N. Futkeu
13'
45'+3
F. Gruber
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 40% win probability (draw 25%, 1. FC Nürnberg 34%). The final result was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg. In 2 previous meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
6
1.54
Actual xG
1.48
5
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
5
19
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽N. Futkeu
13'
15'
A. Markhiev
45'+3
F. Gruber⚽
F. Klaus
52'
58'
P. Scobel
/
A. Grimaldi
F. Higl
/ D. Arifi
59'
75'
R. Nzingoula
/
R. Lubach
J. Dehm
/ D. Srbeny
75'
76'
J. Fernandez
P. Will
/ S. Ltaief
86'
B. Hrgota
/ J. Consbruch
86'
88'
M. Soldic
/
J. Fernandez
88'
T. Baack
/
F. O. Becker
D. Arifi
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.38%
SpVgg
25.0%
X ←
34.62%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
1.54
+0.17
1.25
1.48
+0.23
xG dominance was balanced (1.54 – 1.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
43
G
5
Reno Münz
D
Reno Münz
D
4
P. Ziereis
D
P. Ziereis
D
15
D
16
A. Keller
M
A. Keller
M
10
B. Hrgota
87'
M
B. Hrgota
87'
M
13
P. Will
86'
M
P. Will
86'
M
30
F. Klaus
M
F. Klaus
M
23
J. Dehm
75'
M
J. Dehm
75'
M
18
Felix Higl
58'
F
Felix Higl
58'
F
9
N. Futkeu
1 ⚽
F
N. Futkeu
1 ⚽
F
Bench
28
D. Arifi
32'
M
D. Arifi
32'
M
7
D. Srbeny
15'
F
D. Srbeny
15'
F
33
M. Dietz
D
M. Dietz
D
47
S. Ltaief
10'
F
S. Ltaief
10'
F
1
G
21
Berkay Yilmaz
D
Berkay Yilmaz
D
24
D
4
F. Gruber
1 ⚽
D
F. Gruber
1 ⚽
D
8
H. Koudossou
D
H. Koudossou
D
20
J. Fernandez
88'
M
J. Fernandez
88'
M
6
A. Marhiev
M
A. Marhiev
M
18
Rafael Lubach
75'
M
Rafael Lubach
75'
M
25
F. Becker
88'
M
F. Becker
88'
M
10
J. Justvan
M
J. Justvan
M
33
Adriano Grimaldi
58'
F
Adriano Grimaldi
58'
F
Bench
37
Noah Le Bret Maboulou
F
Noah Le Bret Maboulou
F
39
P. Scobel
32'
F
P. Scobel
32'
F
22
R. Nzingoula
15'
M
R. Nzingoula
15'
M
28
Tarek Buchmann
D
5
T. Baack
8'
M
T. Baack
8'
M
Best on the pitch
G · 1.
8.20
· 32 pass
F. Gruber
D · 1.
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
D · SpVgg
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
N. Futkeu
F · SpVgg
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
A. Marhiev
M · 1.
7.30
· 60 pass
G · SpVgg
7.30
· 47 pass
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Reno Münz | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Ziereis | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — | |
| A. Keller | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Hrgota | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Will | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Klaus | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Dehm | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Felix Higl | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. Futkeu | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Arifi | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Srbeny | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Ltaief | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Berkay Yilmaz | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 36% | 3 | — | — | |
| F. Gruber | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Koudossou | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fernandez | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Marhiev | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Lubach | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Becker | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Justvan | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Adriano Grimaldi | F | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| P. Scobel | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Nzingoula | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Baack | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The final score was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.
What did the model predict before SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The model assigned 40% probability to a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an 1. FC Nürnberg win.