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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2 August 15, 2026 13:00 Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
#12 · 9 pts
2 – 4
Final score
1. FC Nürnberg
#2 · 18 pts
F. Klaus 22' (pen.)
F. Klaus (ast. D. Srbeny) 41'
26' (ast. J. Justvan) P. Scobel
45'+3 (ast. P. Scobel) J. Justvan
54' (ast. F. Otto) J. Justvan
74' P. Scobel
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Nürnberg a 34% win probability (draw 32%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33%). The final result was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–4 1. FC Nürnberg. In 2 previous meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Nürnberg.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
6
Shots on target
8
2.75
Actual xG
1.20
4
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
5
Corners
3
19
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽F. Klaus (pen.)
22'
26'
ast. J. Justvan · P. Scobel⚽
28'
J. Fernandez
39'
⚽F. Klaus · ast. D. Srbeny
41'
45'+3
ast. P. Scobel · J. Justvan⚽
45'+6
J. Justvan
54'
ast. F. Otto · J. Justvan⚽
55'
G. Masouras / T. Janisch ↕
60'
E. Porstner
⚽F. Klaus (missed pen.)
62'
↕ D. Srbeny / A. Keller
67'
74'
P. Scobel⚽
75'
R. Ghrieb / F. Becker ↕
77'
R. Lubach / J. Fernandez ↕
77'
R. Ghrieb
↕ J. Dehm / L. Reich
77'
↕ O. Pohlmann / M. Wallentowitz
77'
↕ S. Banse / O. Sillah
77'
88'
A. Grimaldi / P. Scobel ↕
88'
M. Kornwachs Barjuan / J. Justvan ↕
A. Keller
89'
Pre-match prediction
33.41%
SpVgg
32.11%
X
34.48%
1. ←
we assigned to the actual result (1. FC Nürnberg) 34.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SpVgg
1.64
2.75
+1.11
1.
1.71
1.20
-0.51
SpVgg Greuther Fürth dominated by xG (2.75 vs 1.20). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5-3-2
1 Florian Hellstern Florian Hellstern G 6.20
10 Ole Pohlmann Ole Pohlmann 77' D 5.60
27 G. Itter G. Itter D 6.50
22 J. Heuer J. Heuer D 6.20
29 K. Keresztes K. Keresztes D 5.90
23 J. Dehm J. Dehm 77' D 6.00
6 S. Bansé S. Bansé 77' M 6.50
13 P. Will P. Will M 6.30
8 S. Appelkamp S. Appelkamp M 7.30
7 D. Srbeny D. Srbeny 1 👟 67' F 7.00
30 F. Klaus F. Klaus 2 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
11 A. Keller A. Keller 30' M 6.00
28 D. Arifi D. Arifi M
48 Jakob Krautkramer Jakob Krautkramer D
2 Lukas Reich Lukas Reich 20' D 6.70
5 Maxim Dal Maxim Dal D
21 M. Wallentowitz M. Wallentowitz 20' M 6.70
17 N. König N. König D
42 O. Sillah O. Sillah 20' F 6.30
43 Silas Prüfrock Silas Prüfrock G
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
1 J. Reichert J. Reichert G 7.90
41 E. Porstner E. Porstner D 5.20
20 F. Otto F. Otto 1 👟 D 7.50
4 A. Kalogeropoulos A. Kalogeropoulos D 6.30
32 T. Janisch T. Janisch 55' D 5.90
8 J. Fernandez J. Fernandez 77' M 6.90
6 A. Marhiev A. Marhiev M 7.90
23 M. Zoma M. Zoma M 6.30
22 F. Becker F. Becker 75' M 5.90
10 J. Justvan J. Justvan 2 ⚽ 1 👟 88' M 9.70
19 P. Scobel P. Scobel 2 ⚽ 1 👟 88' F 8.30
Bench
39 Adriano Grimaldi Adriano Grimaldi 9' F 6.50
28 Can Yaha Moustfa Can Yaha Moustfa F
21 G. Masouras G. Masouras 42' D 7.20
36 K. Mandic K. Mandic D
35 M. Kornwachs Barjuan M. Kornwachs Barjuan 9' D 6.30
18 Rafael Lubach Rafael Lubach 20' M 6.30
7 R. Ghrieb R. Ghrieb 22' F 6.00
13 Robin Lisewski Robin Lisewski G
43 T. Hess T. Hess D
Best on the pitch
J. Justvan
J. Justvan
M · 1.
9.70
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 34 pass
P. Scobel
P. Scobel
F · 1.
8.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 15 pass
A. Marhiev
A. Marhiev
M · 1.
7.90
· 67 pass
J. Reichert
J. Reichert
G · 1.
7.90
· 21 pass
F. Klaus
F. Klaus
F · SpVgg
7.70
2 ⚽
6 shots · 27 pass
F. Otto
F. Otto
D · 1.
7.50
1 👟
· 74 pass
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Florian Hellstern G 97 6.20 — — — 40 28% — — —
Ole Pohlmann D 77 5.60 — — — 15 15% 2 — —
G. Itter D 97 6.50 — — — 34 28% 4 — —
J. Heuer D 97 6.20 — — — 35 31% 3 — —
K. Keresztes D 97 5.90 — — — 44 34% — — —
J. Dehm D 77 6.00 — — 1 25 23% 2 — —
S. Bansé M 77 6.50 — — 1 17 14% 3 — —
P. Will M 97 6.30 — — — 31 27% 2 — —
S. Appelkamp M 97 7.30 — — 1 28 20% — — —
D. Srbeny F 67 7.00 — 1 — 11 8% 1 — —
F. Klaus F 97 7.70 2 — 6 27 20% — — —
A. Keller M 30 6.00 — — — 5 5% — 1 —
Lukas Reich D 20 6.70 — — 1 16 13% — — —
M. Wallentowitz M 20 6.70 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
O. Sillah F 20 6.30 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Reichert G 97 7.90 — — — 21 12% — — —
E. Porstner D 97 5.20 — — — 33 29% 1 1 —
F. Otto D 97 7.50 — 1 — 74 68% 1 — —
A. Kalogeropoulos D 97 6.30 — — — 50 46% 1 — —
T. Janisch D 55 5.90 — — — 16 14% — — —
J. Fernandez M 77 6.90 — — 2 65 58% 1 1 —
A. Marhiev M 97 7.90 — — — 67 61% 5 — —
M. Zoma M 97 6.30 — — 2 15 11% — — —
F. Becker M 75 5.90 — — 1 33 30% — — —
J. Justvan M 88 9.70 2 1 3 34 25% — 1 —
P. Scobel F 88 8.30 2 1 4 15 10% — — —
Adriano Grimaldi F 9 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
G. Masouras D 42 7.20 — — — 6 5% 4 — —
M. Kornwachs Barjuan D 9 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Rafael Lubach M 20 6.30 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
R. Ghrieb F 22 6.00 — — 1 5 2% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The final score was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–4 1. FC Nürnberg.
What did the model predict before SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
The model assigned 33% probability to a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an 1. FC Nürnberg win.