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Sri Lanka - Djibouti

Friendlies Internazionali October 03, 2026 14:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.53%
Win
Sri Lanka
32.78%
Draw
33.69%
Win
Djibouti
1.48
Expected xG
0.99

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.01%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sri Lanka a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Djibouti. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sri Lanka and 1.0 for Djibouti (total 2.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.01% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Sri Lanka Djibouti →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5% 8.4% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.5% 12.4% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.2% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

W Mauritius 2–3
L Mauritius 3–0
W Seychelles 0–2
W Seychelles 0–3
W Bhutan 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
No data available

Playing profile

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka
Attack
41
Defence
75
Form
66
Djibouti Djibouti
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sri Lanka vs Djibouti?
The model gives Sri Lanka a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Djibouti win.
How many goals are expected in Sri Lanka vs Djibouti?
Expected goals: Sri Lanka 1.5, Djibouti 1.0 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Sri Lanka vs Djibouti?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.01%.