SpVgg Greuther Fürth - VfL Bochum
DFB Pokal
August 23, 2026 13:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.6%
Win
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
30.79%
Draw
25.61%
Win
VfL Bochum
1.33
0.6
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(13.42%)
1X2 Result
1
44%
X
31%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
56%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
59%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 43% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 25% for VfL Bochum. Expected goals are 1.3 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 0.6 for VfL Bochum (total 1.9), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.42% probability. In 2 previous meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for VfL Bochum.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.3
0.5
Conceded
1.0
7.0
Shots OT
5.7
9.5
Corners
6.3
64%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
BTTS
33%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in DFB Pokal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
0W
0D
1L
· at home
2W
0D
0L
· away
0.0
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
0.5
0%
Win %
100%
0%
Win or Draw
100%
0%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
100%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.5% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 19.3% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 12.9% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Attack
51
Defence
75
Form
73
VfL Bochum
Attack
33
Defence
72
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum?
The model gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 43% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 25% for an VfL Bochum win.
How many goals are expected in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum?
Expected goals: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.3, VfL Bochum 0.6 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.42%.