Sporting Kansas City 1–3 San Jose Earthquakes — pre-match prediction — MLS — April 12, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 7 April 12, 2026 02:30 Gradski Stadion, Podgorica

Sporting Kansas City

#15 · 21 pts

1 – 3

Final score

San Jose Earthquakes

#4 · 45 pts

J. Bartlett (ast. D. Joveljic) 27'

44' (ast. N. Tsakiris) J. Skahan

49' (ast. P. Judd) J. Skahan

75' (ast. D. Munie) D. Romney

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Sporting Kansas City 24%). The final result was Sporting Kansas City 1–3 San Jose Earthquakes. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting Kansas City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for San Jose Earthquakes.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.78

Actual xG

1.71

Saves

49%

Possession

51%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽J. Bartlett · ast. D. Joveljic

27'

44'

ast. N. Tsakiris · J. Skahan⚽

49'

ast. P. Judd · J. Skahan⚽

S. Suleymanov

54'

↕ C. Harris / Capita

57'

↕ M. Garcia / J. Davis

66'

↕ S. Suleymanov / S. Afrifa

66'

69'

I. Harkes / B. Leroux ↕

69'

N. Fernandez / J. Skahan ↕

75'

ast. D. Munie · D. Romney⚽

76'

J. Jasinski / B. Kikanovic ↕

↕ J. Bartlett / T. Calheira

81'

↕ J. Reid / K. Agyabeng

81'

T. Calheira

82'

87'

P. Marie / P. Judd ↕

Pre-match prediction

24.99%

Sporting

25.57%

49.43%

San ←

we assigned to the actual result (San Jose Earthquakes) 49.43% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Sporting

0.79

0.78

-0.01

San

2.71

1.71

-1.0

San Jose Earthquakes dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.78). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	50
2	St. Louis City	27	47
3	FC Dallas	27	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	32
12	San Diego	27	32
13	Austin	27	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	21

Lineups

Sporting Kansas City 4-3-3

G 6.00

J. Reid 81' D 6.60

D 6.30

I. James D 6.50

J. Reynolds D 6.70

M 7.20

Manu García 66' M 6.20

J. Bartlett 1 ⚽ 81' M 7.60

C. Harris 57' F 6.60

D. Joveljić 1 👟 F 6.90

M. Suleymanov 66' F 6.60

Bench

Capita 33' F 6.60

E. Bartlow D

Jacob Davis 24' M 6.50

Macielo Tschantret M

T. Calheira 9' F 6.30

San Jose Earthquakes 4-3-3

Daniel G 6.30

D. Romney 1 ⚽ D 7.20

R. Roberts D 6.90

1 👟 D 7.70

B. Kikanovic 76' D 7.00

Beau Leroux 69' M 6.60

R. Vieira M 6.30

N. Tsakiris 1 👟 M 7.20

O. Bouda F 6.30

P. Judd 1 👟 87' F 6.30

J. Skahan 2 ⚽ 69' F 8.50

Bench

E. Edwards G

I. Harkes 21' M 6.30

Jack Jasinski 14' D 6.90

J. Gónzalez M

M. Floriani D

N. Buck M

N. Fernandez 21' M 6.70

Nonso Adimabua F

P. Marie 10' D 6.30

Best on the pitch

J. Skahan

F · San

8.50

2 ⚽

2 shots · 19 pass

D · San

7.70

1 👟

· 78 pass

J. Bartlett

M · Sporting

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 45 pass

N. Tsakiris

M · San

7.20

1 👟

· 64 pass

D. Romney

D · San

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 51 pass

M · Sporting

7.20

· 88 pass

Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.00	—	—	—	32	21%	—	—	—
J. Reid	D	81	6.60	—	—	1	28	23%	5	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	54	48%	2	—	—
I. James	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	51	46%	4	—	—
J. Reynolds	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	50	43%	3	—	—
	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	88	80%	2	—	—
Manu García	M	66	6.20	—	—	—	27	21%	—	—	—
J. Bartlett	M	81	7.60	1	—	1	45	41%	—	—	—
C. Harris	F	57	6.60	—	—	1	13	9%	3	—	—
D. Joveljić	F	90	6.90	—	1	1	18	14%	—	—	—
M. Suleymanov	F	66	6.60	—	—	—	25	23%	—	1	—
Capita	F	33	6.60	—	—	1	5	4%	2	—	—
Jacob Davis	M	24	6.50	—	—	—	24	20%	—	—	—
T. Calheira	F	9	6.30	—	—	1	5	4%	—	1	—

San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Daniel	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	21	16%	—	—	—
D. Romney	D	90	7.20	1	—	2	51	43%	2	—	—
R. Roberts	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	87	83%	2	—	—
	D	90	7.70	—	1	—	78	70%	2	—	—
B. Kikanovic	D	76	7.00	—	—	—	28	20%	1	—	—
Beau Leroux	M	69	6.60	—	—	1	46	36%	1	—	—
R. Vieira	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	47	43%	2	—	—
N. Tsakiris	M	90	7.20	—	1	—	64	57%	3	—	—
O. Bouda	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	31	28%	1	—	—
P. Judd	F	87	6.30	—	1	2	7	5%	—	—	—
J. Skahan	F	69	8.50	2	—	2	19	16%	—	—	—
I. Harkes	M	21	6.30	—	—	—	16	16%	1	—	—
Jack Jasinski	D	14	6.90	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
N. Fernandez	M	21	6.70	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
P. Marie	D	10	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes?

The final score was Sporting Kansas City 1–3 San Jose Earthquakes.

What did the model predict before Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes?

The model assigned 24% probability to a Sporting Kansas City win, 25% to a draw, and 49% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.