The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Colorado Rapids a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Sporting Kansas City 33%). The final result was Sporting Kansas City 1–4 Colorado Rapids.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
9
0.74
Actual xG
4.31
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
33.77%
Sporting
31.02%
X
35.22%
Colorado ←
we assigned to the actual result (Colorado Rapids)
35.22%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.41
0.74
-0.67
1.51
4.31
+2.8
Colorado Rapids dominated by xG (4.31 vs 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Colorado Rapids?
The final score was Sporting Kansas City 1–4 Colorado Rapids.
What did the model predict before Sporting Kansas City vs Colorado Rapids?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Sporting Kansas City win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Colorado Rapids win.