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MLS · Regular Season - 22 August 31, 2026 01:00
St. Louis City
#6 · 38 pts
3 – 3
Final score
FC Dallas
#4 · 40 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction St. Louis City, result Draw
S. Becher 3'
D. Edelman 43'
C. Holse (ast. C. Wallem) 64'
18' S. Moore
81' (ast. J. Valiente) S. Ibeagha
90'+7 (ast. P. Musa) L. Farrington
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 65% win probability (draw 19%, FC Dallas 14%). The final result was St. Louis City 3–3 FC Dallas. In 1 previous meetings, St. Louis City have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Dallas.

Match statistics
1
Total shots
1
1
Shots on target
1
0.16
Actual xG
0.06
1
Saves
0
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
0
2
Tackles
2
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Becher
3'
13'
Ramiro
18'
S. Moore⚽
⚽D. Edelman
43'
↕ A. Matan / C. Holse
59'
59'
C. Cappis / H. Johansson ↕
59'
R. Binyamin / S. Moreno ↕
⚽C. Holse · ast. C. Wallem
64'
68'
L. Farrington / Ramiro ↕
69'
N. Norris / B. Kamungo ↕
↕ S. Jeong / Z. Zengue
72'
81'
ast. J. Valiente · S. Ibeagha⚽
↕ J. Orozco / L. MacNaughton
88'
89'
P. Musa
89'
S. Sarver / Kaick ↕
90'+7
ast. P. Musa · L. Farrington⚽
L. MacNaughton
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
65.83%
St.
19.39%
X ←
14.78%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.39% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
2.01
0.16
-1.85
FC
0.68
0.06
-0.62
xG dominance was balanced (0.16 – 0.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
1 R. Bürki R. Bürki 20' G 6.30
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara 20' D 6.20
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl 20' D 6.20
99 J. Orozco J. Orozco 20' D 6.30
14 T. Totland T. Totland 20' M 6.60
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin 20' M 6.30
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman 1 ⚽ 20' M 6.30
6 C. Wallem C. Wallem 1 👟 20' M 6.30
23 A. Mățan A. Mățan 20' F 6.50
77 Jeong Sang-Bin Jeong Sang-Bin 20' F 6.60
11 S. Becher S. Becher 1 ⚽ 20' F 7.50
Bench
39 B. Lundt B. Lundt G
98 C. Holse C. Holse 1 ⚽ F
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton D
4 M. Fall M. Fall D
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner M
28 M. Perez M. Perez M
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos D
3 Tahir Reid-Brown Tahir Reid-Brown D
91 Zach Zengue Zach Zengue M
FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-4-2-1
40 J. Sirois J. Sirois 20' G 6.30
18 S. Moore S. Moore 1 ⚽ 20' D 7.30
3 O. Urhoghide O. Urhoghide 20' D 6.90
25 S. Ibeagha S. Ibeagha 1 ⚽ 20' D 6.20
77 B. Kamungo B. Kamungo 20' M 6.70
55 Kaick Kaick 20' M 6.50
17 Ramiro Ramiro 20' M 6.20
14 H. Johansson H. Johansson 20' M 6.70
10 S. Moreno S. Moreno 20' F 6.30
21 J. Valiente J. Valiente 1 👟 20' F 6.30
9 P. Musa P. Musa 1 👟 20' F 6.60
Bench
12 C. Cappis C. Cappis M
33 Clay Holstad Clay Holstad M
24 Joshua Torquato Joshua Torquato D
5 L. Abubakar L. Abubakar D
23 L. Farrington L. Farrington 1 ⚽ F
30 Michael Collodi Michael Collodi G
32 N. Norris N. Norris D
6 R. Binyamin R. Binyamin M
28 Samuel Sarver Samuel Sarver F
Best on the pitch
S. Becher
S. Becher
F · St.
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
S. Moore
S. Moore
D · FC
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
O. Urhoghide
O. Urhoghide
D · FC
6.90
· 9 pass
H. Johansson
H. Johansson
M · FC
6.70
· 4 pass
B. Kamungo
B. Kamungo
M · FC
6.70
· 8 pass
P. Musa
P. Musa
F · FC
6.60
1 👟
· 6 pass
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Bürki G 20 6.30 — — — 8 7% — — —
D. Polvara D 20 6.20 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
T. Baumgartl D 20 6.20 — — — 11 10% — — —
J. Orozco D 20 6.30 — — — 18 18% — — —
T. Totland M 20 6.60 — — — 5 5% — — —
C. Durkin M 20 6.30 — — — 11 8% — — —
D. Edelman M 20 6.30 1 — — 12 9% — — —
C. Wallem M 20 6.30 — 1 — 13 10% 1 — —
A. Mățan F 20 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
Jeong Sang-Bin F 20 6.60 — — — 9 5% — — —
S. Becher F 20 7.50 1 — 1 4 4% — — —
FC Dallas FC Dallas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Sirois G 20 6.30 — — — 8 5% — — —
S. Moore D 20 7.30 1 — 1 12 11% — — —
O. Urhoghide D 20 6.90 — — — 9 5% 1 — —
S. Ibeagha D 20 6.20 1 — — 4 3% — — —
B. Kamungo M 20 6.70 — — — 8 5% — — —
Kaick M 20 6.50 — — — 12 11% — — —
Ramiro M 20 6.20 — — — 16 13% — 1 —
H. Johansson M 20 6.70 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
S. Moreno F 20 6.30 — — — 10 9% — — —
J. Valiente F 20 6.30 — 1 — 9 7% — — —
P. Musa F 20 6.60 — 1 — 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?
The final score was St. Louis City 3–3 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 65% probability to a St. Louis City win, 19% to a draw, and 14% to an FC Dallas win.