2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 05, 2026 13:30 Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#9 · 5 pts

0 – 2

Final score

SC Paderborn 07

51' (ast. L. Curda) S. Marino

86' (ast. S. Tigges) F. Bilbija

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Paderborn 07 a 47% win probability (draw 24%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 28%). The final result was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 SC Paderborn 07. In 1 previous meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Paderborn 07.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

12

4

Shots on target

4

0.90

Actual xG

1.32

2

Saves

4

56%

Possession

44%

3

Corners

4

11

Tackles

11

1

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

51'

ast. L. Curda · S. Marino⚽

↕ J. Dehm / L. Reich

64'

↕ S. Ltaief / A. Keller

64'

64'

F. Bilbija / R. Muller ↕

65'

S. Tigges / S. Klaas ↕

Philipp Ziereis

67'

68'

Mattes Hansen

69'

S. Castaneda / M. Hansen ↕

↕ M. Dietz / M. John

75'

82'

J. Sticker / T. Scheller ↕

82'

N. Batzner / S. Marino ↕

84'

Santiago Castaneda

86'

ast. S. Tigges · F. Bilbija⚽

↕ P. Ziereis / A. Dardari

87'

90'+2

Filip Bilbija

Pre-match prediction

28.08%

SpVgg

24.91%

X

47.01%

SC ←

we assigned to the actual result (SC Paderborn 07) 47.01% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SpVgg

1.17

0.90

-0.27

SC

1.67

1.32

-0.35

SC Paderborn 07 dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	1. FC Nürnberg	5	13
2	Hertha BSC	4	12
3	1. FC Magdeburg	5	9
4	1. FC Heidenheim	4	9
5	VfL Wolfsburg	4	8
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	5	8
7	VfL Bochum	5	7
8	VfL Osnabrück	4	6
9	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	5	5
10	Karlsruher SC	4	5
11	Eintracht Braunschweig	5	4
12	Energie Cottbus	4	4
13	Arminia Bielefeld	5	4
14	Hannover 96	5	4
15	SV Darmstadt 98	5	4
16	Dynamo Dresden	5	4
17	FC St. Pauli	4	3
18	Holstein Kiel	4	3

Lineups

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-2-3-1

43

G 6.30

5 Reno Münz D 6.60

4 P. Ziereis 87' D 6.90

15

D 7.20

23 J. Dehm 64' D 6.70

13 P. Will M 6.70

33 M. Dietz 75' M 7.20

47 S. Ltaief 64' M 7.00

10 B. Hrgota M 7.30

30 F. Klaus M 6.30

9 N. Futkeu F 6.00

Bench

11 Aiman Dardari 9' F 6.50

16 A. Keller 26' F 6.90

28 D. Arifi M

18 Felix Higl F

2

Lukas Reich 26' D 6.90

24

M. John 15' D 6.50

SC Paderborn 07 3-4-2-1

41

G 8.00

4 C. Brackelmann D 6.90

20 F. Götze D 7.20

25 T. Scheller 82' D 7.30

23 R. Obermair M 7.00

22 M. Hansen 69' M 6.50

14 M. Baur M 7.20

17 L. Curda 1 👟 M 7.90

26 Sebastian Klaas 65' F 6.20

2 Ruben Müller 64' F 6.60

30 S. Marino 1 ⚽ 82' F 6.30

Bench

7 F. Bilbija 1 ⚽ 26' M 7.30

3 Jonah Benedict Sticker 8' D 6.90

10 K. Okpala F

9 Nick Bätzner 8' M 6.70

5 S. Castañeda 21' M 6.60

27 S. Tigges 1 👟 25' F 7.30

11 Sven Michel F

Best on the pitch

G · SC

8.00

· 33 pass

L. Curda

M · SC

7.90

1 👟

1 shots · 37 pass

S. Tigges

F · SC

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 7 pass

F. Bilbija

M · SC

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 8 pass

T. Scheller

D · SC

7.30

· 44 pass

B. Hrgota

M · SpVgg

7.30

2 shots · 38 pass

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	42	27%	—	—	—
Reno Münz	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	76	65%	1	—	—
P. Ziereis	D	87	6.90	—	—	—	51	47%	1	1	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	65	58%	2	—	—
J. Dehm	D	64	6.70	—	—	2	20	16%	1	—	—
P. Will	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	57	52%	—	—	—
M. Dietz	M	75	7.20	—	—	—	39	35%	—	—	—
S. Ltaief	M	64	7.00	—	—	—	14	10%	1	—	—
B. Hrgota	M	90	7.30	—	—	2	38	27%	2	—	—
F. Klaus	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	32%	—	—	—
N. Futkeu	F	90	6.00	—	—	4	11	7%	—	—	—
Aiman Dardari	F	9	6.50	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
A. Keller	F	26	6.90	—	—	—	15	13%	—	—	—
Lukas Reich	D	26	6.90	—	—	2	18	16%	2	—	—
M. John	D	15	6.50	—	—	1	10	6%	1	—	—

SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.00	—	—	—	33	22%	—	—	—
C. Brackelmann	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	41	31%	—	—	—
F. Götze	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	35	31%	2	—	—
T. Scheller	D	82	7.30	—	—	—	44	38%	4	—	—
R. Obermair	M	90	7.00	—	—	2	27	24%	—	—	—
M. Hansen	M	69	6.50	—	—	—	36	29%	—	1	—
M. Baur	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	42	34%	1	—	—
L. Curda	M	90	7.90	—	1	1	37	29%	3	—	—
Sebastian Klaas	F	65	6.20	—	—	1	21	18%	—	—	—
Ruben Müller	F	64	6.60	—	—	1	20	17%	—	—	—
S. Marino	F	82	6.30	1	—	4	17	12%	—	—	—
F. Bilbija	M	26	7.30	1	—	1	8	5%	—	1	—
Jonah Benedict Sticker	D	8	6.90	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Nick Bätzner	M	8	6.70	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
S. Castañeda	M	21	6.60	—	—	—	7	4%	—	1	—
S. Tigges	F	25	7.30	—	1	1	7	5%	1	—	—