División Profesional · Apertura - 17 April 17, 2026 22:00 Estadio Martin Torres, Asuncion

Sportivo Trinidense

#5 · 32 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

#12 · 15 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Sportivo Trinidense

F. Romero (ast. A. Morinigo) 11'

N. Gauto 51'

20' (ast. I. Torres) A. Galeano

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sportivo Trinidense a 65% win probability (draw 22%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 12%). The final result was Sportivo Trinidense 2–1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. In 1 previous meetings, Sportivo Trinidense have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

3

1.72

Actual xG

0.52

44%

Possession

56%

4

Corners

6

Match Events

⚽F. Romero · ast. A. Morinigo

11'

20'

ast. I. Torres · A. Galeano⚽

28'

F. Cristoforo / L. Franco ↕

46'

I. Torres

⚽N. Gauto

51'

A. Canete

56'

65'

C. Colman / J. Barrios ↕

65'

V. Cespedes / J. Duarte ↕

↕ N. Mana / T. Rayer

69'

↕ A. Canete / A. Ruiz Diaz

69'

77'

T. Jara / I. Torres ↕

77'

A. Quinonez / H. Villamayor ↕

↕ F. Romero / L. De la Cruz

77'

80'

T. Jara

↕ C. Gonzalez / N. Camacho

82'

↕ G. Viera / O. Gimenez

82'

86'

L. Caceres

A. Morinigo

86'

Pre-match prediction

65.19%

Sportivo ←

22.51%

X

12.29%

Club

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sportivo Trinidense) 65.19% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Sportivo

1.74

1.72

-0.02

Club

0.56

0.52

-0.04

Sportivo Trinidense dominated by xG (1.72 vs 0.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Olimpia	22	49
2	Nacional Asuncion	22	39
3	Cerro Porteno	22	38
4	Sportivo Ameliano	22	33
5	Sportivo Trinidense	22	32
6	Libertad Asuncion	22	31
7	Club Guarani	22	29
8	Deportivo Recoleta	22	28
9	Rubio NU	22	23
10	2 de Mayo	22	22
11	Sportivo Luqueno	22	20
12	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	22	15