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Sporting CP - UD da Serra

Taça de Portugal November 21, 2026 16:00
Sporting CP
vs
UD da Serra
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.26%
Win
Sporting CP
31.66%
Draw
35.08%
Win
UD da Serra
1.19
Expected xG
1.41

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.71%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 32%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 67%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives UD da Serra a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Sporting CP. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sporting CP and 1.4 for UD da Serra (total 2.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.71% probability.

Season Stats

Sporting CP
5W 1D 1L
UD da Serra
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.5
1.1
Conceded
1.5
4.0
Shots OT
—
12.0
Corners
—
61%
Poss.
—
Percentages
71%
O 1.5
100%
71%
O 2.5
50%
57%
BTTS
50%
43%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
29%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Sporting CP
3W 0D 1L · at home
UD da Serra
1W 1D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.7
1.0
Conceded
2.0
75%
Win %
33%
75%
Win or Draw
67%
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
33%
25%
O 3.5
33%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sporting CP UD da Serra →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4% 10.5% 7.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8.9% 12.5% 8.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.3% 7.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.1% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Sporting CP Sporting CP
L Torreense 1–2
D FC Porto 0–0
W FC Porto 1–0
W AVS 3–2
W Santa Clara 2–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
UD da Serra UD da Serra
D Vitoria Setubal 1–1
W Amora 3–4
W Uniao de Pombal 5–0
L CD Olivais e Moscavide 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Sporting CP Sporting CP
Attack
50
Defence
64
Form
59
UD da Serra UD da Serra
Attack
69
Defence
65
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sporting CP vs UD da Serra?
The model gives Sporting CP a 33% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 35% for an UD da Serra win.
How many goals are expected in Sporting CP vs UD da Serra?
Expected goals: Sporting CP 1.2, UD da Serra 1.4 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Sporting CP vs UD da Serra?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.71%.