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MLS · Regular Season - 22 August 30, 2026 02:30 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Sporting Kansas City
#15 · 15 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Vancouver Whitecaps
#1 · 46 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Vancouver Whitecaps
(pen.) 40' T. Muller
48' (ast. O. Larraz) B. White
90' (ast. T. Muller) R. Elloumi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 69% win probability (draw 17%, Sporting Kansas City 12%). The final result was Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Vancouver Whitecaps. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting Kansas City have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vancouver Whitecaps.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
14
0
Shots on target
6
0.37
Actual xG
2.57
3
Saves
0
44%
Possession
56%
1
Corners
4
9
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
40'
(pen.) T. Muller⚽
45'+4
B. Caicedo
↕ Capita / S. Afrifa
46'
48'
ast. O. Larraz · B. White⚽
51'
T. Johnson
↕ J. Reynolds / I. James
57'
62'
E. Sabbi / B. Caicedo ↕
62'
J. Badwal / O. Larraz ↕
↕ J. Bartlett / K. Agyabeng
66'
↕ S. Suleymanov / Andre Luiz
66'
70'
S. Adekugbe / T. Johnson ↕
S. Afrifa
73'
87'
C. Sabaly / R. Gauld ↕
87'
R. Elloumi / B. White ↕
M. Mosquera
90'+5
90'
ast. T. Muller · R. Elloumi⚽
Pre-match prediction
12.81%
Sporting
17.55%
X
69.64%
Vancouver ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Vancouver Whitecaps) 69.64% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
0.51
0.37
-0.14
Vancouver
2.05
2.57
+0.52
Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (2.57 vs 0.37). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2
30 S. Cleveland S. Cleveland G 7.20
18 E. Karić E. Karić D 6.30
5 O. Blorian O. Blorian D 6.30
3 M. Mosquera M. Mosquera D 6.20
13 J. Reynolds J. Reynolds 57' D 6.30
14 Calvin Harris Calvin Harris M 6.50
16 J. Bartlett J. Bartlett 66' M 6.70
4 L. Johnsen L. Johnsen M 6.60
7 Capita Capita 45' M 6.50
19 T. Calheira T. Calheira F 6.30
93 M. Suleymanov M. Suleymanov 66' F 6.60
Bench
11 André Luiz André Luiz 30' F 6.30
57 Diego Borges Diego Borges D
2 Ian James Ian James 39' D 6.50
15 Jansen Miller Jansen Miller D
99 Jayden Reid Jayden Reid D
1 J. Pulskamp J. Pulskamp G
20 K. Agyabeng K. Agyabeng 30' M 6.70
17 S. Afrifa S. Afrifa 51' F 6.60
28 Wyatt Meyer Wyatt Meyer D
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
1 Y. Takaoka Y. Takaoka G 6.70
28 T. Johnson T. Johnson 70' D 6.70
33 T. Blackmon T. Blackmon D 7.30
2 M. Laborda M. Laborda D 7.50
18 É. Ocampo É. Ocampo D 7.20
20 A. Cubas A. Cubas M 7.20
8 O. Larraz O. Larraz 1 👟 62' M 7.20
14 Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez 62' M 6.90
13 T. Müller T. Müller 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.30
25 R. Gauld R. Gauld 87' M 6.90
24 B. White B. White 1 ⚽ 87' F 6.70
Bench
7 C. Sabaly C. Sabaly 9' F 6.30
11 E. Sabbi E. Sabbi 34' F 6.60
32 I. Boehmer I. Boehmer G
59 J. Badwal J. Badwal 34' M 6.90
26 Jean-Claude Ngando Jean-Claude Ngando M
29 M. Gherasimencov M. Gherasimencov D
41 Nikola Djordjevic Nikola Djordjevic D
19 R. Elloumi R. Elloumi 1 ⚽ 9' F 7.20
3 S. Adekugbe S. Adekugbe 26' D 7.20
Best on the pitch
T. Müller
T. Müller
M · Vancouver
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 42 pass
M. Laborda
M. Laborda
D · Vancouver
7.50
1 shots · 68 pass
T. Blackmon
T. Blackmon
D · Vancouver
7.30
2 shots · 78 pass
S. Adekugbe
S. Adekugbe
D · Vancouver
7.20
· 12 pass
R. Elloumi
R. Elloumi
F · Vancouver
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 2 pass
O. Larraz
O. Larraz
M · Vancouver
7.20
1 👟
· 26 pass
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Cleveland G 96 7.20 — — — 29 23% — — —
E. Karić D 96 6.30 — — — 43 36% 2 — —
O. Blorian D 96 6.30 — — 1 37 34% — — —
M. Mosquera D 96 6.20 — — 1 52 40% 2 1 —
J. Reynolds D 57 6.30 — — — 30 28% 1 — —
Calvin Harris M 96 6.50 — — — 16 11% — — —
J. Bartlett M 66 6.70 — — — 26 21% 1 — —
L. Johnsen M 96 6.60 — — — 55 53% 1 — —
Capita M 45 6.50 — — 1 6 4% — — —
T. Calheira F 96 6.30 — — — 16 10% — — —
M. Suleymanov F 66 6.60 — — — 19 17% — — —
André Luiz F 30 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
Ian James D 39 6.50 — — — 10 7% — — —
K. Agyabeng M 30 6.70 — — — 13 12% 2 — —
S. Afrifa F 51 6.60 — — — 8 6% — 1 —
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Takaoka G 96 6.70 — — — 50 44% — — —
T. Johnson D 70 6.70 — — — 39 33% 1 1 —
T. Blackmon D 96 7.30 — — 2 78 71% 1 — —
M. Laborda D 96 7.50 — — 1 68 59% 3 — —
É. Ocampo D 96 7.20 — — 1 37 33% 2 — —
A. Cubas M 96 7.20 — — — 40 36% 4 — —
O. Larraz M 62 7.20 — 1 — 26 23% 1 — —
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez M 62 6.90 — — — 12 10% — 1 —
T. Müller M 96 8.30 1 1 1 42 33% 1 — —
R. Gauld M 87 6.90 — — 2 31 27% — — —
B. White F 87 6.70 1 — 3 15 9% — — —
C. Sabaly F 9 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
E. Sabbi F 34 6.60 — — 1 9 8% — — —
J. Badwal M 34 6.90 — — — 16 15% 1 — —
R. Elloumi F 9 7.20 1 — 3 2 2% — — —
S. Adekugbe D 26 7.20 — — — 12 11% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The final score was Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Vancouver Whitecaps.
What did the model predict before Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model assigned 12% probability to a Sporting Kansas City win, 17% to a draw, and 69% to an Vancouver Whitecaps win.