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St. Kitts and Nevis - Bonaire

CONCACAF Nations League November 11, 2026 22:00
St. Kitts and Nevis
vs
Bonaire
⚡ Pre-match analysis
65.77%
Win
St. Kitts and Nevis
18.46%
Draw
15.77%
Win
Bonaire
2.17
Expected xG
0.92
Most likely outcome
St. Kitts and Nevis
65.77%
Probability
83.3%
1X2 accuracy · 24 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (10.79%)
1X2 Result ✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1 66%
X 18%
2 16%
Double Chance ✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X 84%
X2 34%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 59%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives St. Kitts and Nevis a 65% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Bonaire. Expected goals are 2.2 for St. Kitts and Nevis and 0.9 for Bonaire (total 3.1), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.79% probability. In 1 previous meetings, St. Kitts and Nevis have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bonaire.

Season Stats

St. Kitts and Nevis
2W 2D 0L
Bonaire
1W 0D 3L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.8
1.5
Conceded
2.0
6.3
Shots OT
4.8
4.3
Corners
4.3
54%
Poss.
42%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
75%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in CONCACAF Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
St. Kitts and Nevis
1W 1D 0L · at home
Bonaire
1W 0D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
2.0
1.5
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ St. Kitts and Nevis Bonaire →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 10.0% 9.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% —
4 4.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

St. Kitts and Nevis St. Kitts and Nevis
D Cuba 2–2
D Cuba 3–3
W Grenada 3–0
W Bonaire 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Bonaire Bonaire
W Grenada 1–4
L Grenada 2–3
L Cuba 2–0
L St. Kitts and Nevis 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

St. Kitts and Nevis St. Kitts and Nevis
Attack
59
Defence
50
Form
60
Bonaire Bonaire
Attack
41
Defence
49
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
St. Kitts and Nevis
0
Draw
0
Bonaire
26 Sep 2026 CONCACAF Nations League 2–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire?
The model gives St. Kitts and Nevis a 65% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 15% for an Bonaire win.
How many goals are expected in St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire?
Expected goals: St. Kitts and Nevis 2.2, Bonaire 0.9 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in St. Kitts and Nevis vs Bonaire?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.79%.