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Liga 1 · Apertura - 11 April 19, 2026 18:00 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Sporting Cristal
#3 · 19 pts
3 – 2
Final score
UTC Cajamarca
#13 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sporting Cristal
F. Vizeu (ast. Y. Yotun) 8'
L. Iberico (ast. Y. Yotun) 68'
M. Castro (ast. Y. Yotun) 90'
83' (ast. M. Rasmussen) A. Arroyo
90'+5 M. Lliuya
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting Cristal a 56% win probability (draw 22%, UTC Cajamarca 20%). The final result was Sporting Cristal 3–2 UTC Cajamarca.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
5
2
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
4
14
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽F. Vizeu · ast. Y. Yotun
8'
14'
D. Dioses
19'
A. Munoz
↕ J. Gonzalez / L. Sosa
46'
49'
G. Paredes / L. Garro ↕
57'
L. Arce / A. Figuera ↕
↕ F. Vizeu / I. Avila
65'
↕ S. Gonzalez / M. Castro
65'
⚽L. Iberico · ast. Y. Yotun
68'
73'
A. Arroyo / M. de Jesus ↕
73'
M. Rasmussen / D. Camacho ↕
74'
J. Nunez / A. Munoz ↕
↕ R. Lutiger / A. J. Posito Olazabal
76'
83'
ast. M. Rasmussen · A. Arroyo⚽
↕ Y. Yotun / I. Wisdom
90'+1
90'+5
M. Lliuya⚽
⚽M. Castro · ast. Y. Yotun
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.88%
Sporting ←
22.72%
X
20.4%
UTC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sporting Cristal) 56.88% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
2.62
—
—
UTC
0.96
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 10 22
2 Universitario Universitario 10 20
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 10 19
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 10 19
5 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 10 19
6 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 10 18
7 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 10 18
8 Sport Boys Sport Boys 10 18
9 Cusco Cusco 10 18
10 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 10 16
11 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 10 16
12 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 10 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 10 9
14 Cienciano Cienciano 9 7
15 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 10 7
16 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 9 7
17 ADT ADT 10 5
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 10 2
Lineups
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-3-3
1 D. Enríquez D. Enríquez G 6.20
90 Cris Silva Cris Silva D 6.90
5 R. Lutiger R. Lutiger 76' D 8.50
96 L. Abram L. Abram D 6.30
18 J. González J. González 45' D 7.20
19 Y. Yotún Y. Yotún 3 👟 89' M 8.60
25 G. Távara G. Távara M 7.70
55 Gustavo Cazonatti Gustavo Cazonatti M 7.00
16 L. Iberico L. Iberico 1 ⚽ F 7.90
9 Felipe Vizeu Felipe Vizeu 1 ⚽ 65' F 7.20
7 S. González S. González 65' F 6.50
Bench
15 A. Pósito A. Pósito 14' D 6.20
14 Cristian Benavente Cristian Benavente F
26 Ian Wisdom Ian Wisdom 1' M
11 I. Ávila I. Ávila 25' F 6.50
8 L. Sosa L. Sosa 45' M 6.70
23 M. Castro M. Castro 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.50
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 4-3-1-2
1 Á. Campos Á. Campos G 5.60
13 D. Caro D. Caro D 6.00
2 B. Duarte B. Duarte D 6.70
27 P. Serra P. Serra D 6.30
17 L. Garro L. Garro 45' D 6.30
19 A. Muñoz A. Muñoz 74' M 6.00
8 D. Dioses D. Dioses M 6.30
16 A. Figuera A. Figuera 57' M 6.90
10 M. Lliuya M. Lliuya 1 ⚽ M 8.20
9 M. de Jesús M. de Jesús 73' F 6.20
22 D. Camacho D. Camacho 73' F 6.20
Bench
11 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo 1 ⚽ 17' F 7.90
35 G. Paredes G. Paredes 45' D 6.50
15 J. Cerro J. Cerro M
5 J. Huerto J. Huerto D
88 L. Arce L. Arce 33' M 6.60
3 M. Ganoza M. Ganoza D
14 M. Rasmussen M. Rasmussen 1 👟 17' F 6.90
Best on the pitch
Y. Yotún
Y. Yotún
M · Sporting
8.60
3 👟
1 shots · 51 pass
R. Lutiger
R. Lutiger
D · Sporting
8.50
1 shots · 47 pass
M. Lliuya
M. Lliuya
M · UTC
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 53 pass
L. Iberico
L. Iberico
F · Sporting
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
A. Arroyo
A. Arroyo
F · UTC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
G. Távara
G. Távara
M · Sporting
7.70
1 shots · 52 pass
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Enríquez G 90 6.20 — — — 33 27% 1 — —
Cris Silva D 90 6.90 — — — 36 27% 1 — —
R. Lutiger D 76 8.50 — — 1 47 44% — — —
L. Abram D 90 6.30 — — — 43 40% — — —
J. González D 45 7.20 — — — 21 14% — — —
Y. Yotún M 89 8.60 — 3 1 51 46% 1 — —
G. Távara M 90 7.70 — — 1 52 45% 2 — —
Gustavo Cazonatti M 90 7.00 — — 1 51 42% 6 — —
L. Iberico F 90 7.90 1 — 1 25 21% 1 — —
Felipe Vizeu F 65 7.20 1 — 3 16 15% — — —
S. González F 65 6.50 — — — 20 16% 1 — —
A. Pósito D 14 6.20 — — — 5 4% — — —
Ian Wisdom M 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
I. Ávila F 25 6.50 — — — 10 8% — — —
L. Sosa M 45 6.70 — — — 21 21% 1 — —
M. Castro F 25 7.50 1 — 1 8 8% — — —
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Á. Campos G 90 5.60 — — — 14 10% — — —
D. Caro D 90 6.00 — — — 26 18% 3 — —
B. Duarte D 90 6.70 — — 1 24 21% 1 — —
P. Serra D 90 6.30 — — — 37 34% 1 — —
L. Garro D 45 6.30 — — — 14 13% 1 — —
A. Muñoz M 74 6.00 — — 2 16 12% — 1 —
D. Dioses M 90 6.30 — — — 46 42% — 1 —
A. Figuera M 57 6.90 — — — 25 20% 3 — —
M. Lliuya M 90 8.20 1 — 1 53 47% — — —
M. de Jesús F 73 6.20 — — 2 12 10% — — —
D. Camacho F 73 6.20 — — 2 21 16% 2 — —
A. Arroyo F 17 7.90 1 — 1 2 2% — — —
G. Paredes D 45 6.50 — — — 8 7% 2 — —
L. Arce M 33 6.60 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
M. Rasmussen F 17 6.90 — 1 — 8 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
The final score was Sporting Cristal 3–2 UTC Cajamarca.
What did the model predict before Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Sporting Cristal win, 22% to a draw, and 20% to an UTC Cajamarca win.