USL Championship · Group Stage October 22, 2026 01:30

Sporting JAX

#13 · 14 pts

0 – 2

Final score

Louisville City

#4 · 47 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Louisville City

(og) 77' E. Jaaskelainen

85' Z. Duncan

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Louisville City a 86% win probability (draw 6%, Sporting JAX 7%). The final result was Sporting JAX 0–2 Louisville City. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting JAX have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Louisville City.

Match statistics

Match Events

6'

B. Niang

42'

M. Akale

46'

Z. Duncan / B. Niang ↕

46'

Q. Huerman / M. Akale ↕

A. Gomez

51'

58'

J. Morris / A. Dia ↕

↕ R. Somersall / Jean Mota

64'

↕ A. Luckhurst / E. Jaaskelainen

69'

77'

(og) E. Jaaskelainen⚽

↕ T. Roberts / W. Kuzain

81'

↕ A. Al Qaq / K. Sadlier

81'

84'

S. Gleadle / C. Donovan ↕

85'

Z. Duncan⚽

88'

S. Totsch / E. Perez ↕

90'+1

J. Morris

R. Edwards

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

7.59%

Sporting

6.01%

X

86.39%

Louisville ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Louisville City) 86.39% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Sporting

0.65

—

—

Louisville

4.28

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	53
3	Detroit City	30	51
4	Louisville City	30	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	43
7	Rhode Island	30	42
8	Miami FC	30	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	34
10	Loudoun United	30	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	30
12	Brooklyn	30	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	14