N. Futkeu
13'
45'+3
F. Gruber
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 40% win probability (draw 25%, 1. FC Nürnberg 34%). The final result was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. In 1 previous meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
6
1.54
Actual xG
1.48
5
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
5
19
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽N. Futkeu
13'
15'
A. Markhiev
45'+3
F. Gruber⚽
F. Klaus
52'
58'
P. Scobel
/
A. Grimaldi
F. Higl
/ D. Arifi
59'
75'
R. Nzingoula
/
R. Lubach
J. Dehm
/ D. Srbeny
75'
76'
J. Fernandez
P. Will
/ S. Ltaief
86'
B. Hrgota
/ J. Consbruch
86'
88'
M. Soldic
/
J. Fernandez
88'
T. Baack
/
F. O. Becker
D. Arifi
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.38%
SpVgg
25.0%
X ←
34.62%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
1.54
+0.17
1.25
1.48
+0.23
xG dominance was balanced (1.54 – 1.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
43
G
5
Reno Münz
D
Reno Münz
D
4
P. Ziereis
D
P. Ziereis
D
15
D
16
Aaron Keller
M
Aaron Keller
M
10
B. Hrgota
87'
M
B. Hrgota
87'
M
13
Paul Will
86'
M
Paul Will
86'
M
30
F. Klaus
M
F. Klaus
M
23
J. Dehm
75'
M
J. Dehm
75'
M
18
Felix Higl
58'
F
Felix Higl
58'
F
9
N. Futkeu
1 ⚽
F
N. Futkeu
1 ⚽
F
Bench
7
Dennis Srbeny
15'
F
Dennis Srbeny
15'
F
28
Doni Arifi
32'
M
Doni Arifi
32'
M
33
Maximilian Dietz
D
Maximilian Dietz
D
47
Sayfallah Ltaief
10'
F
Sayfallah Ltaief
10'
F
1
G
21
Berkay Yilmaz
D
Berkay Yilmaz
D
24
D
4
Fabio Gruber
1 ⚽
D
Fabio Gruber
1 ⚽
D
8
Henri Koudossou
D
Henri Koudossou
D
20
Javier Fernandez
88'
M
Javier Fernandez
88'
M
6
A. Marhiev
M
A. Marhiev
M
18
Rafael Lubach
75'
M
Rafael Lubach
75'
M
25
F. Becker
88'
M
F. Becker
88'
M
10
J. Justvan
M
J. Justvan
M
33
Adriano Grimaldi
58'
F
Adriano Grimaldi
58'
F
Bench
37
Noah Le Bret Maboulou
F
Noah Le Bret Maboulou
F
39
Piet Scobel
32'
F
Piet Scobel
32'
F
22
Rabby Nzingoula
15'
M
Rabby Nzingoula
15'
M
28
Tarek Buchmann
D
5
Tom Baack
8'
M
Tom Baack
8'
M
Best on the pitch
G · 1.
8.20
· 32 pass
Fabio Gruber
D · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
D · SpVgg
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
N. Futkeu
F · SpVgg
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
A. Marhiev
M · 1.
7.30
· 60 pass
G · SpVgg
7.30
· 47 pass
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Reno Münz | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Ziereis | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — | |
| Aaron Keller | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Hrgota | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Paul Will | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Klaus | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Dehm | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Felix Higl | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. Futkeu | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Dennis Srbeny | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Doni Arifi | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sayfallah Ltaief | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Berkay Yilmaz | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 36% | 3 | — | — | |
| Fabio Gruber | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Henri Koudossou | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Javier Fernandez | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Marhiev | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Lubach | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Becker | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Justvan | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Adriano Grimaldi | F | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Piet Scobel | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Rabby Nzingoula | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tom Baack | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The final score was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
What did the model predict before SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The model assigned 40% probability to a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an 1. FC Nürnberg win.