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USL Championship · Group Stage September 26, 2026 01:30
#13 · 14 pts
1 – 4
Final score
#10 · 31 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Loudoun United
W. Kuzain (ast. E. Jaaskelainen) 30'
4' (ast. P. Niyongabire) E. Davis III
56' (ast. P. Niyongabire) C. Torres
58' C. Torres
73' (ast. C. Torres) E. Davis III
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Loudoun United a 60% win probability (draw 17%, Sporting JAX 21%). The final result was Sporting JAX 1–4 Loudoun United. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting JAX have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Loudoun United.

Match statistics
Match Events
4'
ast. P. Niyongabire · E. Davis III⚽
⚽W. Kuzain · ast. E. Jaaskelainen
30'
46'
G. Lomtadze / R. Zouhir ↕
50'
A. Watts
56'
ast. P. Niyongabire · C. Torres⚽
58'
C. Torres⚽
↕ M. Godinho / H. Neville
62'
↕ V. Alvarado / T. Roberts
62'
66'
N. Adnan
↕ E. Jaaskelainen / A. Luckhurst
72'
73'
ast. C. Torres · E. Davis III⚽
75'
R. Aman / C. Torres ↕
75'
S. Young / A. Watts ↕
↕ W. Kuzain / R. Somersall
77'
↕ K. Sadlier / R. Pedder
77'
82'
L. Butts / E. Davis III ↕
82'
S. Mazzaferro / K. Awuah ↕
85'
Marcos Dias / P. Niyongabire ↕
R. Pedder
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
21.59%
Sporting
17.62%
X
60.79%
Loudoun ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Loudoun United) 60.79% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
1.25
—
—
Loudoun
2.55
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 30 61
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 30 53
3 Detroit City Detroit City 30 51
4 Louisville City Louisville City 30 47
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30 45
6 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 30 43
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 30 42
8 Miami FC Miami FC 30 36
9 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 30 34
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 30 31
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 30 30
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 30 21
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 30 14
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United?
The final score was Sporting JAX 1–4 Loudoun United.
What did the model predict before Sporting JAX vs Loudoun United?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Sporting JAX win, 17% to a draw, and 60% to an Loudoun United win.