Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 04:00
S. Gonzalez
(ast. L. Iberico)
53'
C. Cabellos
(ast. J. Gonzalez)
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting Cristal a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Junior 30%). The final result was Sporting Cristal 2–0 Junior. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting Cristal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Junior.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.70
Actual xG
0.72
2
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
4
13
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
G. Cazonatti
10'
21'
J. Pena
G. Cazonatti
/ M. Tavara
46'
S. Gonzalez
49'
⚽S. Gonzalez
· ast. L. Iberico
53'
57'
C. Barrios
/
K. Perez
57'
L. Muriel
/
T. Gutierrez
57'
Y. Chara
/
J. Rivas
L. Iberico
/ Gabriel
63'
I. Avila
/ F. Vizeu
63'
69'
G. Paiva
/
J. Canchimbo
M. Castro
/ J. Gonzalez
73'
85'
B. Castrillon
/
J. Rios
S. Gonzalez
/ C. Cabellos
87'
⚽C. Cabellos
· ast. J. Gonzalez
90'+1
90'+4
G. Paiva
Pre-match prediction
41.15%
Sporting ←
28.61%
X
30.24%
Junior
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting Cristal)
41.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
1.70
+0.48
1.04
0.72
-0.32
Sporting Cristal dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
D. Enríquez
G
D. Enríquez
G
90
Cris Silva
D
Cris Silva
D
5
R. Lutiger
D
R. Lutiger
D
20
Miguel Araujo
D
Miguel Araujo
D
8
L. Sosa
D
L. Sosa
D
19
Yoshimar Yotún
M
Yoshimar Yotún
M
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
45'
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
45'
M
23
M. Castro
74'
M
M. Castro
74'
M
16
L. Iberico
1 👟
63'
M
L. Iberico
1 👟
63'
M
7
S. González
1 ⚽
87'
M
S. González
1 ⚽
87'
M
11
I. Ávila
63'
F
I. Ávila
63'
F
Bench
15
A. Pósito
D
A. Pósito
D
21
C. Cabellos
1 ⚽
6'
M
C. Cabellos
1 ⚽
6'
M
14
Cristian Benavente
F
Cristian Benavente
F
9
Felipe Vizeu
30'
F
Felipe Vizeu
30'
F
27
Gabriel
30'
M
Gabriel
30'
M
25
G. Távara
48'
M
G. Távara
48'
M
26
Ian Wisdom
M
Ian Wisdom
M
18
J. González
1 👟
19'
D
J. González
1 👟
19'
D
1
M. Silveira
G
M. Silveira
G
26
Y. Súarez
D
Y. Súarez
D
33
D
98
Jermein Peña
21'
D
Jermein Peña
21'
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
D
Jhonier Guerrero
D
80
M
14
J. Ríos
85'
M
J. Ríos
85'
M
18
K. Pérez
57'
M
K. Pérez
57'
M
22
Jesús Rivas
57'
M
Jesús Rivas
57'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
69'
M
Joel Canchimbo
69'
M
29
T. Gutiérrez
58'
F
T. Gutiérrez
58'
F
Bench
88
B. Castrillón
8'
F
B. Castrillón
8'
F
70
C. Bacca
F
C. Bacca
F
77
C. Barrios
36'
F
C. Barrios
36'
F
5
D. Rivera
M
D. Rivera
M
9
G. Paiva
24'
F
G. Paiva
24'
F
7
H. Rivera
M
H. Rivera
M
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
30
J. Martínez
G
J. Martínez
G
20
J. Sarmiento
M
J. Sarmiento
M
10
L. Muriel
35'
F
L. Muriel
35'
F
8
Y. Chará
36'
M
Y. Chará
36'
M
Best on the pitch
S. González
M · Sporting
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 23 pass
Miguel Araujo
D · Sporting
7.50
· 37 pass
Yoshimar Yotún
M · Sporting
7.50
· 71 pass
C. Cabellos
M · Sporting
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Jhonier Guerrero
D · Junior
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
R. Lutiger
D · Sporting
7.20
· 36 pass
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Enríquez | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Cris Silva | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Lutiger | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Araujo | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 37% | — | — | — |
| L. Sosa | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| Yoshimar Yotún | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 71 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Castro | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Iberico | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| S. González | M | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 23 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Ávila | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Cabellos | M | 6 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Vizeu | F | 30 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| G. Távara | M | 48 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. González | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Silveira | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Y. Súarez | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Jermein Peña | D | 21 | 3.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | 1 |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Ríos | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Pérez | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | M | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Castrillón | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Barrios | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Muriel | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Chará | M | 36 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Junior?
The final score was Sporting Cristal 2–0 Junior.
What did the model predict before Sporting Cristal vs Junior?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Sporting Cristal win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an Junior win.