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Liga 1 · Clausura - 12 October 18, 2026 18:00 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Sporting Cristal
#1 · 28 pts
4 – 2
Final score
Comerciantes Unidos
#9 · 21 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sporting Cristal
Luis Iberico 35'
Luis Iberico (ast. Santiago González) 64'
Hernán Barcos (ast. Martín Távara) 71'
Hernán Barcos (ast. Yoshimar Yotún) 90'+4
56' (ast. Rodrigo Vilca) Josuee Herrera
(pen.) 84' Matías Eric Sen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting Cristal a 72% win probability (draw 14%, Comerciantes Unidos 13%). The final result was Sporting Cristal 4–2 Comerciantes Unidos. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting Cristal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Comerciantes Unidos.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
5
1.51
Actual xG
2.21
3
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
5
11
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Luis Iberico
35'
39'
Agustín Rodríguez / Alexis Arias ↕
45'
Josuee Herrera / Yimy Gamero ↕
Cristiano
51'
56'
ast. Rodrigo Vilca · Josuee Herrera⚽
↕ Agustín Álvarez / Hernán Barcos
63'
↕ Michael Hoyos / Martín Távara
63'
⚽Luis Iberico · ast. Santiago González
64'
⚽Hernán Barcos · ast. Martín Távara
71'
↕ Maxloren Castro / Luis Abram
73'
78'
Thiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar / Rodrigo Vilca ↕
82'
84'
(pen.) Matías Eric Sen⚽
84'
Maximiliano Pérez / Jean Olivares ↕
84'
Óscar Pinto / Jose Antonio·Parodi ↕
⚽Hernán Barcos · ast. Yoshimar Yotún
90'+4
↕ Luis Iberico / Juan Gonzalez
90'+6
↕ Leandro Sosa / Gabriel
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
72.27%
Sporting ←
14.3%
X
13.43%
Comerciantes
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sporting Cristal) 72.27% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
3.18
1.51
-1.67
Comerciantes
1.33
2.21
+0.88
Comerciantes Unidos dominated by xG (2.21 vs 1.51). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 14 28
2 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 14 28
3 Universitario Universitario 13 27
4 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 14 26
5 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 14 25
6 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 14 25
7 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 14 25
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 14 25
9 Cusco Cusco 14 24
10 Sport Boys Sport Boys 13 21
11 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 14 18
12 Cienciano Cienciano 14 17
13 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 14 14
14 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 14 12
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 14 11
16 ADT ADT 14 10
17 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 14 10
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 14 5
Lineups
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1
1 D. Enríquez D. Enríquez G 6.58
90 Cris Silva Cris Silva D 6.34
5 R. Lutiger R. Lutiger D 6.41
20 M. Araujo M. Araujo D 6.84
8 L. Sosa L. Sosa D 6.06
19 Y. Yotún Y. Yotún 1 👟 M 7.35
6 A. Álvarez A. Álvarez 63' M 6.38
23 M. Castro M. Castro 73' M 6.48
16 L. Iberico L. Iberico 2 ⚽ M 9.26
7 S. González S. González 1 👟 M 6.88
22 M. Hoyos M. Hoyos 63' F 6.70
Bench
33 C. Bautista C. Bautista G 0.00
21 C. Cabellos C. Cabellos M 0.00
27 Gabriel Gabriel 1' M 0.00
25 G. Távara G. Távara 1 👟 27' M 6.58
29 H. Barcos H. Barcos 2 ⚽ 27' F 8.25
11 I. Ávila I. Ávila F 0.00
77 J. Cuesta J. Cuesta F 0.00
18 J. González J. González 1' D 0.00
96 L. Abram L. Abram 17' D 6.12
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 4-4-1-1
17
G 5.55
19 D. Lino D. Lino D 5.89
6 J. Rodriguez J. Rodriguez D 6.64
40 F. Alcedo F. Alcedo D 6.31
32 J. Sánchez J. Sánchez D 5.93
50 J. Olivares J. Olivares 84' M 6.05
4
A. Martín Arias 39' M 6.61
20 J. Parodi J. Parodi 84' M 6.23
54 Y. Gamero Y. Gamero 45' M 5.99
25 Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta 1 👟 78' M 7.70
9 M. Sen M. Sen 1 ⚽ F 6.98
Bench
15 A. Cossio A. Cossio D 0.00
18 A. Rodríguez A. Rodríguez 51' M 5.59
11 J. Herrera J. Herrera 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.25
99 José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez G 0.00
10 M. Carpio M. Carpio M 0.00
13 M. Pérez M. Pérez 6' F 6.27
28 O. Pinto O. Pinto 6' M 5.69
30 P. Guzmán P. Guzmán D 0.00
14 Thiago Salinas Thiago Salinas 12' M 5.81
Best on the pitch
L. Iberico
L. Iberico
M · Sporting
9.26
2 ⚽
3 shots · 31 pass
H. Barcos
H. Barcos
F · Sporting
8.25
2 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta
M · Comerciantes
7.70
1 👟
· 28 pass
Y. Yotún
Y. Yotún
M · Sporting
7.35
1 👟
2 shots · 51 pass
J. Herrera
J. Herrera
M · Comerciantes
7.25
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
M. Sen
M. Sen
F · Comerciantes
6.98
1 ⚽
6 shots · 12 pass
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Enríquez G 90 6.58 — — 0 16 12% 0 — —
Cris Silva D 90 6.34 — — 0 44 38% 1 1 —
R. Lutiger D 90 6.41 — — 1 25 21% 1 — —
M. Araujo D 90 6.84 — — 1 40 35% 3 — —
L. Sosa D 96 6.06 — — 0 32 26% 0 — —
Y. Yotún M 90 7.35 — 1 2 51 43% 1 — —
A. Álvarez M 63 6.38 — — 1 30 28% 2 — —
M. Castro M 73 6.48 — — 1 30 26% 2 — —
L. Iberico M 96 9.26 2 — 3 31 27% 0 — —
S. González M 90 6.88 — 1 3 24 18% 1 — —
M. Hoyos F 63 6.70 — — 3 9 8% 0 — —
Gabriel M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
G. Távara M 27 6.58 — 1 1 11 9% 0 — —
H. Barcos F 27 8.25 2 — 2 5 3% 0 — —
J. González D 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
L. Abram D 17 6.12 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.55 — — 0 25 15% 0 — —
D. Lino D 90 5.89 — — 0 28 21% 2 — —
J. Rodriguez D 90 6.64 — — 5 37 32% 3 — —
F. Alcedo D 90 6.31 — — 2 43 39% 0 — —
J. Sánchez D 90 5.93 — — 0 37 29% 2 — —
J. Olivares M 84 6.05 — — 0 33 27% 2 — —
A. Martín Arias M 39 6.61 — — 0 21 20% 0 — —
J. Parodi M 84 6.23 — — 0 45 39% 0 — —
Y. Gamero M 45 5.99 — — 0 16 13% 1 — —
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta M 78 7.70 — 1 0 28 25% 0 — —
M. Sen F 90 6.98 1 — 6 12 11% 0 — —
A. Rodríguez M 51 5.59 — — 0 14 13% 1 — —
J. Herrera M 45 7.25 1 — 1 9 6% 0 — —
M. Pérez F 6 6.27 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
O. Pinto M 6 5.69 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Thiago Salinas M 12 5.81 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The final score was Sporting Cristal 4–2 Comerciantes Unidos.
What did the model predict before Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Sporting Cristal win, 14% to a draw, and 13% to an Comerciantes Unidos win.