Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Minnesota United FC — pre-match prediction — MLS — July 23, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 02:30 Fujieda soccer stadium, Fujieda

Sporting Kansas City

#15 · 22 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Minnesota United FC

#13 · 34 pts

D. Joveljic (ast. Capita) 28'

M. Garcia (ast. J. Davis) 54'

75' (ast. J. Pereyra) D. Padelford

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 37% win probability (draw 25%, Sporting Kansas City 36%). The final result was Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Minnesota United FC. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting Kansas City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Minnesota United FC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.14

Actual xG

1.84

Saves

35%

Possession

65%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

21'

K. Duncan

⚽D. Joveljic · ast. Capita

28'

Capita

45'+2

⚽M. Garcia · ast. J. Davis

54'

56'

J. Pereyra

64'

M. Dieng / K. Yeboah ↕

64'

B. Hlongwane / K. Duncan ↕

↕ M. Garcia / K. Agyabeng

72'

↕ Capita / S. Afrifa

72'

D. Joveljic

74'

75'

ast. J. Pereyra · D. Padelford⚽

75'

J. Diaz / D. Padelford ↕

75'

M. Gonzalez / O. Gene ↕

↕ E. Karic / J. Reid

79'

↕ Z. Bassong / J. Bartlett

79'

84'

B. Hlongwane

85'

J. Gressel / T. Chancalay ↕

Pre-match prediction

36.78%

Sporting ←

25.25%

37.97%

Minnesota

we assigned to the actual result (Sporting Kansas City) 36.78% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Sporting

1.40

1.14

-0.26

Minnesota

1.48

1.84

+0.37

Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.14). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	30	55
2	St. Louis City	30	51
3	FC Dallas	30	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	30	48
5	Houston Dynamo	30	47
6	Los Angeles FC	31	46
7	Seattle Sounders	30	42
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	31	40
9	Colorado Rapids	30	39
10	Real Salt Lake	30	36
11	Portland Timbers	30	34
12	San Diego	30	34
13	Minnesota United FC	30	34
14	Austin	30	31
15	Sporting Kansas City	30	22

Lineups

Sporting Kansas City 4-2-3-1

S. Cleveland G 8.00

E. Karić 79' D 6.90

Wyatt Meyer D 6.70

O. Blorian D 6.50

J. Davis 1 👟 D 7.50

Z. Bassong 79' M 6.20

L. Johnsen M 6.30

C. Harris M 6.90

Manu García 1 ⚽ 72' M 8.30

Capita 1 👟 72' M 7.30

D. Joveljić 1 ⚽ F 7.30

Bench

E. Bartlow D

I. James D

Jansen Miller D

J. Bartlett 16' D 6.70

J. Pulskamp G

J. Reid 16' D 6.90

K. Agyabeng 23' M 6.60

M. Suleymanov F

S. Afrifa 23' F 6.70

Minnesota United FC 3-4-3

D. Callender G 6.60

D. Padelford 1 ⚽ 75' D 6.90

M. Duggan D 6.00

M. Boxall D 6.30

A. Markanich M 6.20

W. Trapp M 7.30

O. Gene 75' M 7.50

K. Duncan 64' M 6.00

T. Chancalay 85' F 6.50

K. Yeboah 64' F 6.50

J. Pereyra 1 👟 F 8.00

Bench

Alec Smir G

B. Hlongwane 31' F 6.50

D. Taylor D

J. Díaz 20' D 6.90

J. Gressel 10' M 6.70

K. Chandler D

Mamadou Dieng 31' F 7.20

M. Gonzalez 20' F 6.30

Peter Stroud M

Best on the pitch

Manu García

M · Sporting

8.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 21 pass

S. Cleveland

G · Sporting

8.00

· 26 pass

J. Pereyra

F · Minnesota

8.00

1 👟

1 shots · 75 pass

O. Gene

M · Minnesota

7.50

· 51 pass

J. Davis

D · Sporting

7.50

1 👟

· 34 pass

W. Trapp

M · Minnesota

7.30

1 shots · 77 pass

Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Cleveland	G	95	8.00	—	—	—	26	18%	—	—	—
E. Karić	D	79	6.90	—	—	—	28	22%	4	—	—
Wyatt Meyer	D	95	6.70	—	—	—	37	29%	1	—	—
O. Blorian	D	95	6.50	—	—	1	21	15%	3	—	—
J. Davis	D	95	7.50	—	1	—	34	26%	1	—	—
Z. Bassong	M	79	6.20	—	—	—	26	21%	2	—	—
L. Johnsen	M	95	6.30	—	—	1	51	42%	—	—	—
C. Harris	M	95	6.90	—	—	2	16	12%	—	—	—
Manu García	M	72	8.30	1	—	3	21	16%	1	—	—
Capita	M	72	7.30	—	1	—	12	9%	2	1	—
D. Joveljić	F	95	7.30	1	—	2	19	14%	1	1	—
J. Bartlett	D	16	6.70	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
J. Reid	D	16	6.90	—	—	—	5	5%	2	—	—
K. Agyabeng	M	23	6.60	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
S. Afrifa	F	23	6.70	—	—	2	3	2%	1	—	—

Minnesota United FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Callender	G	95	6.60	—	—	—	28	17%	—	—	—
D. Padelford	D	75	6.90	1	—	1	42	39%	1	—	—
M. Duggan	D	95	6.00	—	—	2	81	73%	—	—	—
M. Boxall	D	95	6.30	—	—	—	64	62%	1	—	—
A. Markanich	M	95	6.20	—	—	2	39	31%	2	—	—
W. Trapp	M	95	7.30	—	—	1	77	69%	1	—	—
O. Gene	M	75	7.50	—	—	—	51	48%	4	—	—
K. Duncan	M	64	6.00	—	—	—	18	16%	—	1	—
T. Chancalay	F	85	6.50	—	—	3	41	36%	2	—	—
K. Yeboah	F	64	6.50	—	—	2	17	11%	1	—	—
J. Pereyra	F	95	8.00	—	1	1	75	61%	3	1	—
B. Hlongwane	F	31	6.50	—	—	—	19	15%	1	1	—
J. Díaz	D	20	6.90	—	—	—	14	13%	—	—	—
J. Gressel	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
Mamadou Dieng	F	31	7.20	—	—	2	5	5%	1	—	—
M. Gonzalez	F	20	6.30	—	—	—	7	2%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC?

The final score was Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Minnesota United FC.

What did the model predict before Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC?

The model assigned 36% probability to a Sporting Kansas City win, 25% to a draw, and 37% to an Minnesota United FC win.