✗Model wrong — prediction Seattle Sounders, result Draw
D. Joveljic
18'
2'
P. Rothrock
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Seattle Sounders a 51% win probability (draw 26%, Sporting Kansas City 21%). The final result was Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Seattle Sounders.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
21
7
Shots on target
9
1.20
Actual xG
1.66
7
Saves
6
35%
Possession
65%
4
Corners
9
8
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
2'
P. Rothrock⚽
⚽D. Joveljic
18'
31'
J. Ragen
67'
P. Arriola
/
P. Rothrock
67'
A. Rusnak
/
J. Morris
Capita
/ C. Harris
74'
76'
O. De Rosario
/
D. Musovski
M. Garcia
/ T. Calheira
84'
86'
H. Dotson
/
J. Ferreira
86'
P. Kingston
/
K. Kossa-Rienzi
90'
H. Dotson
Pre-match prediction
21.72%
Sporting
26.54%
X ←
51.74%
Seattle
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.73
1.20
+0.47
2.22
1.66
-0.55
Seattle Sounders dominated by xG (1.66 vs 1.20).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
99
Jayden Reid
D
Jayden Reid
D
28
D
23
Ethan Bartlow
D
Ethan Bartlow
D
8
Jacob Davis
D
Jacob Davis
D
16
Jacob Bartlett
M
Jacob Bartlett
M
4
M
93
Shapi Suleymanov
M
Shapi Suleymanov
M
6
Manu García
84'
M
Manu García
84'
M
7
Capita
74'
M
Capita
74'
M
9
D. Joveljić
1 ⚽
F
D. Joveljić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
Calvin Harris
16'
F
Calvin Harris
16'
F
2
Ian James
D
Ian James
D
14
Macielo Tschantret
M
Macielo Tschantret
M
19
Taylor Calheira
10'
F
Taylor Calheira
10'
F
26
G
5
D
25
J. Ragen
D
J. Ragen
D
16
Alex Roldán
D
Alex Roldán
D
85
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
86'
D
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
86'
D
7
C. Roldan
M
C. Roldan
M
37
Snyder Brunell
M
Snyder Brunell
M
14
Paul Rothrock
1 ⚽
67'
M
Paul Rothrock
1 ⚽
67'
M
9
Jesús Ferreira
86'
M
Jesús Ferreira
86'
M
13
Jordan Morris
67'
M
Jordan Morris
67'
M
19
Daniel Musovski
76'
F
Daniel Musovski
76'
F
Bench
11
Albert Rusnák
23'
M
Albert Rusnák
23'
M
31
Hassani Dotson
8'
M
Hassani Dotson
8'
M
95
Osaze De Rosario
14'
F
Osaze De Rosario
14'
F
17
Paul Arriola
23'
F
Paul Arriola
23'
F
45
Peter Kingston
8'
M
Peter Kingston
8'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Sporting
8.90
· 44 pass
Alex Roldán
D · Seattle
7.90
1 shots
· 101 pass
J. Ragen
D · Seattle
7.70
2 shots
· 111 pass
D · Seattle
7.70
· 72 pass
G · Seattle
7.70
· 12 pass
Paul Rothrock
M · Seattle
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| Jayden Reid | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| Ethan Bartlow | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Davis | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Bartlett | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| Shapi Suleymanov | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Manu García | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Capita | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Joveljić | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Calvin Harris | F | 16 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Taylor Calheira | F | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Seattle Sounders — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 72 | 70% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Ragen | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 111 | 104% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alex Roldán | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 101 | 94% | 1 | — | — |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | D | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Roldan | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Paul Rothrock | M | 67 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 69 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Jordan Morris | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Hassani Dotson | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Paul Arriola | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Peter Kingston | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders?
The final score was Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Seattle Sounders.
What did the model predict before Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Sporting Kansas City win, 26% to a draw, and 51% to an Seattle Sounders win.