SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf — pre-match prediction — 2. Bundesliga — May 17, 2026

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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 15:30 Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#16 · 37 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Fortuna Düsseldorf

#17 · 37 pts

✓Model correct — prediction SpVgg Greuther Fürth

F. Klaus (ast. G. Itter) 2'

E. Egouli 16' (og)

N. Futkeu 36'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 22%). The final result was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf. In 1 previous meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.02

Actual xG

0.71

Saves

34%

Possession

66%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽F. Klaus · ast. G. Itter

P. Will

12'

⚽E. Egouli (og)

16'

21'

S. Alexandropoulos

⚽N. Futkeu

36'

45'+1

S. Appelkamp

46'

S. Tanaka / S. Alexandropoulos ↕

46'

J. Paulina / S. Suso ↕

46'

C. Rasmussen / V. Lunddal ↕

↕ D. Srbeny / D. Arifi

61'

↕ S. Ltaief / R. Munz

67'

73'

76'

T. Rossmann / S. Appelkamp ↕

G. Itter

78'

80'

J. Paulina

82'

J. Daland / C. Lenz ↕

82'

J. Daland

↕ G. Itter / B. Bjarnason

89'

R. Munz

90'+3

D. Arifi

90'+4

90'+5

F. Kastenmeier

Pre-match prediction

55.65%

SpVgg ←

22.24%

22.11%

Fortuna

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) 55.65% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

SpVgg

1.82

2.02

+0.2

Fortuna

0.90

0.71

-0.19

SpVgg Greuther Fürth dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.71). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nürnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	34	37
17	Fortuna Düsseldorf	34	37
18	Preußen Münster	34	30

Lineups

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-1-4-1

Silas Prüfrock G 7.30

Luca Itter 1 👟 89' D 7.60

P. Ziereis D 7.20

Jan Elvedi D 7.60

J. Dehm D 7.30

Paul Will M 6.60

Sayfallah Ltaief 67' M 6.50

Dennis Srbeny 61' M 6.30

B. Hrgota M 6.90

F. Klaus 1 ⚽ M 9.30

N. Futkeu 1 ⚽ F 8.20

Bench

Aaron Keller F

Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason 8' D 6.90

Doni Arifi 29' M 6.90

Felix Higl F

Julian Green M

M. Dietz D

Pelle Boevink G

Reno Münz 23' D 6.90

Sacha Banse M

Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2-3-1

Florian Kastenmeier G 7.50

Christopher Lenz 82' D 6.30

Elias Egouli 1 ⚽ D 5.30

Tim Oberdorf D 5.70

Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 45' D 5.60

Tim Breithaupt M 6.90

Sotiris Alexandropoulos 45' M 6.70

K. Suso 45' M 6.30

S. Appelkamp 75' M 6.30

Emmanuel Iyoha M 7.30

Marin Ljubičić F 6.30

Bench

Christian Rasmussen 45' F 6.50

J. Daland 8' D 6.70

Jordi Paulina 45' F 5.90

Julian Hettwer F

Luca Raimund F

Marcel Lotka G

Moritz Heyer D

Satoshi Tanaka 45' M 6.90

Tim Rossmann 15' F 6.70

Best on the pitch

F. Klaus

M · SpVgg

9.30

1 ⚽

4 shots · 17 pass

N. Futkeu

F · SpVgg

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 16 pass

Luca Itter

D · SpVgg

7.60

1 👟

· 38 pass

Jan Elvedi

D · SpVgg

7.60

· 26 pass

Florian Kastenmeier

G · Fortuna

7.50

· 52 pass

Emmanuel Iyoha

M · Fortuna

7.30

· 34 pass

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Silas Prüfrock	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	48	23%	—	—	—
Luca Itter	D	89	7.60	—	1	—	38	29%	4	1	—
P. Ziereis	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	30	23%	2	—	—
Jan Elvedi	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	26	25%	2	—	—
J. Dehm	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	24	19%	2	—	—
Paul Will	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	25	21%	2	1	—
Sayfallah Ltaief	M	67	6.50	—	—	2	15	12%	—	—	—
Dennis Srbeny	M	61	6.30	—	—	—	8	5%	1	—	—
B. Hrgota	M	90	6.90	—	—	2	19	16%	1	—	—
F. Klaus	M	90	9.30	1	—	4	17	10%	—	—	—
N. Futkeu	F	90	8.20	1	—	2	16	13%	—	—	—
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason	D	8	6.90	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Doni Arifi	M	29	6.90	—	—	—	8	6%	2	1	—
Reno Münz	D	23	6.90	—	—	—	2	1%	—	1	—

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Florian Kastenmeier	G	90	7.50	—	—	—	52	35%	—	1	—
Christopher Lenz	D	82	6.30	—	—	—	47	42%	2	—	—
Elias Egouli	D	90	5.30	1	—	—	72	67%	3	—	—
Tim Oberdorf	D	90	5.70	—	—	—	63	51%	1	—	—
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson	D	45	5.60	—	—	—	21	17%	—	—	—
Tim Breithaupt	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	83	79%	2	—	—
Sotiris Alexandropoulos	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	23	22%	2	1	—
K. Suso	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	13%	—	—	—
S. Appelkamp	M	75	6.30	—	—	2	44	38%	—	1	—
Emmanuel Iyoha	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	34	28%	3	—	—
Marin Ljubičić	F	90	6.30	—	—	—	14	13%	—	—	—
Christian Rasmussen	F	45	6.50	—	—	3	15	11%	—	—	—
J. Daland	D	8	6.70	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	—
Jordi Paulina	F	45	5.90	—	—	1	13	11%	1	1	—
Satoshi Tanaka	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	21	17%	3	—	—
Tim Rossmann	F	15	6.70	—	—	—	15	13%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

The final score was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What did the model predict before SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

The model assigned 55% probability to a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Fortuna Düsseldorf win.