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MLS · Regular Season - 16 May 23, 2026 20:45
St. Louis City
#12 · 16 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Austin
#14 · 14 pts
✓Model correct — prediction St. Louis City
Guilherme Biro 40' (og)
F. Fall 57'
D. Edelman (ast. C. Teuchert) 90'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Austin 18%). The final result was St. Louis City 3–0 Austin. In 2 previous meetings, St. Louis City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Austin.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
2
0.92
Actual xG
0.31
2
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
1
16
Tackles
5
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ D. Polvara / L. MacNaughton
23'
⚽Guilherme Biro (og)
40'
⚽F. Fall
57'
61'
B. Vazquez / C. Ramirez ↕
61'
J. Nelson / M. Desler ↕
77'
N. Dubersarsky / D. Pereira ↕
77'
Z. Kolmanic / J. Bell ↕
80'
N. Dubersarsky
81'
C. Fodrey / O. Wolff ↕
C. Durkin
85'
↕ S. Becher / B. McSorley
89'
↕ E. Lowen / C. Teuchert
89'
⚽D. Edelman · ast. C. Teuchert
90'
Pre-match prediction
60.06%
St. ←
21.03%
X
18.9%
Austin
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City) 60.06% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
2.19
0.92
-1.27
Austin
0.92
0.31
-0.61
St. Louis City dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.31). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 14 32
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 15 32
3 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 14 26
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 15 25
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 15 24
6 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 13 24
7 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 14 22
8 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 15 22
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 15 20
10 San Diego San Diego 15 17
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 15 16
12 St. Louis City St. Louis City 14 16
13 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 14 14
14 Austin Austin 15 14
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 14 11
Lineups
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-3
39 Benjamin Lundt Benjamin Lundt G 6.60
27 Fallou Fall Fallou Fall 1 ⚽ D 8.90
32 Timo Baumgartl Timo Baumgartl D 7.20
21 Dante Polvara Dante Polvara 23' D 6.30
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos M 7.00
24 Daniel Edelman Daniel Edelman 1 ⚽ M 7.90
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin M 6.90
14 Tomas Totland Tomas Totland M 6.60
17 Marcel Hartel Marcel Hartel F 7.00
11 Simon Becher Simon Becher 88' F 6.70
10 Eduard Löwen Eduard Löwen 88' F 7.20
Bench
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley 4' F
36 Cedric Teuchert Cedric Teuchert 1 👟 4' F
34 Colin Welsh Colin Welsh G
22 Kyle Hiebert Kyle Hiebert D
5 Lukas MacNaughton Lukas MacNaughton 69' D 6.90
4 Mamadou Mbacke Mamadou Mbacke D
28 Miguel Perez Miguel Perez M
59 Mykhi Joyner Mykhi Joyner M
Austin Austin 4-1-4-1
1 Brad Stuver Brad Stuver G 5.90
29 Guilherme Biro Guilherme Biro 1 ⚽ D 6.70
15 Jonathan Bell Jonathan Bell 76' D 6.00
5 Oleksandr Svatok Oleksandr Svatok D 6.30
3 Mikkel Desler Mikkel Desler 60' D 6.50
8
Daniel Pereira 76' M 6.20
17 Jon Gallagher Jon Gallagher M 6.20
33 Owen Wolff Owen Wolff 80' M 6.20
30 Joseph Rosales Joseph Rosales M 6.90
11 F. Torres F. Torres M 6.90
21 Christian Ramirez Christian Ramirez 60' F 6.20
Bench
14 Besard Sabović Besard Sabović M
9 Brandon Vázquez Brandon Vázquez 32' F 6.20
19 Calvin Fodrey Calvin Fodrey 12' M 6.20
12 Damian Las Damian Las G
6 Ilie Sánchez Ilie Sánchez M
7 Jayden Nelson Jayden Nelson 32' F 6.60
35 Mateja Đorđević Mateja Đorđević D
20 Nicolas Dubersarsky Nicolas Dubersarsky 16' M 6.30
23 Žan Kolmanič Žan Kolmanič 16' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
Fallou Fall
Fallou Fall
D · St.
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 43 pass
Daniel Edelman
Daniel Edelman
M · St.
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 42 pass
Timo Baumgartl
Timo Baumgartl
D · St.
7.20
· 73 pass
Eduard Löwen
Eduard Löwen
F · St.
7.20
3 shots · 47 pass
Rafael Santos
Rafael Santos
M · St.
7.00
2 shots · 19 pass
Marcel Hartel
Marcel Hartel
F · St.
7.00
2 shots · 41 pass
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Benjamin Lundt G 92 6.60 — — — 24 19% — — —
Fallou Fall D 92 8.90 1 — 1 43 34% 6 — —
Timo Baumgartl D 92 7.20 — — — 73 68% 3 — —
Dante Polvara D 23 6.30 — — — 25 21% — — —
Rafael Santos M 92 7.00 — — 2 19 13% 1 — —
Daniel Edelman M 92 7.90 1 — 2 42 35% 1 — —
C. Durkin M 92 6.90 — — 1 42 35% — 1 —
Tomas Totland M 92 6.60 — — — 31 26% — — —
Marcel Hartel F 92 7.00 — — 2 41 35% 1 — —
Simon Becher F 88 6.70 — — — 13 8% — — —
Eduard Löwen F 88 7.20 — — 3 47 40% 3 — —
Brendan McSorley F 4 — — — — — — — — —
Cedric Teuchert F 4 — — 1 — 2 1% — — —
Lukas MacNaughton D 69 6.90 — — — 42 40% 1 — —
Austin Austin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Brad Stuver G 92 5.90 — — — 27 22% — — —
Guilherme Biro D 92 6.70 1 — 1 75 65% — — —
Jonathan Bell D 76 6.00 — — 1 29 24% 1 — —
Oleksandr Svatok D 92 6.30 — — 1 54 49% — — —
Mikkel Desler D 60 6.50 — — — 34 32% — — —
Daniel Pereira M 76 6.20 — — — 67 61% 1 — —
Jon Gallagher M 92 6.20 — — — 24 21% — — —
Owen Wolff M 80 6.20 — — — 46 38% — — —
Joseph Rosales M 92 6.90 — — 1 48 40% 1 — —
F. Torres M 92 6.90 — — 1 50 42% — — —
Christian Ramirez F 60 6.20 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
Brandon Vázquez F 32 6.20 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
Calvin Fodrey M 12 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
Jayden Nelson F 32 6.60 — — — 12 10% — — —
Nicolas Dubersarsky M 16 6.30 — — — 12 11% — 1 —
Žan Kolmanič D 16 6.20 — — — 11 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Austin?
The final score was St. Louis City 3–0 Austin.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs Austin?
The model assigned 60% probability to a St. Louis City win, 21% to a draw, and 18% to an Austin win.