Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 04:00
S. Gonzalez
(ast. L. Iberico)
53'
C. Cabellos
(ast. J. Gonzalez)
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting Cristal a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Junior 30%). The final result was Sporting Cristal 2–0 Junior. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting Cristal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Junior.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.70
Actual xG
0.72
2
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
4
13
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
G. Cazonatti
10'
21'
J. Pena
G. Cazonatti
/ M. Tavara
46'
S. Gonzalez
49'
⚽S. Gonzalez
· ast. L. Iberico
53'
57'
C. Barrios
/
K. Perez
57'
L. Muriel
/
T. Gutierrez
57'
Y. Chara
/
J. Rivas
L. Iberico
/ Gabriel
63'
I. Avila
/ F. Vizeu
63'
69'
G. Paiva
/
J. Canchimbo
M. Castro
/ J. Gonzalez
73'
85'
B. Castrillon
/
J. Rios
S. Gonzalez
/ C. Cabellos
87'
⚽C. Cabellos
· ast. J. Gonzalez
90'+1
90'+4
G. Paiva
Pre-match prediction
41.15%
Sporting ←
28.61%
X
30.24%
Junior
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting Cristal)
41.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
1.70
+0.48
1.04
0.72
-0.32
Sporting Cristal dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Diego Enríquez
G
Diego Enríquez
G
90
Cristiano
D
Cristiano
D
5
Rafael Lutiger
D
Rafael Lutiger
D
20
Miguel Araujo
D
Miguel Araujo
D
8
Leandro Sosa
D
Leandro Sosa
D
19
Yoshimar Yotún
M
Yoshimar Yotún
M
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
45'
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
45'
M
23
Maxloren Castro
74'
M
Maxloren Castro
74'
M
16
Luis Iberico
1 👟
63'
M
Luis Iberico
1 👟
63'
M
7
Santiago González
1 ⚽
87'
M
Santiago González
1 ⚽
87'
M
11
Irven Ávila
63'
F
Irven Ávila
63'
F
Bench
15
Alejandro Pósito
D
Alejandro Pósito
D
21
Catriel Cabellos
1 ⚽
6'
M
Catriel Cabellos
1 ⚽
6'
M
14
Cristian Benavente
F
Cristian Benavente
F
9
Felipe Vizeu
30'
F
Felipe Vizeu
30'
F
27
Gabriel Santana
30'
M
Gabriel Santana
30'
M
26
Ian Wisdom
M
Ian Wisdom
M
18
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
1 👟
19'
D
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
1 👟
19'
D
25
Martín Távara
48'
M
Martín Távara
48'
M
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
26
Yeison Suárez
D
Yeison Suárez
D
33
D
98
Jermein Peña
21'
D
Jermein Peña
21'
D
34
J. Guerrero
D
J. Guerrero
D
80
M
14
J. Ríos
85'
M
J. Ríos
85'
M
18
Kevin Pérez
57'
M
Kevin Pérez
57'
M
22
Jesús Rivas
57'
M
Jesús Rivas
57'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
69'
M
Joel Canchimbo
69'
M
29
T. Gutiérrez
58'
F
T. Gutiérrez
58'
F
Bench
88
Bryan Castrillón
8'
F
Bryan Castrillón
8'
F
70
Carlos Bacca
F
Carlos Bacca
F
77
Cristian Barrios
36'
F
Cristian Barrios
36'
F
5
Daniel Rivera
M
Daniel Rivera
M
9
G. Paiva
24'
F
G. Paiva
24'
F
7
Harold Rivera
M
Harold Rivera
M
20
Jannenson Sarmiento
M
Jannenson Sarmiento
M
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
10
L. Muriel
35'
F
L. Muriel
35'
F
8
Yimmi Chará
36'
M
Yimmi Chará
36'
M
Best on the pitch
Santiago González
M · Sporting
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 23 pass
Miguel Araujo
D · Sporting
7.50
· 37 pass
Yoshimar Yotún
M · Sporting
7.50
· 71 pass
Catriel Cabellos
M · Sporting
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
J. Guerrero
D · Junior
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
Rafael Lutiger
D · Sporting
7.20
· 36 pass
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Enríquez | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Cristiano | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Lutiger | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Araujo | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Sosa | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| Yoshimar Yotún | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 71 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Maxloren Castro | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luis Iberico | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago González | M | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 23 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Irven Ávila | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Catriel Cabellos | M | 6 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Vizeu | F | 30 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Santana | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Juan Cruz Gonzalez | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Martín Távara | M | 48 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Yeison Suárez | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Jermein Peña | D | 21 | 3.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | 1 |
| J. Guerrero | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Ríos | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Pérez | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | M | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Barrios | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 36 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Junior?
The final score was Sporting Cristal 2–0 Junior.
What did the model predict before Sporting Cristal vs Junior?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Sporting Cristal win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an Junior win.