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Liga 1 · Clausura - 10 September 19, 2026 22:30 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Sporting Cristal
#3 · 19 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Atletico Grau
#11 · 16 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sporting Cristal
Rafael Lutiger (ast. Yoshimar Yotún) 3'
Luis Iberico (ast. Santiago González) 26'
Michael Hoyos (ast. Yoshimar Yotún) 50'
45' (ast. Rafael Guarderas) Adrián Fernández
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting Cristal a 73% win probability (draw 14%, Atletico Grau 12%). The final result was Sporting Cristal 3–1 Atletico Grau. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting Cristal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Grau.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
11
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
8
53%
Possession
47%
9
Corners
5
19
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Rafael Lutiger · ast. Yoshimar Yotún
3'
⚽Luis Iberico · ast. Santiago González
26'
39'
Rafael Guarderas
45'
ast. Rafael Guarderas · Adrián Fernández⚽
45'
Mauro Da Luz / Diego Barreto ↕
50'
Freddy Oncoy
Cristiano
50'
⚽Michael Hoyos · ast. Yoshimar Yotún
50'
54'
Gabriel Alfaro
66'
Adrián Fernández
69'
Luis Benites / Pablo Lavandeira ↕
69'
Eslyn Imanol Correa Vilela / Adrián Fernández ↕
69'
Raúl Ruidíaz / Aldair Vásquez ↕
↕ Luis Iberico / Gabriel
77'
↕ Cristiano / Luis Abram
77'
78'
Christian Vasquez / Freddy Oncoy ↕
↕ Agustín Álvarez / Martín Távara
83'
↕ Santiago González / Juan Manuel Cuesta
84'
↕ Michael Hoyos / Irven Avila
87'
Luis Abram
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
73.25%
Sporting ←
14.05%
X
12.71%
Atletico
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sporting Cristal) 73.25% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
3.31
—
—
Atletico
1.21
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 10 22
2 Universitario Universitario 10 20
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 10 19
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 10 19
5 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 10 19
6 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 10 18
7 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 10 18
8 Sport Boys Sport Boys 10 18
9 Cusco Cusco 10 18
10 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 10 16
11 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 10 16
12 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 10 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 10 9
14 Cienciano Cienciano 9 7
15 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 10 7
16 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 9 7
17 ADT ADT 10 5
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 10 2
Lineups
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1
1 D. Enríquez D. Enríquez G 7.19
90 Cris Silva Cris Silva 77' D 6.10
5 R. Lutiger R. Lutiger 1 ⚽ D 7.22
20 M. Araujo M. Araujo D 6.15
8 L. Sosa L. Sosa D 7.01
19 Y. Yotún Y. Yotún 2 👟 M 8.60
6 A. Álvarez A. Álvarez 83' M 6.32
23 M. Castro M. Castro M 6.90
16 L. Iberico L. Iberico 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.58
7 S. González S. González 1 👟 84' M 7.70
22 M. Hoyos M. Hoyos 1 ⚽ 87' F 8.20
Bench
33 C. Bautista C. Bautista G 0.00
21 C. Cabellos C. Cabellos M 0.00
27 Gabriel Gabriel 13' M 6.57
25 G. Távara G. Távara 7' M 6.39
11 I. Ávila I. Ávila 3' F 6.50
77 J. Cuesta J. Cuesta 6' F 6.56
18 J. González J. González D 0.00
96 L. Abram L. Abram 13' D 5.83
32 L. Díaz L. Díaz D 0.00
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 5-4-1
1 P. Álvarez P. Álvarez G 7.24
25 G. Alfaro G. Alfaro D 5.35
3 I. Tapia I. Tapia D 6.16
13 F. Oncoy F. Oncoy 78' D 5.91
27 R. Tapia R. Tapia D 6.03
4 D. Rodríguez D. Rodríguez D 6.01
7 D. Barreto D. Barreto 45' M 5.94
20 A. Vásquez A. Vásquez 69' M 6.38
15 P. Lavandeira P. Lavandeira 69' M 6.35
5 R. Guarderas R. Guarderas 1 👟 M 6.29
99 A. Fernández A. Fernández 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.31
Bench
8 C. Vásquez C. Vásquez 12' D 6.12
21 E. Correa E. Correa 21' M 5.76
6 E. Rodas E. Rodas D 0.00
16 J. Ataupillco J. Ataupillco D 0.00
33 J. Calderón J. Calderón G 0.00
96 L. Benítes L. Benítes 21' M 5.75
77 M. da Luz M. da Luz 45' F 6.58
9 R. Ruidíaz R. Ruidíaz 21' F 6.83
24 Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich F 0.00
Best on the pitch
Y. Yotún
Y. Yotún
M · Sporting
8.60
2 👟
1 shots · 50 pass
M. Hoyos
M. Hoyos
F · Sporting
8.20
1 ⚽
6 shots · 27 pass
S. González
S. González
M · Sporting
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 29 pass
L. Iberico
L. Iberico
M · Sporting
7.58
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
A. Fernández
A. Fernández
F · Atletico
7.31
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
P. Álvarez
P. Álvarez
G · Atletico
7.24
· 24 pass
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Enríquez G 90 7.19 — — 0 27 22% 0 — —
Cris Silva D 77 6.10 — — 0 33 24% 2 1 —
R. Lutiger D 90 7.22 1 — 1 38 31% 1 — —
M. Araujo D 90 6.15 — — 0 40 30% 0 — —
L. Sosa D 90 7.01 — — 1 43 34% 1 — —
Y. Yotún M 90 8.60 — 2 1 50 43% 1 — —
A. Álvarez M 83 6.32 — — 0 49 44% 1 — —
M. Castro M 90 6.90 — — 1 39 36% 6 — —
L. Iberico M 77 7.58 1 — 1 15 13% 2 — —
S. González M 84 7.70 — 1 3 29 25% 1 — —
M. Hoyos F 87 8.20 1 — 6 27 23% 3 — —
Gabriel M 13 6.57 — — 2 8 5% 1 — —
G. Távara M 7 6.39 — — 1 5 5% 0 — —
I. Ávila F 3 6.50 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
J. Cuesta F 6 6.56 — — 0 6 3% 0 — —
L. Abram D 13 5.83 — — 0 6 4% 0 1 —
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Álvarez G 90 7.24 — — 0 24 20% 0 — —
G. Alfaro D 90 5.35 — — 1 20 15% 0 1 —
I. Tapia D 90 6.16 — — 0 44 36% 2 — —
F. Oncoy D 78 5.91 — — 0 31 29% 0 1 —
R. Tapia D 90 6.03 — — 0 44 34% 1 — —
D. Rodríguez D 90 6.01 — — 1 19 15% 1 — —
D. Barreto M 45 5.94 — — 1 18 15% 0 — —
A. Vásquez M 69 6.38 — — 1 24 21% 2 — —
P. Lavandeira M 69 6.35 — — 1 27 23% 5 — —
R. Guarderas M 90 6.29 — 1 0 53 39% 2 1 —
A. Fernández F 69 7.31 1 — 1 12 6% 0 1 —
C. Vásquez D 12 6.12 — — 0 11 10% 1 — —
E. Correa M 21 5.76 — — 0 16 14% 0 — —
L. Benítes M 21 5.75 — — 0 13 10% 0 — —
M. da Luz F 45 6.58 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
R. Ruidíaz F 21 6.83 — — 4 6 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?
The final score was Sporting Cristal 3–1 Atletico Grau.
What did the model predict before Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Sporting Cristal win, 14% to a draw, and 12% to an Atletico Grau win.