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Sporting San Jose - Municipal Liberia

Primera División August 16, 2026 22:00
#3 · 17 pts
vs
#4 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
22.75%
Win
Sporting San Jose
30.34%
Draw
46.9%
Win
Municipal Liberia
0.78
Expected xG
1.35

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (14.98%)
1X2 Result ✓ 66.7% hit rate (12 picks)
1 23%
X 30%
2 47%
Double Chance
1X 53%
X2 77%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 46%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Municipal Liberia a 46% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Sporting San Jose. Expected goals are 0.8 for Sporting San Jose and 1.4 for Municipal Liberia (total 2.1), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 14.98% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Sporting San Jose have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Municipal Liberia.

Season Stats

Sporting San Jose
5W 4D 6L
Municipal Liberia
9W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.3
1.2
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
60%
47%
O 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Sporting San Jose
2W 2D 6L · at home
Municipal Liberia
4W 2D 4L · away
0.9
gls/g
1.1
1.5
Conceded
1.2
20%
Win %
40%
40%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
70%
30%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
10%
50%
BTTS
60%
10%
Clean Sht
20%
40%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sporting San Jose Municipal Liberia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9% 16.1% 10.9% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4%
1 9.2% 12.5% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 3.6% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

W Perez Zeledon 1–2
W Deportivo Saprissa 4–2
L San Carlos 1–0
W Inter San Carlos 2–0
W CS Herediano 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
L Deportivo Saprissa 2–0
D Deportivo Saprissa 1–1
W LD Alajuelense 2–1
W Sporting San Jose 0–1
W CS Cartagines 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose
Attack
45
Defence
78
Form
60
Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia
Attack
36
Defence
80
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?
The model gives Sporting San Jose a 22% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 46% for an Municipal Liberia win.
How many goals are expected in Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?
Expected goals: Sporting San Jose 0.8, Municipal Liberia 1.4 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Sporting San Jose vs Municipal Liberia?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.98%.