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MLS · Regular Season - 15 May 24, 2026 02:30 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Sporting Kansas City
#15 · 15 pts
1 – 2
Final score
New York Red Bulls
#12 · 27 pts
C. Harris (ast. M. Garcia) 64'
3' (ast. G. Berggren) J. Ruvalcaba
45'+3 (ast. J. Hall) J. Ruvalcaba
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting Kansas City a 43% win probability (draw 23%, New York Red Bulls 32%). The final result was Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
1.69
Actual xG
0.88
2
Saves
7
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
1
15
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
3'
ast. G. Berggren · J. Ruvalcaba⚽
19'
R. Mosquera / C. Cowell ↕
45'+1
J. Marshall-Rutty
45'+3
ast. J. Hall · J. Ruvalcaba⚽
↕ Z. Bassong / M. Garcia
58'
↕ J. Davis / J. Reynolds
58'
⚽C. Harris · ast. M. Garcia
64'
L. Johnsen
70'
73'
R. Mitchell / J. Ruvalcaba ↕
73'
N. Benedetti / G. Berggren ↕
↕ T. Calheira / S. Afrifa
76'
79'
C. Harper / R. Mosquera ↕
80'
J. Bazan / O. Valencia ↕
↕ Capita / S. Suleymanov
82'
87'
N. Benedetti
Pre-match prediction
43.12%
Sporting
23.96%
X
32.92%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls) 32.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
1.72
1.69
-0.03
New
1.40
0.88
-0.52
Sporting Kansas City dominated by xG (1.69 vs 0.88). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2
30 S. Cleveland S. Cleveland G 6.30
99 Jayden Reid Jayden Reid D 6.50
28 Wyatt Meyer Wyatt Meyer D 6.30
2 Ian James Ian James D 6.30
8 Jacob Davis Jacob Davis 58' D 6.20
11 Calvin Harris Calvin Harris 1 ⚽ M 7.20
22 Zorhan Bassong Zorhan Bassong 58' M 6.70
4 L. Johnsen L. Johnsen M 7.20
7 Capita Capita 82' M 6.30
9 D. Joveljić D. Joveljić F 6.90
19 T. Calheira T. Calheira 76' F 6.90
Bench
57 Diego Borges Diego Borges D
23
E. Bartlow D
16 J. Bartlett J. Bartlett D
1 J. Pulskamp J. Pulskamp G
13 J. Reynolds J. Reynolds 34' D 6.90
14 Macielo Tschantret Macielo Tschantret M
6 Manu García Manu García 1 👟 34' M 7.60
93 M. Suleymanov M. Suleymanov 10' F 6.50
17 S. Afrifa S. Afrifa 16' F 6.90
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath G 7.90
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia 80' D 6.50
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis D 6.70
2 J. Che J. Che D 7.20
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty D 6.70
4 G. Berggren G. Berggren 1 👟 73' M 6.30
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti M 6.60
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor M 6.60
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 2 ⚽ 73' F 8.90
16 J. Hall J. Hall 1 👟 F 7.20
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 19' F 6.20
Bench
70 Andy Rojas Andy Rojas F
17 C. Harper C. Harper 13' F 6.70
14 J. Bazán J. Bazán 12' D 6.30
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo F
39 Nehuen Benedetti Nehuen Benedetti 19' M 6.30
79 Rafael Mosquera Rafael Mosquera 60' F 6.20
33 Roald Mitchell Roald Mitchell 19' F 6.30
26 T. Parker T. Parker D
Best on the pitch
J. Ruvalcaba
J. Ruvalcaba
F · New
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
E. Horvath
E. Horvath
G · New
7.90
· 26 pass
Manu García
Manu García
M · Sporting
7.60
1 👟
· 31 pass
J. Hall
J. Hall
F · New
7.20
1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
J. Che
J. Che
D · New
7.20
· 27 pass
Calvin Harris
Calvin Harris
M · Sporting
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Cleveland G 92 6.30 — — — 35 25% — — —
Jayden Reid D 92 6.50 — — — 45 36% 1 — —
Wyatt Meyer D 92 6.30 — — — 69 61% — — —
Ian James D 92 6.30 — — 1 49 44% 1 — —
Jacob Davis D 58 6.20 — — — 33 24% 2 — —
Calvin Harris M 92 7.20 1 — 3 22 17% — — —
Zorhan Bassong M 58 6.70 — — 1 42 33% 1 — —
L. Johnsen M 92 7.20 — — 1 83 68% 1 1 —
Capita M 82 6.30 — — 1 24 18% 3 — —
D. Joveljić F 92 6.90 — — 2 25 19% — — —
T. Calheira F 76 6.90 — — 2 15 11% 3 — —
J. Reynolds D 34 6.90 — — — 20 15% 1 — —
Manu García M 34 7.60 — 1 — 31 24% — — —
M. Suleymanov F 10 6.50 — — — 4 2% — — —
S. Afrifa F 16 6.90 — — 1 2 2% 2 — —
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 92 7.90 — — — 26 14% — — —
Omar Valencia D 80 6.50 — — — 31 13% 3 — —
D. Nealis D 92 6.70 — — — 36 24% 2 — —
J. Che D 92 7.20 — — — 27 18% 2 — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 92 6.70 — — — 31 23% 2 1 —
G. Berggren M 73 6.30 — 1 1 18 11% — — —
A. Mehmeti M 92 6.60 — — — 33 23% 3 — —
R. Donkor M 92 6.60 — — — 31 28% — — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 73 8.90 2 — 3 22 19% 1 — —
J. Hall F 92 7.20 — 1 2 19 12% 2 — —
C. Cowell F 19 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
C. Harper F 13 6.70 — — 1 4 4% — — —
J. Bazán D 12 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Nehuen Benedetti M 19 6.30 — — — 8 7% — 1 —
Rafael Mosquera F 60 6.20 — — — 17 11% 1 — —
Roald Mitchell F 19 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
The final score was Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls.
What did the model predict before Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Sporting Kansas City win, 23% to a draw, and 32% to an New York Red Bulls win.