2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 05, 2026 15:30

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#17 · 34 pts

0 – 2

Final score

SC Paderborn 07

#4 · 59 pts

51' (ast. L. Curda) S. Marino

86' (ast. S. Tigges) F. Bilbija

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Paderborn 07 a 47% win probability (draw 24%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 28%). The final result was SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0–2 SC Paderborn 07. In 1 previous meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Paderborn 07.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

12

4

Shots on target

4

0.90

Actual xG

1.32

2

Saves

4

56%

Possession

44%

3

Corners

4

11

Tackles

11

1

🟨 Yellow cards

3

Match Events

51'

ast. L. Curda · S. Marino⚽

↕ J. Dehm / L. Reich

64'

↕ S. Ltaief / A. Keller

64'

64'

F. Bilbija / R. Muller ↕

65'

S. Tigges / S. Klaas ↕

Philipp Ziereis

67'

68'

Mattes Hansen

69'

S. Castaneda / M. Hansen ↕

↕ M. Dietz / M. John

75'

82'

J. Sticker / T. Scheller ↕

82'

N. Batzner / S. Marino ↕

84'

Santiago Castaneda

86'

ast. S. Tigges · F. Bilbija⚽

↕ P. Ziereis / A. Dardari

87'

90'+2

Filip Bilbija

Pre-match prediction

28.08%

SpVgg

24.91%

X

47.01%

SC ←

we assigned to the actual result (SC Paderborn 07) 47.01% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SpVgg

1.17

0.90

-0.27

SC

1.67

1.32

-0.35

SC Paderborn 07 dominated by xG (1.32 vs 0.90). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	33	67
2	SV Elversberg	33	59
3	Hannover 96	33	59
4	SC Paderborn 07	33	59
5	SV Darmstadt 98	33	52
6	Hertha BSC	33	51
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	33	49
8	1. FC Nürnberg	33	45
9	Karlsruher SC	33	44
10	VfL Bochum	33	41
11	Holstein Kiel	33	41
12	1. FC Magdeburg	33	39
13	Dynamo Dresden	33	38
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	33	37
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	33	37
16	Arminia Bielefeld	33	36
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	33	34
18	Preußen Münster	33	30

Lineups

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-2-3-1

43

G 6.30

5 Reno Münz D 6.60

4 Philipp Ziereis 87' D 6.90

15

D 7.20

23 Jannik Dehm 64' D 6.70

13 Paul Will M 6.70

33 Maximilian Dietz 75' M 7.20

47 Sayfallah Ltaief 64' M 7.00

10 Branimir Hrgota M 7.30

30 Felix Klaus M 6.30

9 Noel Futkeu F 6.00

Bench

16 Aaron Keller 26' F 6.90

11

Aiman Dardari 9' F 6.50

28 Doni Arifi M

18 Felix Higl F

2

Lukas Reich 26' D 6.90

24

M. John 15' D 6.50

SC Paderborn 07 3-4-2-1

41

G 8.00

4

Calvin Brackelmann D 6.90

20

Felix Götze D 7.20

25

Tjark Lasse Scheller 82' D 7.30

23 R. Obermair M 7.00

22

Mattes Hansen 69' M 6.50

14

M. Baur M 7.20

17

Laurin Curda 1 👟 M 7.90

26

S. Klaas 65' F 6.20

2

R. Muller 64' F 6.60

30

S. Marino 1 ⚽ 82' F 6.30

Bench

7

F. Bilbija 1 ⚽ 26' M 7.30

3

J. Sticker 8' D 6.90

10

Kennedy Okpala F

9

N. Batzner 8' M 6.70

5

Santiago Castaneda 21' M 6.60

11

S. Michel F

27

S. Tigges 1 👟 25' F 7.30

Best on the pitch

G · SC

8.00

· 33 pass

Laurin Curda

M · SC

7.90

1 👟

1 shots · 37 pass

S. Tigges

F · SC

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 7 pass

F. Bilbija

M · SC

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 8 pass

Tjark Lasse Scheller

D · SC

7.30

· 44 pass

Branimir Hrgota

M · SpVgg

7.30

2 shots · 38 pass

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	42	27%	—	—	—
Reno Münz	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	76	65%	1	—	—
Philipp Ziereis	D	87	6.90	—	—	—	51	47%	1	1	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	65	58%	2	—	—
Jannik Dehm	D	64	6.70	—	—	2	20	16%	1	—	—
Paul Will	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	57	52%	—	—	—
Maximilian Dietz	M	75	7.20	—	—	—	39	35%	—	—	—
Sayfallah Ltaief	M	64	7.00	—	—	—	14	10%	1	—	—
Branimir Hrgota	M	90	7.30	—	—	2	38	27%	2	—	—
Felix Klaus	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	35	32%	—	—	—
Noel Futkeu	F	90	6.00	—	—	4	11	7%	—	—	—
Aaron Keller	F	26	6.90	—	—	—	15	13%	—	—	—
Aiman Dardari	F	9	6.50	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
Lukas Reich	D	26	6.90	—	—	2	18	16%	2	—	—
M. John	D	15	6.50	—	—	1	10	6%	1	—	—

SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.00	—	—	—	33	22%	—	—	—
Calvin Brackelmann	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	41	31%	—	—	—
Felix Götze	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	35	31%	2	—	—
Tjark Lasse Scheller	D	82	7.30	—	—	—	44	38%	4	—	—
R. Obermair	M	90	7.00	—	—	2	27	24%	—	—	—
Mattes Hansen	M	69	6.50	—	—	—	36	29%	—	1	—
M. Baur	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	42	34%	1	—	—
Laurin Curda	M	90	7.90	—	1	1	37	29%	3	—	—
S. Klaas	F	65	6.20	—	—	1	21	18%	—	—	—
R. Muller	F	64	6.60	—	—	1	20	17%	—	—	—
S. Marino	F	82	6.30	1	—	4	17	12%	—	—	—
F. Bilbija	M	26	7.30	1	—	1	8	5%	—	1	—
J. Sticker	D	8	6.90	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
N. Batzner	M	8	6.70	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Santiago Castaneda	M	21	6.60	—	—	—	7	4%	—	1	—
S. Tigges	F	25	7.30	—	1	1	7	5%	1	—	—