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Sporting Lagos - Ikorodu City

NPFL September 30, 2026 17:00
Sporting Lagos
#20 · 0 pts
vs
Ikorodu City
#5 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.77%
Win
Sporting Lagos
31.66%
Draw
31.57%
Win
Ikorodu City
4.5
Expected xG
1.42

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.73%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 63%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
✓ 50.0% hit rate (16 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sporting Lagos a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Ikorodu City. Expected goals are 4.5 for Sporting Lagos and 1.4 for Ikorodu City (total 5.9), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.73% probability.

Season Stats

Sporting Lagos
0W 0D 1L
Ikorodu City
7W 2D 6L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
1.6
2.0
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in NPFL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Sporting Lagos Ikorodu City →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — —
1 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
2 2.7% 3.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 5.8% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.6% 6.5% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
5 4.1% 5.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%

Recent form

Sporting Lagos Sporting Lagos
L Doma United 2–0
Ikorodu City Ikorodu City
W Ranchers Bees 3–1
L Enugu Rangers 1–2
L Katsina United 4–1
W Wikki Tourist 3–1
L Abia Warriors 2–1

Playing profile

Sporting Lagos Sporting Lagos
Attack
0
Defence
50
Form
19
Ikorodu City Ikorodu City
Attack
29
Defence
28
Form
32
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Doma United Doma United 2 6
2 Barau FC Barau FC 2 4
3 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 2 4
4 Ranchers Bees Ranchers Bees 2 3
5 Ikorodu City Ikorodu City 1 3
6 Rivers United Rivers United 1 3
7 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1 3
8 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 2 3
9 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 2 3
10 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2 3
11 Plateau United Plateau United 2 3
12 Kun Khalifat FC Kun Khalifat FC 2 2
13 Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers 1 1
14 Katsina United Katsina United 1 1
15 Kwara United Kwara United 2 1
16 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 2 1
17 Enyimba Enyimba 1 0
18 Warri Wolves Warri Wolves 1 0
19 Inter Lagos Inter Lagos 2 0
20 Sporting Lagos Sporting Lagos 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City?
The model gives Sporting Lagos a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Ikorodu City win.
How many goals are expected in Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City?
Expected goals: Sporting Lagos 4.5, Ikorodu City 1.4 (total 5.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Sporting Lagos vs Ikorodu City?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.73%.