J. Fowler
(ast. J. Gullan)
16'
C. Diabate
(ast. J. Gullan)
47'
M. Schjonning-Larsen
69'
(og)
K. Fotheringham
(ast. J. Fowler)
80'
37'
(ast. T. Lowery)
G. Kiltie
49'
J. Hugill
(og)
53'
J. Holt
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Johnstone a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Kilmarnock 32%). The final result was ST Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
5
1.76
Actual xG
0.69
3
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
6
Corners
3
19
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Fowler
· ast. J. Gullan
16'
21'
T. John-Jules
37'
ast. T. Lowery ·
G. Kiltie⚽
45'+2
J. Brandon
/
T. John-Jules
L. Smith
45'+4
⚽C. Diabate
· ast. J. Gullan
47'
49'
J. Hugill⚽
C. Diabate
52'
53'
(og)
J. Holt⚽
59'
B. Rice
/
A. Tshibola
59'
R. Mathurin
/
N. Clescenco
J. Holt
/ L. Chalmers
61'
R. Paton
/ K. Fotheringham
61'
66'
M. O'Hara
/
E. Ring
R. McAlear
/ L. Lloyd
69'
⚽M. Schjonning-Larsen
(og)
69'
⚽K. Fotheringham
· ast. J. Fowler
80'
83'
J. Brandon
J. Fowler
/ M. Tait
84'
J. Gullan
/ J. Baird
85'
85'
I. Owen
/
G. Kiltie
Pre-match prediction
34.54%
ST ←
32.61%
X
32.85%
Kilmarnock
we assigned to the actual result (ST Johnstone)
34.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.37
1.76
-1.61
0.96
0.69
-0.27
ST Johnstone dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.69).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Toby Steward
G
Toby Steward
G
14
Matty Foulds
D
Matty Foulds
D
3
Cheick Diabate
1 ⚽
D
Cheick Diabate
1 ⚽
D
5
Zach Mitchell
D
Zach Mitchell
D
33
Liam Smith
D
Liam Smith
D
8
Jason Holt
1 ⚽
61'
M
Jason Holt
1 ⚽
61'
M
42
Reece McAlear
69'
M
Reece McAlear
69'
M
99
Ruari Paton
61'
M
Ruari Paton
61'
M
10
Jamie Gullan
2 👟
85'
M
Jamie Gullan
2 👟
85'
M
11
Sam Stanton
M
Sam Stanton
M
9
Josh Fowler
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
F
Josh Fowler
1 ⚽
1 👟
84'
F
Bench
19
Danny Finlayson
D
Danny Finlayson
D
15
Jack Baird
9'
D
Jack Baird
9'
D
18
Kai Fotheringham
1 ⚽
33'
F
Kai Fotheringham
1 ⚽
33'
F
23
Logan Chalmers
33'
M
Logan Chalmers
33'
M
25
Macaulay Tait
10'
M
Macaulay Tait
10'
M
4
Morgan Boyes
D
Morgan Boyes
D
20
Ross Sinclair
G
Ross Sinclair
G
7
Taylor Steven
F
Taylor Steven
F
1
Max Stryjek
G
Max Stryjek
G
21
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
1 ⚽
D
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
1 ⚽
D
14
George Stanger
D
George Stanger
D
25
Ethan Brown
D
Ethan Brown
D
8
Erik Ring
66'
D
Erik Ring
66'
D
20
Nicky Cleșcenco
59'
M
Nicky Cleșcenco
59'
M
18
Tom Lowery
1 👟
M
Tom Lowery
1 👟
M
36
Aaron Tshibola
59'
M
Aaron Tshibola
59'
M
11
Greg Kiltie
1 ⚽
85'
M
Greg Kiltie
1 ⚽
85'
M
10
Tyreece John-Jules
47'
F
Tyreece John-Jules
47'
F
9
Joe Hugill
1 ⚽
F
Joe Hugill
1 ⚽
F
Bench
49
Bailey Rice
35'
M
Bailey Rice
35'
M
12
Calum Ferrie
G
Calum Ferrie
G
39
Euan Bowie
D
Euan Bowie
D
27
Ieuan Owen
9'
F
Ieuan Owen
9'
F
2
Jamie Brandon
47'
D
Jamie Brandon
47'
D
15
Johnly Yfeko
D
Johnly Yfeko
D
5
Mark O'Hara
28'
M
Mark O'Hara
28'
M
7
Rory McKenzie
M
Rory McKenzie
M
23
Roshaun Mathurin
35'
F
Roshaun Mathurin
35'
F
Best on the pitch
Josh Fowler
F · ST
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
Jamie Gullan
M · ST
8.30
2 👟
3 shots
· 36 pass
Kai Fotheringham
F · ST
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Joe Hugill
F · Kilmarnock
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Cheick Diabate
D · ST
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 86 pass
Greg Kiltie
M · Kilmarnock
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
ST Johnstone — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Steward | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Matty Foulds | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | 4 | — | — |
| Cheick Diabate | D | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 86 | 81% | — | 1 | — |
| Zach Mitchell | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Liam Smith | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jason Holt | M | 61 | 7.00 | 1 | — | — | 39 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Reece McAlear | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Ruari Paton | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Jamie Gullan | M | 85 | 8.30 | — | 2 | 3 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Sam Stanton | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Josh Fowler | F | 84 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Jack Baird | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Kai Fotheringham | F | 33 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Logan Chalmers | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Macaulay Tait | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Kilmarnock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Stryjek | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Michael Schjønning-Larsen | D | 94 | 5.20 | 1 | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| George Stanger | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Ethan Brown | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Erik Ring | D | 66 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicky Cleșcenco | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Tom Lowery | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 57 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Aaron Tshibola | M | 59 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Greg Kiltie | M | 85 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Tyreece John-Jules | F | 47 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Joe Hugill | F | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Bailey Rice | M | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Ieuan Owen | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jamie Brandon | D | 47 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mark O'Hara | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Roshaun Mathurin | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?
The final score was ST Johnstone 4–3 Kilmarnock.
What did the model predict before ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?
The model assigned 34% probability to a ST Johnstone win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Kilmarnock win.