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Sportlust '46 - Excelsior Maassluis

KNVB Beker September 22, 2026 17:00
Sportlust '46
vs
Excelsior Maassluis
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.77%
Win
Sportlust '46
32.24%
Draw
32.99%
Win
Excelsior Maassluis
2.97
Expected xG
2.16

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.97%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
✓ 93.8% hit rate (32 picks)
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sportlust '46 a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Excelsior Maassluis. Expected goals are 3.0 for Sportlust '46 and 2.2 for Excelsior Maassluis (total 5.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.97% probability.

Season Stats

Sportlust '46
3W 1D 1L
Excelsior Maassluis
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
2.2
0.6
Conceded
2.2
Percentages
40%
O 1.5
75%
40%
O 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
75%
40%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in KNVB Beker. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Sportlust '46
2W 1D 1L · at home
Excelsior Maassluis
1W 1D 0L · away
1.8
gls/g
3.0
0.8
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
50%
75%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sportlust '46 Excelsior Maassluis →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.8% 3.8% 4.1% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
2 2.6% 5.6% 6.1% 4.4% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.6% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.9% 4.1% 4.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.8%
5 1.1% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%

Recent form

Sportlust '46 Sportlust '46
W Blauw Geel 3–1
L De Treffers 0–1
D Barendrecht 0–0
W UDI '19 0–1
W Sportclub 25 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis
D ADO '20 1–1
L Ajax 2–7
W Excelsior 1–0
W HZVV 1–5
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Sportlust '46 Sportlust '46
Attack
57
Defence
79
Form
73
Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis
Attack
63
Defence
70
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
The model gives Sportlust '46 a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Excelsior Maassluis win.
How many goals are expected in Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
Expected goals: Sportlust '46 3.0, Excelsior Maassluis 2.2 (total 5.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.97%.