Sporting Kansas City 1–1 St. Louis City — pre-match prediction — MLS — August 20, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 20 August 20, 2026 02:00 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

Sporting Kansas City

#15 · 15 pts

1 – 1

Final score

St. Louis City

#6 · 38 pts

C. Harris (ast. T. Calheira) 55'

45'+2 E. Lowen

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Sporting Kansas City 22%). The final result was Sporting Kansas City 1–1 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting Kansas City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for St. Louis City.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.30

Actual xG

0.52

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Z. Bassong

15'

21'

C. Durkin

45'+2

E. Lowen⚽

J. Miller

45'

⚽C. Harris · ast. T. Calheira

55'

61'

C. Wallem

62'

A. Matan / S. Becher ↕

62'

C. Holse / E. Lowen ↕

↕ T. Calheira / S. Suleymanov

64'

↕ C. Harris / S. Afrifa

75'

↕ Z. Bassong / J. Bartlett

75'

84'

J. Orozco / C. Wallem ↕

84'

P. Ault / S. Jeong ↕

↕ E. Karic / J. Reid

89'

Pre-match prediction

22.24%

Sporting

24.21%

X ←

53.55%

St.

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.21% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Sporting

0.78

1.30

+0.52

St.

1.57

0.52

-1.05

Sporting Kansas City dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.52). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	23	46
2	Houston Dynamo	24	43
3	Los Angeles FC	25	40
4	FC Dallas	24	40
5	San Jose Earthquakes	24	38
6	St. Louis City	24	38
7	Colorado Rapids	24	32
8	Portland Timbers	24	32
9	San Diego	24	30
10	Real Salt Lake	23	29
11	Minnesota United FC	24	29
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	25	29
13	Seattle Sounders	22	27
14	Austin	24	26
15	Sporting Kansas City	23	15

Lineups

Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2

S. Cleveland 88' G 6.90

E. Karić 88' D 6.90

Wyatt Meyer 88' D 6.90

Jansen Miller 88' D 6.20

Jacob Davis 88' D 7.20

Calvin Harris 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.90

Zorhan Bassong 75' M 7.30

L. Johnsen 88' M 7.00

Capita 88' M 6.60

D. Joveljić 88' F 6.30

T. Calheira 1 👟 64' F 7.00

Bench

Diego Borges D

Ian James D

Jayden Reid D

J. Bartlett 13' D 6.30

J. Pulskamp G

J. Reynolds D

M. Suleymanov 24' F 6.90

S. Afrifa 13' F 6.60

St. Louis City 3-4-2-1

R. Bürki 88' G 7.20

D. Polvara 88' D 8.00

T. Baumgartl 88' D 7.30

L. MacNaughton 88' D 6.90

T. Totland 88' M 6.70

D. Edelman 88' M 6.50

C. Durkin 88' M 6.90

C. Wallem 84' M 6.90

E. Löwen 1 ⚽ 62' F 8.20

Jeong Sang-Bin 84' F 6.20

S. Becher 62' F 7.00

Bench

A. Mățan 26' M 6.30

B. Lundt G

C. Holse 26' F 6.70

J. Orozco 4' D

M. Fall D

M. Perez M

Palmer Ault 4' M

Rafael Santos D

T. Ostrák M

Best on the pitch

E. Löwen

F · St.

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 22 pass

D. Polvara

D · St.

8.00

· 53 pass

Calvin Harris

M · Sporting

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 24 pass

Zorhan Bassong

M · Sporting

7.30

· 31 pass

T. Baumgartl

D · St.

7.30

· 60 pass

Jacob Davis

D · Sporting

7.20

1 shots · 38 pass

Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Cleveland	G	88	6.90	—	—	—	24	21%	—	—	—
E. Karić	D	88	6.90	—	—	1	55	47%	4	—	—
Wyatt Meyer	D	88	6.90	—	—	—	57	53%	3	—	—
Jansen Miller	D	88	6.20	—	—	1	33	25%	1	1	—
Jacob Davis	D	88	7.20	—	—	1	38	33%	1	—	—
Calvin Harris	M	75	7.90	1	—	1	24	17%	—	—	—
Zorhan Bassong	M	75	7.30	—	—	—	31	26%	2	1	—
L. Johnsen	M	88	7.00	—	—	—	49	47%	2	—	—
Capita	M	88	6.60	—	—	1	20	18%	—	—	—
D. Joveljić	F	88	6.30	—	—	2	22	16%	1	—	—
T. Calheira	F	64	7.00	—	1	1	18	15%	1	—	—
J. Bartlett	D	13	6.30	—	—	—	12	11%	—	—	—
M. Suleymanov	F	24	6.90	—	—	—	12	12%	1	—	—
S. Afrifa	F	13	6.60	—	—	—	9	9%	1	—	—

St. Louis City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Bürki	G	88	7.20	—	—	—	34	32%	—	—	—
D. Polvara	D	88	8.00	—	—	—	53	50%	2	—	—
T. Baumgartl	D	88	7.30	—	—	—	60	58%	—	—	—
L. MacNaughton	D	88	6.90	—	—	—	71	65%	1	—	—
T. Totland	M	88	6.70	—	—	—	21	18%	3	—	—
D. Edelman	M	88	6.50	—	—	1	51	43%	1	—	—
C. Durkin	M	88	6.90	—	—	—	45	40%	2	1	—
C. Wallem	M	84	6.90	—	—	1	36	35%	1	1	—
E. Löwen	F	62	8.20	1	—	1	22	21%	—	—	—
Jeong Sang-Bin	F	84	6.20	—	—	2	39	30%	—	—	—
S. Becher	F	62	7.00	—	—	—	9	6%	—	—	—
A. Mățan	M	26	6.30	—	—	—	11	9%	1	—	—
C. Holse	F	26	6.70	—	—	—	20	18%	1	—	—
J. Orozco	D	4	—	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—
Palmer Ault	M	4	—	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?

The final score was Sporting Kansas City 1–1 St. Louis City.

What did the model predict before Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?

The model assigned 22% probability to a Sporting Kansas City win, 24% to a draw, and 53% to an St. Louis City win.