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N. Futkeu 13'
45'+3 F. Gruber
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 40% win probability (draw 25%, 1. FC Nürnberg 34%). The final result was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. In 2 previous meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Nürnberg.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
6
1.54
Actual xG
1.48
5
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
5
19
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
N. Futkeu
13'
15'
A. Markhiev
45'+3
F. Gruber
F. Klaus
52'
58'
P. Scobel / A. Grimaldi
F. Higl / D. Arifi
59'
75'
R. Nzingoula / R. Lubach
J. Dehm / D. Srbeny
75'
76'
J. Fernandez
P. Will / S. Ltaief
86'
B. Hrgota / J. Consbruch
86'
88'
M. Soldic / J. Fernandez
88'
T. Baack / F. O. Becker
D. Arifi
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.38%
SpVgg
25.0%
X ←
34.62%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SpVgg
1.37
1.54
+0.17
1.
1.25
1.48
+0.23
xG dominance was balanced (1.54 – 1.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 5 13
2 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4 12
3 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 5 9
4 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4 9
5 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 4 8
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 5 8
7 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 5 7
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 4 6
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 5
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4 5
11 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 5 4
12 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4 4
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5 4
14 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 5 4
15 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 5 4
16 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 5 4
17 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 4 3
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4 3
Lineups
43
G 7.30
5 Reno Münz Reno Münz D 6.70
4 P. Ziereis P. Ziereis D 6.20
15
D 7.50
16 A. Keller A. Keller M 6.90
10 B. Hrgota B. Hrgota 87' M 6.60
13 P. Will P. Will 86' M 6.90
30 F. Klaus F. Klaus M 7.00
23 J. Dehm J. Dehm 75' M 7.00
18 Felix Higl Felix Higl 58' F 6.30
9 N. Futkeu N. Futkeu 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
28 D. Arifi D. Arifi 32' M 6.90
7 D. Srbeny D. Srbeny 15' F 6.60
33 M. Dietz M. Dietz D
47 S. Ltaief S. Ltaief 10' F 6.70
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
1
G 8.20
21 Berkay Yilmaz Berkay Yilmaz D 6.30
24
D 6.90
4 F. Gruber F. Gruber 1 ⚽ D 7.90
8 H. Koudossou H. Koudossou D 6.30
20 J. Fernandez J. Fernandez 88' M 6.50
6 A. Marhiev A. Marhiev M 7.30
18 Rafael Lubach Rafael Lubach 75' M 6.60
25 F. Becker F. Becker 88' M 6.70
10 J. Justvan J. Justvan M 6.60
33 Adriano Grimaldi Adriano Grimaldi 58' F 6.60
Bench
37 Noah Le Bret Maboulou Noah Le Bret Maboulou F
39 P. Scobel P. Scobel 32' F 6.30
22 R. Nzingoula R. Nzingoula 15' M 6.70
28
Tarek Buchmann D
5 T. Baack T. Baack 8' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
G · 1.
8.20
· 32 pass
F. Gruber
F. Gruber
D · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 50 pass
D · SpVgg
7.50
1 shots · 28 pass
N. Futkeu
N. Futkeu
F · SpVgg
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
A. Marhiev
A. Marhiev
M · 1.
7.30
· 60 pass
G · SpVgg
7.30
· 47 pass
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 47 19%
Reno Münz D 90 6.70 27 23% 1
P. Ziereis D 90 6.20 24 18%
D 90 7.50 1 28 22% 3
A. Keller M 90 6.90 16 14% 2
B. Hrgota M 87 6.60 1 12 9% 3
P. Will M 86 6.90 1 23 17% 3
F. Klaus M 90 7.00 1 30 19% 2 1
J. Dehm M 75 7.00 28 21% 2
Felix Higl F 58 6.30 1 10 9%
N. Futkeu F 90 7.50 1 2 13 12% 1
D. Arifi M 32 6.90 12 10% 2 1
D. Srbeny F 15 6.60 1 5 4%
S. Ltaief F 10 6.70 1 4 3%
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.20 32 25%
Berkay Yilmaz D 90 6.30 1 39 29% 1
D 90 6.90 3 40 36% 3
F. Gruber D 90 7.90 1 1 50 39% 3
H. Koudossou D 90 6.30 38 32% 1
J. Fernandez M 88 6.50 31 26% 1 1
A. Marhiev M 90 7.30 60 55% 5 1
Rafael Lubach M 75 6.60 1 24 23% 2
F. Becker M 88 6.70 2 29 27% 1
J. Justvan M 90 6.60 4 37 30%
Adriano Grimaldi F 58 6.60 9 6%
P. Scobel F 32 6.30 8 7%
R. Nzingoula M 15 6.70 6 5%
T. Baack M 8 6.70
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The final score was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
What did the model predict before SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The model assigned 40% probability to a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an 1. FC Nürnberg win.