✓Model correct — prediction SpVgg Greuther Fürth
F. Klaus
(ast. G. Itter)
2'
E. Egouli
16'
(og)
N. Futkeu
36'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 22%). The final result was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf. In 1 previous meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
1
2.02
Actual xG
0.71
1
Saves
4
34%
Possession
66%
2
Corners
3
16
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
⚽F. Klaus
· ast. G. Itter
2'
P. Will
12'
⚽E. Egouli
(og)
16'
21'
S. Alexandropoulos
⚽N. Futkeu
36'
45'+1
S. Appelkamp
46'
S. Tanaka
/
S. Alexandropoulos
46'
J. Paulina
/
S. Suso
46'
C. Rasmussen
/
V. Lunddal
D. Srbeny
/ D. Arifi
61'
S. Ltaief
/ R. Munz
67'
73'
76'
T. Rossmann
/
S. Appelkamp
G. Itter
78'
80'
J. Paulina
82'
J. Daland
/
C. Lenz
82'
J. Daland
G. Itter
/ B. Bjarnason
89'
R. Munz
90'+3
D. Arifi
90'+4
90'+5
F. Kastenmeier
Pre-match prediction
55.65%
SpVgg ←
22.24%
X
22.11%
Fortuna
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (SpVgg Greuther Fürth)
55.65%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.82
2.02
+0.2
0.90
0.71
-0.19
SpVgg Greuther Fürth dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.71).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
43
Silas Prüfrock
G
Silas Prüfrock
G
27
G. Itter
1 👟
89'
D
G. Itter
1 👟
89'
D
4
P. Ziereis
D
P. Ziereis
D
15
J. Elvedi
D
J. Elvedi
D
23
J. Dehm
D
J. Dehm
D
13
P. Will
M
P. Will
M
47
S. Ltaief
67'
M
S. Ltaief
67'
M
7
D. Srbeny
61'
M
D. Srbeny
61'
M
10
B. Hrgota
M
B. Hrgota
M
30
F. Klaus
1 ⚽
M
F. Klaus
1 ⚽
M
9
N. Futkeu
1 ⚽
F
N. Futkeu
1 ⚽
F
Bench
16
A. Keller
F
A. Keller
F
25
B. Bjarnason
8'
D
B. Bjarnason
8'
D
28
D. Arifi
29'
M
D. Arifi
29'
M
18
Felix Higl
F
Felix Higl
F
37
Julian Green
M
Julian Green
M
33
M. Dietz
D
M. Dietz
D
26
P. Boevink
G
P. Boevink
G
5
Reno Münz
23'
D
Reno Münz
23'
D
6
S. Bansé
M
S. Bansé
M
33
F. Kastenmeier
G
F. Kastenmeier
G
3
Christopher Lenz
82'
D
Christopher Lenz
82'
D
44
Elias Egouli
1 ⚽
D
Elias Egouli
1 ⚽
D
15
Tim Oberdorf
D
Tim Oberdorf
D
12
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson
45'
D
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson
45'
D
6
Tim Breithaupt
M
Tim Breithaupt
M
14
Sotiris Alexandropoulos
45'
M
Sotiris Alexandropoulos
45'
M
46
K. Suso
45'
M
K. Suso
45'
M
23
S. Appelkamp
75'
M
S. Appelkamp
75'
M
19
E. Iyoha
M
E. Iyoha
M
20
M. LjubiÄiÄ
F
M. LjubiÄiÄ
F
Bench
10
C. Rasmussen
45'
F
C. Rasmussen
45'
F
2
J. Daland
8'
D
J. Daland
8'
D
11
J. Hettwer
F
J. Hettwer
F
27
Jordi Paulina
45'
F
Jordi Paulina
45'
F
7
L. Raimund
F
L. Raimund
F
1
M. Lotka
G
M. Lotka
G
5
Moritz Heyer
D
Moritz Heyer
D
16
S. Tanaka
45'
M
S. Tanaka
45'
M
21
Tim Rossmann
15'
F
Tim Rossmann
15'
F
Best on the pitch
F. Klaus
M · SpVgg
9.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 17 pass
N. Futkeu
F · SpVgg
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
G. Itter
D · SpVgg
7.60
1 👟
· 38 pass
J. Elvedi
D · SpVgg
7.60
· 26 pass
F. Kastenmeier
G · Fortuna
7.50
· 52 pass
E. Iyoha
M · Fortuna
7.30
· 34 pass
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Prüfrock | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 23% | — | — | — |
| G. Itter | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 29% | 4 | 1 | — |
| P. Ziereis | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Elvedi | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Dehm | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Will | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Ltaief | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Srbeny | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Hrgota | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Klaus | M | 90 | 9.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| N. Futkeu | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| B. Bjarnason | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Arifi | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Reno Münz | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Kastenmeier | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Christopher Lenz | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Elias Egouli | D | 90 | 5.30 | 1 | — | — | 72 | 67% | 3 | — | — |
| Tim Oberdorf | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson | D | 45 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Tim Breithaupt | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 83 | 79% | 2 | — | — |
| Sotiris Alexandropoulos | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Suso | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| S. Appelkamp | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Iyoha | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| M. LjubiÄiÄ | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Rasmussen | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Daland | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jordi Paulina | F | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Tanaka | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Tim Rossmann | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The final score was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf.
What did the model predict before SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The model assigned 55% probability to a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Fortuna Düsseldorf win.