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← Scottish Premiership

ST Johnstone - Motherwell

Scottish Premiership October 28, 2026 20:45 McDiarmid Park, Perth
ST Johnstone
#8 · 12 pts
vs
Motherwell
#10 · 8 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 10.1°C 💨 7 km/h · Perth
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.13%
Win
ST Johnstone
33.34%
Draw
31.53%
Win
Motherwell
0.79
Expected xG
0.73

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.22%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 65%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives ST Johnstone a 35% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Motherwell. Expected goals are 0.8 for ST Johnstone and 0.7 for Motherwell (total 1.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.22% probability.

Season Stats

ST Johnstone
3W 3D 4L
Motherwell
4W 3D 8L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.2
1.5
Conceded
1.7
3.4
Shots OT
4.4
3.2
Corners
4.5
46%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
70%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
53%
60%
BTTS
47%
10%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Scottish Premiership. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
ST Johnstone
2W 2D 1L · at home
Motherwell
3W 1D 6L · away
1.6
gls/g
1.4
1.4
Conceded
1.9
40%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
80%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%
0%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ ST Johnstone Motherwell →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.8% 16.0% 5.9% 1.4% 0.3% —
1 17.2% 12.6% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 6.8% 5.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
L Rangers 4–0
D Dundee Utd 1–1
W Aberdeen 0–1
D Falkirk 1–1
L Celtic 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 15%
Motherwell Motherwell
L Heart Of Midlothian 0–2
L Kilmarnock 3–2
L Celtic 0–2
L Dundee 2–1
L Aberdeen 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 17%

Playing profile

ST Johnstone ST Johnstone
Attack
29
Defence
51
Form
41
Motherwell Motherwell
Attack
41
Defence
46
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Celtic Celtic 10 27
2 Rangers Rangers 10 23
3 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 10 19
4 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 10 15
5 Dundee Dundee 10 14
6 ST Mirren ST Mirren 10 13
7 Falkirk Falkirk 10 12
8 ST Johnstone ST Johnstone 10 12
9 Aberdeen Aberdeen 10 11
10 Motherwell Motherwell 10 8
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 10 8
12 Hibernian Hibernian 10 7
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
The model gives ST Johnstone a 35% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 31% for an Motherwell win.
How many goals are expected in ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
Expected goals: ST Johnstone 0.8, Motherwell 0.7 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.22%.