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SpVgg Unterhaching - Buchbach

Regionalliga - Bayern September 29, 2026 19:00 Uhlsport Park, Unterhaching
SpVgg Unterhaching
#5 · 17 pts
vs
Buchbach
#1 · 23 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 17.7°C 💨 8 km/h · Unterhaching
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.67%
Win
SpVgg Unterhaching
30.75%
Draw
37.57%
Win
Buchbach
0.9
Expected xG
1.23

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.86%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 31%
2 38%
Double Chance
1X 62%
X2 68%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Buchbach a 37% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for SpVgg Unterhaching. Expected goals are 0.9 for SpVgg Unterhaching and 1.2 for Buchbach (total 2.1), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.86% probability. In 2 previous meetings, SpVgg Unterhaching have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Buchbach.

Season Stats

SpVgg Unterhaching
10W 2D 3L
Buchbach
9W 2D 4L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.9
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
93%
73%
O 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
60%
53%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Regionalliga - Bayern. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
30%
BTTS
SpVgg Unterhaching
7W 1D 2L · at home
Buchbach
5W 2D 3L · away
1.9
gls/g
1.3
0.3
Conceded
1.8
70%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
70%
50%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
40%
10%
BTTS
50%
80%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ SpVgg Unterhaching Buchbach →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9% 14.6% 9.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.1% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 4.8% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

SpVgg Unterhaching SpVgg Unterhaching
W Bayreuth 0–2
W Aubstadt 2–3
W Augsburg II 3–0
D Memmingen 0–0
L Illertissen 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Buchbach Buchbach
W FC Schweinfurt 05 3–1
W Bayern München II 2–0
W Landsberg 1–3
W Bayreuth 2–1
W Ansbach 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

SpVgg Unterhaching SpVgg Unterhaching
Attack
36
Defence
81
Form
63
Buchbach Buchbach
Attack
62
Defence
81
Form
79
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
SpVgg Unterhaching
1
Draw
1
Buchbach
2 Apr 2026 Regionalliga - Bayern 0–1
19 Sep 2025 Regionalliga - Bayern 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Buchbach Buchbach 9 23
2 Memmingen Memmingen 10 21
3 TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München 9 17
4 Illertissen Illertissen 10 17
5 SpVgg Unterhaching SpVgg Unterhaching 8 17
6 Eichstätt Eichstätt 10 17
7 Vilzing Vilzing 9 15
8 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 10 14
9 Eltersdorf Eltersdorf 9 12
10 Augsburg II Augsburg II 10 12
11 Bayern München II Bayern München II 9 11
12 FC Schweinfurt 05 FC Schweinfurt 05 10 11
13 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 9 10
14 Bayreuth Bayreuth 10 10
15 Schwaben Augsburg Schwaben Augsburg 10 9
16 Aubstadt Aubstadt 9 8
17 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 9 7
18 Landsberg Landsberg 9 7
19 Ansbach Ansbach 9 7
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach?
The model gives SpVgg Unterhaching a 31% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 37% for an Buchbach win.
How many goals are expected in SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach?
Expected goals: SpVgg Unterhaching 0.9, Buchbach 1.2 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in SpVgg Unterhaching vs Buchbach?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.86%.