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Model correct — prediction SpVgg Greuther Fürth
F. Klaus (ast. G. Itter) 2'
E. Egouli 16' (og)
N. Futkeu 36'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 55% win probability (draw 22%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 22%). The final result was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf. In 1 previous meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
1
2.02
Actual xG
0.71
1
Saves
4
34%
Possession
66%
2
Corners
3
16
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
F. Klaus · ast. G. Itter
2'
P. Will
12'
E. Egouli (og)
16'
21'
S. Alexandropoulos
N. Futkeu
36'
45'+1
S. Appelkamp
46'
S. Tanaka / S. Alexandropoulos
46'
J. Paulina / S. Suso
46'
C. Rasmussen / V. Lunddal
D. Srbeny / D. Arifi
61'
S. Ltaief / R. Munz
67'
73'
76'
T. Rossmann / S. Appelkamp
G. Itter
78'
80'
J. Paulina
82'
J. Daland / C. Lenz
82'
J. Daland
G. Itter / B. Bjarnason
89'
R. Munz
90'+3
D. Arifi
90'+4
90'+5
F. Kastenmeier
Pre-match prediction
55.65%
SpVgg ←
22.24%
X
22.11%
Fortuna
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) 55.65% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SpVgg
1.82
2.02
+0.2
Fortuna
0.90
0.71
-0.19
SpVgg Greuther Fürth dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.71). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 5 13
2 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 4 12
3 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 5 9
4 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4 9
5 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 4 8
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 5 8
7 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 5 7
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 4 6
9 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 5 5
10 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4 5
11 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 5 4
12 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4 4
13 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 5 4
14 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 5 4
15 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 5 4
16 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 5 4
17 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 4 3
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 4 3
Lineups
43 Silas Prüfrock Silas Prüfrock G 7.30
27 G. Itter G. Itter 1 👟 89' D 7.60
4 P. Ziereis P. Ziereis D 7.20
15 J. Elvedi J. Elvedi D 7.60
23 J. Dehm J. Dehm D 7.30
13 P. Will P. Will M 6.60
47 S. Ltaief S. Ltaief 67' M 6.50
7 D. Srbeny D. Srbeny 61' M 6.30
10 B. Hrgota B. Hrgota M 6.90
30 F. Klaus F. Klaus 1 ⚽ M 9.30
9 N. Futkeu N. Futkeu 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
16 A. Keller A. Keller F
25 B. Bjarnason B. Bjarnason 8' D 6.90
28 D. Arifi D. Arifi 29' M 6.90
18 Felix Higl Felix Higl F
37 Julian Green Julian Green M
33 M. Dietz M. Dietz D
26 P. Boevink P. Boevink G
5 Reno Münz Reno Münz 23' D 6.90
6 S. Bansé S. Bansé M
33 F. Kastenmeier F. Kastenmeier G 7.50
3 Christopher Lenz Christopher Lenz 82' D 6.30
44 Elias Egouli Elias Egouli 1 ⚽ D 5.30
15 Tim Oberdorf Tim Oberdorf D 5.70
12 Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson 45' D 5.60
6 Tim Breithaupt Tim Breithaupt M 6.90
14 Sotiris Alexandropoulos Sotiris Alexandropoulos 45' M 6.70
46 K. Suso K. Suso 45' M 6.30
23 S. Appelkamp S. Appelkamp 75' M 6.30
19 E. Iyoha E. Iyoha M 7.30
20 M. Ljubičić M. Ljubičić F 6.30
Bench
10 C. Rasmussen C. Rasmussen 45' F 6.50
2 J. Daland J. Daland 8' D 6.70
11 J. Hettwer J. Hettwer F
27 Jordi Paulina Jordi Paulina 45' F 5.90
7 L. Raimund L. Raimund F
1 M. Lotka M. Lotka G
5 Moritz Heyer Moritz Heyer D
16 S. Tanaka S. Tanaka 45' M 6.90
21 Tim Rossmann Tim Rossmann 15' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
F. Klaus
F. Klaus
M · SpVgg
9.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 17 pass
N. Futkeu
N. Futkeu
F · SpVgg
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 16 pass
G. Itter
G. Itter
D · SpVgg
7.60
1 👟
· 38 pass
J. Elvedi
J. Elvedi
D · SpVgg
7.60
· 26 pass
F. Kastenmeier
F. Kastenmeier
G · Fortuna
7.50
· 52 pass
E. Iyoha
E. Iyoha
M · Fortuna
7.30
· 34 pass
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Silas Prüfrock G 90 7.30 48 23%
G. Itter D 89 7.60 1 38 29% 4 1
P. Ziereis D 90 7.20 30 23% 2
J. Elvedi D 90 7.60 26 25% 2
J. Dehm D 90 7.30 1 24 19% 2
P. Will M 90 6.60 25 21% 2 1
S. Ltaief M 67 6.50 2 15 12%
D. Srbeny M 61 6.30 8 5% 1
B. Hrgota M 90 6.90 2 19 16% 1
F. Klaus M 90 9.30 1 4 17 10%
N. Futkeu F 90 8.20 1 2 16 13%
B. Bjarnason D 8 6.90
D. Arifi M 29 6.90 8 6% 2 1
Reno Münz D 23 6.90 2 1% 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Kastenmeier G 90 7.50 52 35% 1
Christopher Lenz D 82 6.30 47 42% 2
Elias Egouli D 90 5.30 1 72 67% 3
Tim Oberdorf D 90 5.70 63 51% 1
Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson D 45 5.60 21 17%
Tim Breithaupt M 90 6.90 83 79% 2
Sotiris Alexandropoulos M 45 6.70 23 22% 2 1
K. Suso M 45 6.30 13 13%
S. Appelkamp M 75 6.30 2 44 38% 1
E. Iyoha M 90 7.30 34 28% 3
M. Ljubičić F 90 6.30 14 13%
C. Rasmussen F 45 6.50 3 15 11%
J. Daland D 8 6.70 1
Jordi Paulina F 45 5.90 1 13 11% 1 1
S. Tanaka M 45 6.90 21 17% 3
Tim Rossmann F 15 6.70 15 13% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The final score was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf.
What did the model predict before SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The model assigned 55% probability to a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win, 22% to a draw, and 22% to an Fortuna Düsseldorf win.