves
M · Sporting
7.98
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 27 pass
Z. Debast
D · Sporting
7.50
· 109 pass
Luis Guilherme
F · Sporting
7.20
1 shots
· 16 pass
Rui Silva
G · Sporting
7.14
· 27 pass
Sergi Altimira
M · Sporting
7.04
· 89 pass
Sporting CP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | G | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Araújo | D | 78 | 6.96 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 42% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Gonçalo Inácio | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 89 | 80% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Debast | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 0 | 109 | 102% | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Fresneda | D | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 72% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Doumbia | M | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Sergi Altimira | M | 87 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 89 | 79% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Flávio Gonçalves | M | 90 | 7.98 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Zalazar | M | 67 | 6.24 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Geny Catamo | M | 67 | 6.72 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 67 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Ioannidis | F | 23 | 6.40 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Vagiannidis | D | 12 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Luis Guilherme | F | 23 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Irankunda | F | 23 | 6.61 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Andersen | M | 3 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Bellucci | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | D | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Gonçalves | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Léo Santos | D | 45 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Kokolo | M | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Baeza | M | 80 | 5.96 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Dias | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Wesley Gasolina | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 62 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Gavriel | M | 73 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Ruan | F | 62 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Obando | F | 28 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Labidi | M | 28 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Júnior | M | 10 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Deivison | M | 45 | 6.69 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Matchoi Djaló | F | 17 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Nacional?
The final score was Sporting CP 2–0 Nacional.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Nacional?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Sporting CP win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Nacional win.