Sporting Kansas City 3–4 Philadelphia Union — pre-match prediction — MLS — September 20, 2026

← MLS

MLS · Regular Season - 26 September 20, 2026 02:30 Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Shintomi

Sporting Kansas City

#15 · 18 pts

3 – 4

Final score

Philadelphia Union

#6 · 36 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Philadelphia Union

Andre Luiz (ast. L. Johnsen) 5'

Andre Luiz (ast. C. Harris) 10'

W. Meyer (ast. E. Karic) 16'

64' (ast. F. Westfield) B. Damiani

66' (ast. D. Jean Jacques) C. Sullivan

68' (ast. Q. Sullivan) M. Iloski

(og) 73' Z. Bassong

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 63% win probability (draw 16%, Sporting Kansas City 19%). The final result was Sporting Kansas City 3–4 Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.01

Actual xG

0.65

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Andre Luiz · ast. L. Johnsen

⚽Andre Luiz · ast. C. Harris

10'

⚽W. Meyer · ast. E. Karic

16'

K. Agyabeng

45'

46'

Q. Sullivan / I. Vassilev ↕

↕ K. Agyabeng / J. Bartlett

46'

L. Johnsen

53'

64'

ast. F. Westfield · B. Damiani⚽

66'

ast. D. Jean Jacques · C. Sullivan⚽

↕ T. Calheira / J. Reid

68'

ast. Q. Sullivan · M. Iloski⚽

70'

C. Sullivan

↕ S. Afrifa / O. Wolff

71'

↕ L. Johnsen / Z. Bassong

71'

73'

(og) Z. Bassong⚽

80'

K. Wagner

82'

A. Bedoya / C. Sullivan ↕

↕ C. Harris / R. Ramos

83'

J. Bueno / J. Lukic ↕

83'

E. Alladoh / M. Iloski ↕

90'+6

D. Jean Jacques

Z. Bassong

90'+8

90'

A. Anello / B. Damiani ↕

Pre-match prediction

19.68%

Sporting

16.64%

63.68%

Philadelphia ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Philadelphia Union) 63.68% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Sporting

1.15

1.01

-0.14

Philadelphia

2.60

0.65

-1.95

Sporting Kansas City dominated by xG (1.01 vs 0.65). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	44
3	St. Louis City	26	44
4	FC Dallas	26	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	32
11	San Diego	26	31
12	Austin	26	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	18

Lineups

Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2

Stefan Cleveland G 6.30

Emir Karić 1 👟 D 6.30

Wyatt Meyer 1 ⚽ D 7.00

Moises Mosquera D 5.90

Justin Reynolds D 6.30

Calvin Harris 1 👟 82' M 7.30

Kwaku Agyabeng 45' M 6.30

Lasse Berg Johnsen 1 👟 71' M 6.30

André Luiz 2 ⚽ M 9.20

Stephen Afrifa 70' F 6.50

Taylor Calheira 67' F 6.70

Bench

Diego Borges D

Jacob Bartlett 53' D 5.90

Jansen Miller D

Jayden Reid D

John Pulskamp G

Owen Wolff 28' F 6.60

Ruben Ramos 16' F 6.50

Seymour Garfield-Reid 31' F 6.50

Zorhan Bassong 1 ⚽ 27' D 6.00

Philadelphia Union 4-4-2

Andre Blake G 7.00

Kai Wagner D 6.20

Nathan Harriel D 5.90

Neil Pierre D 6.90

Frankie Westfield 1 👟 D 5.90

Indiana Vassilev 45' M 6.50

Jovan Lukić 82' M 6.60

Danley Jean Jacques 1 👟 M 7.00

Cavan Sullivan 1 ⚽ 82' M 7.30

Bruno Damiani 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.50

Milan Iloski 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.90

Bench

Agustin Anello 9' F 6.20

Alejandro Bedoya 16' M 6.30

Ben Bender M

E. Alladoh 16' F 6.70

George Marks G

Japhet Sery Larsen D

Jesus Bueno 16' M 6.90

Malik Jakupovic F

Quinn Sullivan 1 👟 53' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

André Luiz

M · Sporting

9.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 14 pass

Milan Iloski

F · Philadelphia

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 23 pass

Bruno Damiani

F · Philadelphia

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 21 pass

Cavan Sullivan

M · Philadelphia

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 32 pass

Calvin Harris

M · Sporting

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 12 pass

Danley Jean Jacques

M · Philadelphia

7.00

1 👟

· 45 pass

Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Stefan Cleveland	G	98	6.30	—	—	—	21	12%	—	—	—
Emir Karić	D	98	6.30	—	1	—	42	31%	2	—	—
Wyatt Meyer	D	98	7.00	1	—	2	48	41%	1	—	—
Moises Mosquera	D	98	5.90	—	—	—	46	41%	—	—	—
Justin Reynolds	D	98	6.30	—	—	—	38	28%	3	—	—
Calvin Harris	M	82	7.30	—	1	1	12	8%	2	—	—
Kwaku Agyabeng	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	14	10%	—	1	—
Lasse Berg Johnsen	M	71	6.30	—	1	—	27	22%	—	1	—
André Luiz	M	98	9.20	2	—	3	14	9%	2	—	—
Stephen Afrifa	F	70	6.50	—	—	1	10	9%	1	—	—
Taylor Calheira	F	67	6.70	—	—	—	14	9%	2	—	—
Jacob Bartlett	D	53	5.90	—	—	—	30	25%	2	—	—
Owen Wolff	F	28	6.60	—	—	—	14	13%	—	—	—
Ruben Ramos	F	16	6.50	—	—	—	7	7%	—	—	—
Seymour Garfield-Reid	F	31	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Zorhan Bassong	D	27	6.00	1	—	—	22	18%	—	1	—

Philadelphia Union — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Andre Blake	G	98	7.00	—	—	—	33	25%	—	—	—
Kai Wagner	D	98	6.20	—	—	1	41	32%	—	1	—
Nathan Harriel	D	98	5.90	—	—	—	55	47%	—	—	—
Neil Pierre	D	98	6.90	—	—	—	55	48%	2	—	—
Frankie Westfield	D	98	5.90	—	1	1	59	49%	—	—	—
Indiana Vassilev	M	45	6.50	—	—	1	15	13%	—	—	—
Jovan Lukić	M	82	6.60	—	—	1	40	35%	2	—	—
Danley Jean Jacques	M	98	7.00	—	1	—	45	41%	1	1	—
Cavan Sullivan	M	82	7.30	1	—	2	32	26%	1	1	—
Bruno Damiani	F	89	7.50	1	—	1	21	16%	—	—	—
Milan Iloski	F	82	7.90	1	—	2	23	19%	—	—	—
Agustin Anello	F	9	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Alejandro Bedoya	M	16	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
E. Alladoh	F	16	6.70	—	—	—	5	3%	—	—	—
Jesus Bueno	M	16	6.90	—	—	—	5	4%	2	1	—
Quinn Sullivan	M	53	6.70	—	1	1	13	12%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?

The final score was Sporting Kansas City 3–4 Philadelphia Union.

What did the model predict before Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?

The model assigned 19% probability to a Sporting Kansas City win, 16% to a draw, and 63% to an Philadelphia Union win.