✗Model wrong — prediction Seattle Sounders, result Draw
D. Joveljic
18'
2'
P. Rothrock
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Seattle Sounders a 51% win probability (draw 26%, Sporting Kansas City 21%). The final result was Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Seattle Sounders.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
21
7
Shots on target
9
1.20
Actual xG
1.66
7
Saves
6
35%
Possession
65%
4
Corners
9
8
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
2'
P. Rothrock⚽
⚽D. Joveljic
18'
31'
J. Ragen
67'
P. Arriola
/
P. Rothrock
67'
A. Rusnak
/
J. Morris
Capita
/ C. Harris
74'
76'
O. De Rosario
/
D. Musovski
M. Garcia
/ T. Calheira
84'
86'
H. Dotson
/
J. Ferreira
86'
P. Kingston
/
K. Kossa-Rienzi
90'
H. Dotson
Pre-match prediction
21.72%
Sporting
26.54%
X ←
51.74%
Seattle
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.73
1.20
+0.47
2.22
1.66
-0.55
Seattle Sounders dominated by xG (1.66 vs 1.20).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
99
J. Reid
D
J. Reid
D
28
D
23
E. Bartlow
D
8
Jacob Davis
D
Jacob Davis
D
16
J. Bartlett
M
J. Bartlett
M
4
M
93
M. Suleymanov
M
M. Suleymanov
M
6
Manu García
84'
M
Manu García
84'
M
7
Capita
74'
M
Capita
74'
M
9
D. Joveljić
1 ⚽
F
D. Joveljić
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
C. Harris
16'
F
C. Harris
16'
F
2
Ian James
D
Ian James
D
14
Macielo Tschantret
M
Macielo Tschantret
M
19
T. Calheira
10'
F
T. Calheira
10'
F
26
G
5
D
25
J. Ragen
D
J. Ragen
D
16
A. Roldan
D
A. Roldan
D
85
K. Kossa-Rienzi
86'
D
K. Kossa-Rienzi
86'
D
7
C. Roldan
M
C. Roldan
M
37
S. Brunell
M
S. Brunell
M
14
P. Rothrock
1 ⚽
67'
M
P. Rothrock
1 ⚽
67'
M
9
Jesús Ferreira
86'
M
Jesús Ferreira
86'
M
13
J. Morris
67'
M
J. Morris
67'
M
19
D. Musovski
76'
F
D. Musovski
76'
F
Bench
11
A. Rusnák
23'
M
A. Rusnák
23'
M
31
H. Dotson
8'
M
H. Dotson
8'
M
95
O. De Rosario
14'
F
O. De Rosario
14'
F
17
P. Arriola
23'
F
P. Arriola
23'
F
45
P. Kingston
8'
M
P. Kingston
8'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Sporting
8.90
· 44 pass
A. Roldan
D · Seattle
7.90
1 shots
· 101 pass
J. Ragen
D · Seattle
7.70
2 shots
· 111 pass
D · Seattle
7.70
· 72 pass
G · Seattle
7.70
· 12 pass
P. Rothrock
M · Seattle
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| J. Reid | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| E. Bartlow | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Davis | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bartlett | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| M. Suleymanov | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Manu García | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Capita | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Joveljić | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Harris | F | 16 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Calheira | F | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Seattle Sounders — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 72 | 70% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Ragen | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 111 | 104% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Roldan | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 101 | 94% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Kossa-Rienzi | D | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Roldan | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Brunell | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Rothrock | M | 67 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 69 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Morris | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Musovski | F | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Rusnák | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| H. Dotson | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. De Rosario | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Arriola | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 22% | — | — | — |
| P. Kingston | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders?
The final score was Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Seattle Sounders.
What did the model predict before Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Sporting Kansas City win, 26% to a draw, and 51% to an Seattle Sounders win.