2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 32
May 03, 2026 13:30
N. Futkeu
13'
45'+3
F. Gruber
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 40% win probability (draw 25%, 1. FC Nürnberg 34%). The final result was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. In 1 previous meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
6
1.54
Actual xG
1.48
5
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
5
19
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽N. Futkeu
13'
15'
A. Markhiev
45'+3
F. Gruber⚽
F. Klaus
52'
58'
P. Scobel
/
A. Grimaldi
F. Higl
/ D. Arifi
59'
75'
R. Nzingoula
/
R. Lubach
J. Dehm
/ D. Srbeny
75'
76'
J. Fernandez
P. Will
/ S. Ltaief
86'
B. Hrgota
/ J. Consbruch
86'
88'
M. Soldic
/
J. Fernandez
88'
T. Baack
/
F. O. Becker
D. Arifi
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.38%
SpVgg
25.0%
X ←
34.62%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
1.54
+0.17
1.25
1.48
+0.23
xG dominance was balanced (1.54 – 1.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
43
G
5
Reno Münz
D
Reno Münz
D
4
Philipp Ziereis
D
Philipp Ziereis
D
15
D
16
Aaron Keller
M
Aaron Keller
M
10
Branimir Hrgota
87'
M
Branimir Hrgota
87'
M
13
Paul Will
86'
M
Paul Will
86'
M
30
Felix Klaus
M
Felix Klaus
M
23
Jannik Dehm
75'
M
Jannik Dehm
75'
M
18
Felix Higl
58'
F
Felix Higl
58'
F
9
Noel Futkeu
1 ⚽
F
Noel Futkeu
1 ⚽
F
Bench
7
Dennis Srbeny
15'
F
Dennis Srbeny
15'
F
28
Doni Arifi
32'
M
Doni Arifi
32'
M
33
Maximilian Dietz
D
Maximilian Dietz
D
47
Sayfallah Ltaief
10'
F
Sayfallah Ltaief
10'
F
1
G
21
Berkay Yılmaz
D
Berkay Yılmaz
D
24
D
4
Fabio Gruber
1 ⚽
D
Fabio Gruber
1 ⚽
D
8
Henri Koudossou
D
Henri Koudossou
D
20
Javier Fernandez
88'
M
Javier Fernandez
88'
M
6
Adam Markhiev
M
Adam Markhiev
M
18
Rafael Lubach
75'
M
Rafael Lubach
75'
M
25
Finn Ole Becker
88'
M
Finn Ole Becker
88'
M
10
Julian Justvan
M
Julian Justvan
M
33
Adriano Grimaldi
58'
F
Adriano Grimaldi
58'
F
Bench
37
N. Maboulou
F
39
Piet Scobel
32'
F
Piet Scobel
32'
F
22
Rabby Nzingoula
15'
M
Rabby Nzingoula
15'
M
28
Tarek Buchmann
D
5
T. Baack
8'
M
Best on the pitch
G · 1.
8.20
· 32 pass
Fabio Gruber
D · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
D · SpVgg
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
Noel Futkeu
F · SpVgg
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
Adam Markhiev
M · 1.
7.30
· 60 pass
G · SpVgg
7.30
· 47 pass
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Reno Münz | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Philipp Ziereis | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — | |
| Aaron Keller | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Branimir Hrgota | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Paul Will | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Felix Klaus | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jannik Dehm | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Felix Higl | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Noel Futkeu | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Dennis Srbeny | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Doni Arifi | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sayfallah Ltaief | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Berkay Yılmaz | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 36% | 3 | — | — | |
| Fabio Gruber | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Henri Koudossou | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Javier Fernandez | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Adam Markhiev | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Lubach | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Finn Ole Becker | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Julian Justvan | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Adriano Grimaldi | F | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Piet Scobel | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Rabby Nzingoula | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Baack | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The final score was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
What did the model predict before SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The model assigned 40% probability to a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an 1. FC Nürnberg win.