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Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 9 October 17, 2026 16:00 McDiarmid Park, Perth
ST Johnstone
#8 · 12 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Dundee Utd
#4 · 15 pts
Josh Fowler (ast. Enes Alic) 21'
79' (ast. Jesse Randall) Lyall Cameron
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dundee Utd a 36% win probability (draw 34%, ST Johnstone 29%). The final result was ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee Utd.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
7
1.36
Actual xG
1.17
6
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
4
Corners
7
18
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Josh Fowler · ast. Enes Alic
21'
42'
Dylan Tait
↕ Josh Fowler / Ruari Paton
45'
45'
abdoulaye yoro / Daniel Bennie ↕
63'
Zachary Sapsford / Idjessi Metsoko ↕
63'
Lachlan Rose / Dylan Tait ↕
66'
Lyall Cameron
79'
ast. Jesse Randall · Lyall Cameron⚽
↕ Taylor Steven / Kai Fotheringham
82'
↕ Sam Stanton / Jamie Gullan
82'
Reece McAlear
84'
87'
Neil Farrugia / Jesse Randall ↕
Jason Holt
90'+2
90'
Zidane Iqbal
90'
Neil Farrugia
Pre-match prediction
29.48%
ST
34.43%
X ←
36.08%
Dundee
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 34.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
ST
0.54
1.36
+0.82
Dundee
0.85
1.17
+0.32
xG dominance was balanced (1.36 – 1.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Lineups
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 4-2-3-1
1 T. Steward T. Steward G 7.50
2 E. Alıç E. Alıç 1 👟 D 7.28
3 C. Diabate C. Diabate D 6.72
19 D. Finlayson D. Finlayson D 7.14
33 L. Smith L. Smith D 6.29
8 J. Holt J. Holt M 6.24
42 R. McAlear R. McAlear M 6.63
7 T. Steven T. Steven 82' M 5.82
30 J. Cotterill J. Cotterill M 6.22
11 S. Stanton S. Stanton 82' M 6.54
9 J. Fowler J. Fowler 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.65
Bench
6 B. Mikulić B. Mikulić D 0.00
32 J. Campbell J. Campbell M 0.00
10 J. Gullan J. Gullan 8' F 6.43
18 K. Fotheringham K. Fotheringham 8' F 6.51
23 L. Chalmers L. Chalmers M 0.00
14 M. Foulds M. Foulds D 0.00
26 M. Todd M. Todd M 0.00
99 R. Paton R. Paton 45' F 6.85
20 R. Sinclair R. Sinclair G 0.00
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 4-3-3
1 J. Walton J. Walton G 6.98
19 K. Ciubotaru K. Ciubotaru D 6.57
18 M. Forbes M. Forbes D 6.92
3 B. Esselink B. Esselink D 6.65
23 J. Rawlins J. Rawlins D 6.34
14 Zidane Iqbal Zidane Iqbal M 7.09
16 L. Cameron L. Cameron 1 ⚽ M 8.20
10 D. Tait D. Tait 63' M 6.47
77 D. Bennie D. Bennie 45' F 6.44
93 I. Metsoko I. Metsoko 63' F 6.48
21 J. Randall J. Randall 1 👟 F 7.21
Bench
26 Abdoulaye Yoro Abdoulaye Yoro 45' M 7.20
22 D. Naamo D. Naamo D 0.00
4 I. Iovu I. Iovu D 0.00
30 J. Amissah J. Amissah G 0.00
15 L. Rose L. Rose 27' F 6.42
20 N. Farrugia N. Farrugia F 0.00
8 Panutche Camará Panutche Camará M 0.00
6 R. Graham R. Graham D 0.00
9 Z. Sapsford Z. Sapsford 27' M 6.58
Best on the pitch
L. Cameron
L. Cameron
M · Dundee
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots · 47 pass
J. Fowler
J. Fowler
F · ST
7.65
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
T. Steward
T. Steward
G · ST
7.50
· 25 pass
E. Alıç
E. Alıç
D · ST
7.28
1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
J. Randall
J. Randall
F · Dundee
7.21
1 👟
1 shots · 20 pass
Abdoulaye Yoro
Abdoulaye Yoro
M · Dundee
7.20
· 32 pass
ST Johnstone ST Johnstone — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Steward G 90 7.50 — — 0 25 11% 0 — —
E. Alıç D 90 7.28 — 1 2 29 23% 3 — —
C. Diabate D 90 6.72 — — 0 57 44% 1 — —
D. Finlayson D 90 7.14 — — 0 28 25% 2 — —
L. Smith D 90 6.29 — — 0 26 16% 0 — —
J. Holt M 90 6.24 — — 1 39 32% 0 1 —
R. McAlear M 90 6.63 — — 0 47 38% 2 1 —
T. Steven M 82 5.82 — — 1 42 28% 2 — —
J. Cotterill M 90 6.22 — — 0 23 19% 2 — —
S. Stanton M 82 6.54 — — 2 25 20% 6 — —
J. Fowler F 45 7.65 1 — 1 11 5% 0 — —
J. Gullan F 8 6.43 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
K. Fotheringham F 8 6.51 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
R. Paton F 45 6.85 — — 2 7 7% 0 — —
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Walton G 90 6.98 — — 0 20 17% 0 — —
K. Ciubotaru D 90 6.57 — — 1 37 34% 1 — —
M. Forbes D 90 6.92 — — 0 83 74% 1 — —
B. Esselink D 90 6.65 — — 0 106 90% 0 — —
J. Rawlins D 90 6.34 — — 0 63 41% 3 — —
Zidane Iqbal M 90 7.09 — — 2 101 93% 1 1 —
L. Cameron M 90 8.20 1 — 5 47 43% 1 1 —
D. Tait M 63 6.47 — — 1 59 49% 1 1 —
D. Bennie F 45 6.44 — — 1 15 12% 0 — —
I. Metsoko F 63 6.48 — — 1 9 9% 1 — —
J. Randall F 90 7.21 — 1 1 20 12% 1 — —
Abdoulaye Yoro M 45 7.20 — — 0 32 31% 4 — —
L. Rose F 27 6.42 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
Z. Sapsford M 27 6.58 — — 2 7 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
The final score was ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee Utd.
What did the model predict before ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
The model assigned 29% probability to a ST Johnstone win, 34% to a draw, and 36% to an Dundee Utd win.